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Hemel Hempstead Town - Torquay

National League South November 10, 2026 20:45
#20 · 15 pts
vs
#13 · 20 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.1%
Win
Hemel Hempstead Town
24.78%
Draw
47.12%
Win
Torquay
1.14
Expected xG
1.85

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.49%)
1X2 Result
1 28%
X 25%
2 47%
Double Chance
1X 53%
X2 72%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Torquay a 47% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Hemel Hempstead Town. Expected goals are 1.1 for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.8 for Torquay (total 3.0), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.49% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Hemel Hempstead Town have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Torquay.

Season Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town
3W 6D 6L
Torquay
5W 5D 5L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
1.6
1.5
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
87%
33%
O 2.5
53%
47%
BTTS
53%
27%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in National League South. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Hemel Hempstead Town
1W 5D 4L · at home
Torquay
5W 0D 5L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.8
1.6
Conceded
1.4
10%
Win %
50%
60%
Win or Draw
50%
90%
O 1.5
90%
40%
O 2.5
70%
30%
O 3.5
30%
80%
BTTS
40%
0%
Clean Sht
20%
20%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Hemel Hempstead Town Torquay →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0% 9.3% 8.6% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9%
1 5.7% 10.6% 9.8% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0%
2 3.3% 6.0% 5.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.2% 2.3% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

L Billericay Town 5–0
D Dorking Wanderers 3–3
L AFC Totton 1–3
L Tonbridge Angels 1–0
D Dagenham & Redbridge 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 12%
W Walton & Hersham 0–3
L AFC Totton 1–0
D Maidstone Utd 1–1
W Slough Town 5–1
L Billericay Town 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town
Attack
22
Defence
59
Form
33
Torquay Torquay
Attack
51
Defence
70
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 14 31
2 Truro City Truro City 14 30
3 Maidstone Utd Maidstone Utd 15 29
4 Salisbury Salisbury 14 28
5 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 15 27
6 Farnham Town Farnham Town 15 26
7 Billericay Town Billericay Town 13 25
8 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 15 24
9 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 15 24
10 Horsham Horsham 15 22
11 Dover Dover 14 22
12 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 14 21
13 Torquay Torquay 14 20
14 Folkestone Invicta Folkestone Invicta 15 20
15 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 14 18
16 Farnborough Farnborough 15 17
17 Braintree Braintree 14 16
18 AFC Totton AFC Totton 15 16
19 Maidenhead Maidenhead 15 15
20 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 15 15
21 Chesham United Chesham United 14 11
22 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 15 9
23 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham 14 8
24 Slough Town Slough Town 15 4
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Torquay?
The model gives Hemel Hempstead Town a 28% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 47% for an Torquay win.
How many goals are expected in Hemel Hempstead Town vs Torquay?
Expected goals: Hemel Hempstead Town 1.1, Torquay 1.8 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Hemel Hempstead Town vs Torquay?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.49%.