Serie A · Regular Season - 31 April 04, 2026 18:00 Gradski Stadion, Podgorica

Hellas Verona

0 – 1

Final score

Fiorentina

#17 · 4 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Fiorentina

82' (ast. J. Harrison) N. Fagioli

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fiorentina a 51% win probability (draw 29%, Hellas Verona 19%). The final result was Hellas Verona 0–1 Fiorentina. In 1 previous meetings, Hellas Verona have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Fiorentina.

Match statistics

18

Total shots

3

8

Shots on target

1

1.30

Actual xG

0.36

0

Saves

8

50%

Possession

50%

9

Corners

1

16

Tackles

14

3

🟨 Yellow cards

1

1

🟥 Red cards

1

Match Events

Roberto Gagliardini

17'

59'

R. Piccoli / G. Fabbian ↕

↕ G. Orban / A. Sarr

67'

↕ D. Oyegoke / D. Bradaric

75'

↕ A. Bernede / T. Suslov

75'

76'

J. Fazzini / M. Kean ↕

76'

L. Balbo / R. Gosens ↕

Victor Nelsson

79'

82'

ast. J. Harrison · N. Fagioli⚽

84'

Nicolò Fagioli

Tomáš Suslov

85'

85'

Albert Guðmundsson

Rafik Belghali

88'

↕ V. Nelsson / D. Mosquera

90'

90'

E. Kospo / P. Comuzzo ↕

90'

M. Brescianini / N. Fagioli ↕

Pre-match prediction

19.14%

Hellas

29.52%

X

51.34%

Fiorentina ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Fiorentina) 51.34% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Hellas

0.54

1.30

+0.77

Fiorentina

1.28

0.36

-0.92

Hellas Verona dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.36). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	13
2	Inter	5	13
3	Lazio	5	13
4	Cagliari	5	12
5	AC Milan	5	11
6	Frosinone	5	10
7	Juventus	5	10
8	Como	5	10
9	Napoli	5	7
10	Sassuolo	5	7
11	Atalanta	5	6
12	Lecce	5	6
13	Udinese	5	4
14	Torino	5	4
15	Parma	5	4
16	Monza	5	4
17	Fiorentina	5	4
18	Bologna	5	2
19	Genoa	5	1
20	Venezia	5	0

Lineups

Hellas Verona 3-5-2

1

G 6.30

3 M. Frese D 7.00

5 A. Edmundsson D 6.30

15 V. Nelsson 89' D 6.90

7 Rafik Belghali M 7.50

24 A. Bernede 75' M 7.00

63 Roberto Gagliardini M 7.30

11 J. Akpa Akpro M 6.30

2 D. Oyegoke 75' M 6.90

16 G. Orban 67' F 6.00

18 K. Bowie F 7.00

Bench

21 A. Harroui M

12 D. Bradarić 15' D 6.50

73 Moatasem Al-Musrati M

6 N. Valentini D

10 T. Suslov 10' M 5.50

Fiorentina 4-3-3

43 David De Gea G 9.30

21 R. Gosens 76' D 7.30

6 Luca Ranieri D 6.90

5 M. Pongračić D 7.50

15 Pietro Comuzzo 89' D 7.20

27 Cher Ndour M 6.30

44 N. Fagioli 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.70

80 Giovanni Fabbian 59' M 7.00

10 A. Guðmundsson 85' F 6.20

20 M. Kean 76' F 6.70

17 J. Harrison 1 👟 F 6.20

Bench

3 Daniele Rugani 1' D

22 Jacopo Fazzini 14' M 6.60

62 Luís Balbo 14' D 6.90

4 Marco Brescianini 1' M

91 Roberto Piccoli 31' F 6.30

Best on the pitch

David De Gea

G · Fiorentina

9.30

· 40 pass

N. Fagioli

M · Fiorentina

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 55 pass

M. Pongračić

D · Fiorentina

7.50

· 58 pass

Rafik Belghali

M · Hellas

7.50

3 shots · 30 pass

Roberto Gagliardini

M · Hellas

7.30

1 shots · 82 pass

R. Gosens

D · Fiorentina

7.30

· 46 pass

Hellas Verona — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	17	9%	—	—	—
M. Frese	D	90	7.00	—	—	3	40	34%	2	—	—
A. Edmundsson	D	90	6.30	—	—	2	41	30%	3	—	—
V. Nelsson	D	89	6.90	—	—	—	30	23%	2	1	—
Rafik Belghali	M	90	7.50	—	—	3	30	30%	1	1	—
A. Bernede	M	75	7.00	—	—	1	44	35%	3	—	—
Roberto Gagliardini	M	90	7.30	—	—	1	82	74%	4	1	—
J. Akpa Akpro	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	33	24%	1	—	—
D. Oyegoke	M	75	6.90	—	—	2	23	19%	—	—	—
G. Orban	F	67	6.00	—	—	2	22	19%	—	—	—
K. Bowie	F	90	7.00	—	—	4	20	14%	—	—	—
D. Bradarić	D	15	6.50	—	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—
T. Suslov	M	10	5.50	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	1

Fiorentina — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
David De Gea	G	90	9.30	—	—	—	40	25%	—	—	—
R. Gosens	D	76	7.30	—	—	—	46	38%	1	—	—
Luca Ranieri	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	59	53%	1	—	—
M. Pongračić	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	58	53%	2	—	—
Pietro Comuzzo	D	89	7.20	—	—	—	46	41%	2	—	—
Cher Ndour	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	27	21%	2	—	—
N. Fagioli	M	89	7.70	1	—	2	55	47%	2	1	—
Giovanni Fabbian	M	59	7.00	—	—	—	18	13%	2	—	—
A. Guðmundsson	F	85	6.20	—	—	1	30	27%	2	—	1
M. Kean	F	76	6.70	—	—	—	8	4%	—	—	—
J. Harrison	F	90	6.20	—	1	—	34	25%	—	—	—
Daniele Rugani	D	1	—	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
Jacopo Fazzini	M	14	6.60	—	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—
Luís Balbo	D	14	6.90	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
Marco Brescianini	M	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Roberto Piccoli	F	31	6.30	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—