Hemel Hempstead Town - Torquay
National League South
November 10, 2026 20:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.1%
Win
Hemel Hempstead Town
24.78%
Draw
47.12%
Win
Torquay
1.14
1.85
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.49%)
1X2 Result
1
28%
X
25%
2
47%
Double Chance
1X
53%
X2
72%
12
75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Torquay a 47% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Hemel Hempstead Town. Expected goals are 1.1 for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.8 for Torquay (total 3.0), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.49% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Hemel Hempstead Town have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Torquay.
Season Stats
3W
6D
6L
5W
5D
5L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
1.6
1.5
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
87%
33%
O 2.5
53%
47%
BTTS
53%
27%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in National League South. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
1W
5D
4L
· at home
5W
0D
5L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.8
1.6
Conceded
1.4
10%
Win %
50%
60%
Win or Draw
50%
90%
O 1.5
90%
40%
O 2.5
70%
30%
O 3.5
30%
80%
BTTS
40%
0%
Clean Sht
20%
20%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Hemel Hempstead Town
Torquay →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Hemel Hempstead Town
Attack
22
Defence
59
Form
33
Torquay
Attack
51
Defence
70
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ebbsfleet United
|
14 | 31 |
| 2 |
Truro City
|
14 | 30 |
| 3 |
Maidstone Utd
|
15 | 29 |
| 4 |
Salisbury
|
14 | 28 |
| 5 |
Dorking Wanderers
|
15 | 27 |
| 6 |
Farnham Town
|
15 | 26 |
| 7 |
Billericay Town
|
13 | 25 |
| 8 |
Tonbridge Angels
|
15 | 24 |
| 9 |
Dagenham & Redbridge
|
15 | 24 |
| 10 |
Horsham
|
15 | 22 |
| 11 |
Dover
|
14 | 22 |
| 12 |
Chelmsford City
|
14 | 21 |
| 13 |
Torquay
|
14 | 20 |
| 14 |
Folkestone Invicta
|
15 | 20 |
| 15 |
Weston-super-Mare
|
14 | 18 |
| 16 |
Farnborough
|
15 | 17 |
| 17 |
Braintree
|
14 | 16 |
| 18 |
AFC Totton
|
15 | 16 |
| 19 |
Maidenhead
|
15 | 15 |
| 20 |
Hemel Hempstead Town
|
15 | 15 |
| 21 |
Chesham United
|
14 | 11 |
| 22 |
Hampton & Richmond
|
15 | 9 |
| 23 |
Walton & Hersham
|
14 | 8 |
| 24 |
Slough Town
|
15 | 4 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Torquay?
The model gives Hemel Hempstead Town a 28% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 47% for an Torquay win.
How many goals are expected in Hemel Hempstead Town vs Torquay?
Expected goals: Hemel Hempstead Town 1.1, Torquay 1.8 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Hemel Hempstead Town vs Torquay?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.49%.