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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 30 April 11, 2026 21:00
Heracles
0 – 3
Final score
Ajax
#2 · 24 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Ajax
16' (ast. J. Mokio) M. Godts
17' (ast. W. Weghorst) S. Berghuis
47' (ast. O. Gloukh) S. Berghuis
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 59% win probability (draw 22%, Heracles 17%). The final result was Heracles 0–3 Ajax. In 1 previous meetings, Heracles have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ajax.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
6
1.25
Actual xG
1.92
3
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
7
Corners
5
24
Tackles
28
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
16'
ast. J. Mokio · M. Godts⚽
17'
ast. W. Weghorst · S. Berghuis⚽
↕ T. Bruns / S. Cestic
46'
47'
ast. O. Gloukh · S. Berghuis⚽
↕ N. Unuvar / L. Kulenovic
54'
↕ J. Wieckhoff / D. van der Kust
55'
↕ T. van Gilst / E. Ahlstrand
55'
↕ I. Mesik / W. Ould Chikh
65'
66'
T. Tomiyasu / K. Itakura ↕
Walid Ould-Chikh
74'
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
76'
78'
79'
Takehiro Tomiyasu
84'
O. Edvardsen / S. Berghuis ↕
84'
S. Steur / O. Gloukh ↕
87'
A. Bouwman / M. Godts ↕
Pre-match prediction
17.98%
Heracles
22.46%
X
59.56%
Ajax ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Ajax) 59.56% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Heracles
0.60
1.25
+0.65
Ajax
1.79
1.92
+0.13
Ajax dominated by xG (1.92 vs 1.25). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 11 25
2 Ajax Ajax 11 24
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 11 23
4 Twente Twente 11 23
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 11 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 11 19
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 11 18
8 Groningen Groningen 11 15
9 Cambuur Cambuur 11 15
10 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 11 14
11 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 11 12
12 Utrecht Utrecht 11 12
13 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 11 11
14 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 11 11
15 Excelsior Excelsior 11 11
16 Telstar Telstar 11 9
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 11 6
18 Willem II Willem II 11 2
Lineups
Heracles Heracles 4-2-3-1
22 Remko Pasveer Remko Pasveer G 6.30
24 I. Mesík I. Mesík 65' D 5.90
18 Alec Van Hoorenbeeck Alec Van Hoorenbeeck D 6.00
4
D 6.50
3 J. Wieckhoff J. Wieckhoff 55' D 6.20
32 Sem Scheperman Sem Scheperman M 6.50
10 Thomas Bruns Thomas Bruns 45' M 6.60
9 N. Ünüvar N. Ünüvar 54' M 6.30
8 Mario Engels Mario Engels M 5.90
17 T. van Gilst T. van Gilst 55' M 6.00
25 L. Zeefuik L. Zeefuik F 7.20
Bench
5 Djevencio van der Kust Djevencio van der Kust 35' D 7.00
6 Sava Arangel Čestić Sava Arangel Čestić 45' D 6.30
73 Walid Ould-Chikh Walid Ould-Chikh 25' M 6.90
Ajax Ajax 4-3-3
26
G 7.30
2
D 7.50
15
D 7.90
37
D 7.20
3 A. Gaaei A. Gaaei D 6.90
24
1 👟 M 6.90
4 K. Itakura K. Itakura 66' M 6.60
10 Oscar Gloukh Oscar Gloukh 1 👟 84' M 7.50
11 M. Godts M. Godts 1 ⚽ 87' F 7.70
25 Wout Weghorst Wout Weghorst 1 👟 F 6.70
23 Steven Berghuis Steven Berghuis 2 ⚽ 84' F 9.60
Bench
19 Don-Angelo Konadu Don-Angelo Konadu F
9 K. Dolberg K. Dolberg F
53
M. van der Lans D
17 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen Oliver Valaker Edvardsen 13' F 6.50
5 Owen Wijndal Owen Wijndal D
52 Paul Reverson Paul Reverson G
48 Sean Steur Sean Steur 13' M 6.70
32 T. Tomiyasu T. Tomiyasu 13' D 4.60
Best on the pitch
Steven Berghuis
Steven Berghuis
F · Ajax
9.60
2 ⚽
5 shots · 40 pass
D · Ajax
7.90
· 52 pass
M. Godts
M. Godts
F · Ajax
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 37 pass
Oscar Gloukh
Oscar Gloukh
M · Ajax
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 51 pass
D · Ajax
7.50
· 53 pass
G · Ajax
7.30
· 33 pass
Heracles Heracles — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Remko Pasveer G 90 6.30 — — — 34 22% — — —
I. Mesík D 65 5.90 — — 1 18 17% 3 — —
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck D 90 6.00 — — 1 49 45% 1 1 —
D 90 6.50 — — 1 43 35% 2 — —
J. Wieckhoff D 55 6.20 — — — 14 13% 3 — —
Sem Scheperman M 90 6.50 — — — 20 16% 3 — —
Thomas Bruns M 45 6.60 — — — 21 17% 4 — —
N. Ünüvar M 54 6.30 — — — 10 9% 2 — —
Mario Engels M 90 5.90 — — 1 10 9% — — —
T. van Gilst M 55 6.00 — — — 7 6% 1 — —
L. Zeefuik F 90 7.20 — — 1 10 7% — — —
Djevencio van der Kust D 35 7.00 — — — 13 12% 3 — —
Sava Arangel Čestić D 45 6.30 — — 4 25 19% 2 — —
Walid Ould-Chikh M 25 6.90 — — 1 10 6% — 1 —
Ajax Ajax — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 33 22% — — —
D 90 7.50 — — — 53 49% 4 — —
D 90 7.90 — — — 52 48% 3 — —
D 90 7.20 — — — 69 64% 2 — —
A. Gaaei D 90 6.90 — — — 34 27% 4 — —
M 90 6.90 — 1 3 35 28% 7 — —
K. Itakura M 66 6.60 — — — 38 34% 2 — —
Oscar Gloukh M 84 7.50 — 1 1 51 48% 2 — —
M. Godts F 87 7.70 1 — 2 37 29% 1 — —
Wout Weghorst F 90 6.70 — 1 2 36 29% 2 — —
Steven Berghuis F 84 9.60 2 — 5 40 36% — — —
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen F 13 6.50 — — — 1 — — — —
Sean Steur M 13 6.70 — — — 5 5% — — —
T. Tomiyasu D 13 4.60 — — — 9 8% 1 — 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Heracles vs Ajax?
The final score was Heracles 0–3 Ajax.
What did the model predict before Heracles vs Ajax?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Heracles win, 22% to a draw, and 59% to an Ajax win.