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KNVB Beker · Round of 64 October 27, 2026 20:00
Helmond Sport
3 – 4
Final score
Willem II
✗Model wrong — prediction Helmond Sport, result Willem II wins
M. Ludwig (ast. T. Essakkati) 9'
L. Bajrami (ast. M. Ludwig) 72'
L. Bajrami 85'
28' (ast. E. Gurbuz) D. Haen
40' (ast. F. Stam) E. Gurbuz
42' (ast. D. Haen) E. Gurbuz
53' (ast. H. ter Avest) T. Vilhena
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Helmond Sport a 64% win probability (draw 16%, Willem II 19%). The final result was Helmond Sport 3–4 Willem II. In 2 previous meetings, Helmond Sport have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Willem II.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
4
0
Saves
2
41%
Possession
59%
1
Corners
1
16
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
B. Koglin
2'
⚽M. Ludwig · ast. T. Essakkati
9'
28'
ast. E. Gurbuz · D. Haen⚽
40'
ast. F. Stam · E. Gurbuz⚽
42'
ast. D. Haen · E. Gurbuz⚽
46'
T. Vilhena / A. Zarrouk ↕
↕ T. Poll / J. van der Sluijs
46'
53'
ast. H. ter Avest · T. Vilhena⚽
↕ T. Essakkati / H. Ingason
56'
↕ D. Huiberts / L. Bajrami
56'
58'
A. Et Taibi / H. ter Avest ↕
58'
J. Slory / J. Schuurman ↕
62'
E. Gurbuz
66'
C. Obi / D. Haen ↕
⚽L. Bajrami · ast. M. Ludwig
72'
73'
M. Lemmens
J. van der Sluijs
73'
↕ B. Koglin / F. Van Den Eynden
74'
78'
J. Slory
83'
P. van Loon / E. Gurbuz ↕
⚽L. Bajrami
85'
Pre-match prediction
64.44%
Helmond
16.14%
X
19.42%
Willem ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Willem II) 19.42% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Helmond
4.47
—
—
Willem
1.56
—
—
Lineups
Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 3-4-3
1 Menno Bergsen Menno Bergsen 87' G 4.60
43 Tijn Landheer Tijn Landheer 87' D 6.00
14 Lovro Golič Lovro Golič 87' D 6.30
4 Brian Koglin Brian Koglin 74' D 5.20
5 Thomas Poll Thomas Poll 45' M 6.90
44 Xander van der Velde Xander van der Velde 87' M 6.70
6 Michel Ludwig Michel Ludwig 1 ⚽ 1 👟 87' M 9.00
20 Sem Dekkers Sem Dekkers 87' M 6.70
34 Tarik Essakkati Tarik Essakkati 1 👟 56' F 6.60
94 Mauro Lenaerts Mauro Lenaerts 87' F 6.30
10 Dean Huiberts Dean Huiberts 56' F 6.90
Bench
23 Adam El Maach Adam El Maach G
47 Dayen Geerts Dayen Geerts M
3 Flor Van Den Eynden Flor Van Den Eynden 13' D 6.60
19 Helgi Fróði Ingason Helgi Fróði Ingason 31' M 6.70
7 Joep van der Sluijs Joep van der Sluijs 42' M 6.70
30 Kiton Ekoli Kiton Ekoli F
9 Labinot Bajrami Labinot Bajrami 2 ⚽ 31' F 8.70
11 Livio Cicero Livio Cicero M
35 Nico Meissner Nico Meissner M
8 Pol Llonch Pol Llonch M
2 Rayen van Bree Rayen van Bree D
21 Ward van Sleeuwen Ward van Sleeuwen G
Willem II Willem II 4-2-3-1
26 Maxime Delanghe Maxime Delanghe 87' G 6.60
24 Nathan Tjoe-A-On Nathan Tjoe-A-On 87' D 6.50
83 Mats Lemmens Mats Lemmens 87' D 6.70
3 Finn Stam Finn Stam 1 👟 87' D 7.50
5 Hidde ter Avest Hidde ter Avest 1 👟 58' D 6.90
18 Anass Zarrouk Anass Zarrouk 45' M 6.60
6 Calvin Twigt Calvin Twigt 87' M 7.50
32 Vito van Crooij Vito van Crooij 87' M 6.30
