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Hemel Hempstead Town - Wingate & Finchley

FA Cup September 19, 2026 16:00
Hemel Hempstead Town
vs
Wingate & Finchley
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.43%
Win
Hemel Hempstead Town
32.92%
Draw
32.65%
Win
Wingate & Finchley
0.98
Expected xG
0.83

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.67%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 66%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Hemel Hempstead Town a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Wingate & Finchley. Expected goals are 1.0 for Hemel Hempstead Town and 0.8 for Wingate & Finchley (total 1.8), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.67% probability.

Season Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town
3W 2D 0L
Wingate & Finchley
2W 2D 1L
Averages per game
2.4
Goals
1.4
1.0
Conceded
1.8
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
60%
80%
O 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
40%
20%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
Hemel Hempstead Town
2W 1D 0L · at home
Wingate & Finchley
1W 1D 1L · away
2.7
gls/g
1.3
1.3
Conceded
2.3
67%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
33%
67%
O 3.5
33%
100%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
67%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Hemel Hempstead Town Wingate & Finchley →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.3% 13.5% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.1% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.9% 6.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% —
3 2.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% —
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town
D Wigan 1–1
W Yeovil Town 2–1
W Hereford 0–3
D Hereford 2–2
W Bishop's Stortford 4–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 14%
Wingate & Finchley Wingate & Finchley
W Felixstowe & Walton Utd 0–2
D Felixstowe & Walton Utd 0–0
L Dorking Wanderers 7–2
W Carshalton Athletic 3–2
D Carshalton Athletic 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town
Attack
21
Defence
72
Form
46
Wingate & Finchley Wingate & Finchley
Attack
21
Defence
78
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Wingate & Finchley?
The model gives Hemel Hempstead Town a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Wingate & Finchley win.
How many goals are expected in Hemel Hempstead Town vs Wingate & Finchley?
Expected goals: Hemel Hempstead Town 1.0, Wingate & Finchley 0.8 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Hemel Hempstead Town vs Wingate & Finchley?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.67%.