10 Jari Schuurman Jari Schuurman 58' M 6.50
50 Eser Gürbüz Eser Gürbüz 2 ⚽ 1 👟 83' M 8.90
9 Devin Haen Devin Haen 1 ⚽ 1 👟 66' F 8.30
Bench
2 Alessandro Ciranni Alessandro Ciranni D
15 Amine Et-Taïbi Amine Et-Taïbi 29' D 6.30
11 Armin Ćulum Armin Ćulum F
17 Chido Obi-Martin Chido Obi-Martin 21' F 6.50
7 Jaden Slory Jaden Slory 20' F 5.70
14 Jens Mathijsen Jens Mathijsen D
31 Karst de Leeuw Karst de Leeuw G
8 Kasper Boogaard Kasper Boogaard M
22 Per van Loon Per van Loon 4' M
28 Thomas Verheydt Thomas Verheydt F
52 Tonny Vilhena Tonny Vilhena 1 ⚽ 42' M 7.60
21 Wouter Van der Steen Wouter Van der Steen G
Best on the pitch
Michel Ludwig
Michel Ludwig
M · Helmond
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 44 pass
Eser Gürbüz
Eser Gürbüz
M · Willem
8.90
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 46 pass
Labinot Bajrami
Labinot Bajrami
F · Helmond
8.70
2 ⚽
2 shots · 6 pass
Devin Haen
Devin Haen
F · Willem
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 16 pass
Tonny Vilhena
Tonny Vilhena
M · Willem
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 21 pass
Calvin Twigt
Calvin Twigt
M · Willem
7.50
· 63 pass
Helmond Sport Helmond Sport — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Menno Bergsen G 87 4.60 — — — 44 28% — — —
Tijn Landheer D 87 6.00 — — — 48 42% 1 — —
Lovro Golič D 87 6.30 — — — 47 39% 4 — —
Brian Koglin D 74 5.20 — — 2 26 24% — 1 —
Thomas Poll M 45 6.90 — — — 19 15% 4 — —
Xander van der Velde M 87 6.70 — — 1 44 39% — — —
Michel Ludwig M 87 9.00 1 1 3 44 37% 1 — —
Sem Dekkers M 87 6.70 — — 1 27 24% 2 — —
Tarik Essakkati F 56 6.60 — 1 — 32 25% 1 — —
Mauro Lenaerts F 87 6.30 — — 2 8 7% — — —
Dean Huiberts F 56 6.90 — — — 18 14% 2 — —
Flor Van Den Eynden D 13 6.60 — — — 14 12% — — —
Helgi Fróði Ingason M 31 6.70 — — — 9 9% 1 — —
Joep van der Sluijs M 42 6.70 — — 1 8 8% — 1 —
Labinot Bajrami F 31 8.70 2 — 2 6 6% — — —
Willem II Willem II — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Maxime Delanghe G 87 6.60 — — — 41 27% — — —
Nathan Tjoe-A-On D 87 6.50 — — — 40 37% 1 — —
Mats Lemmens D 87 6.70 — — — 66 59% 2 1 —
Finn Stam D 87 7.50 — 1 1 82 74% — — —
Hidde ter Avest D 58 6.90 — 1 — 52 44% 1 — —
Anass Zarrouk M 45 6.60 — — — 28 26% 3 — —
Calvin Twigt M 87 7.50 — — — 63 55% 1 — —
Vito van Crooij M 87 6.30 — — 1 47 38% — — —
Jari Schuurman M 58 6.50 — — — 42 41% — — —
Eser Gürbüz M 83 8.90 2 1 4 46 38% 2 1 —
Devin Haen F 66 8.30 1 1 2 16 11% — — —
Amine Et-Taïbi D 29 6.30 — — — 13 12% 1 — —
Chido Obi-Martin F 21 6.50 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
Jaden Slory F 20 5.70 — — 1 6 5% 0 — 1
Per van Loon M 4 — — — — — — — — —
Tonny Vilhena M 42 7.60 1 — 2 21 17% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs Willem II?
The final score was Helmond Sport 3–4 Willem II.
What did the model predict before Helmond Sport vs Willem II?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Helmond Sport win, 16% to a draw, and 19% to an Willem II win.