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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 30 April 11, 2026 23:00
Heracles
#18 · 19 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Ajax
#5 · 55 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Ajax
16' (ast. J. Mokio) M. Godts
17' (ast. W. Weghorst) S. Berghuis
47' (ast. O. Gloukh) S. Berghuis

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 59% win probability (draw 22%, Heracles 17%). The final result was Heracles 0–3 Ajax. In 1 previous meetings, Heracles have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ajax.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
6
1.25
Actual xG
1.92
3
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
7
Corners
5
24
Tackles
28
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
16'
ast. J. Mokio · M. Godts⚽
17'
ast. W. Weghorst · S. Berghuis⚽
↕ T. Bruns / S. Cestic
46'
47'
ast. O. Gloukh · S. Berghuis⚽
↕ N. Unuvar / L. Kulenovic
54'
↕ J. Wieckhoff / D. van der Kust
55'
↕ T. van Gilst / E. Ahlstrand
55'
↕ I. Mesik / W. Ould Chikh
65'
66'
T. Tomiyasu / K. Itakura ↕
Walid Ould-Chikh
74'
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
76'
78'
79'
Takehiro Tomiyasu
84'
O. Edvardsen / S. Berghuis ↕
84'
S. Steur / O. Gloukh ↕
87'
A. Bouwman / M. Godts ↕
Pre-match prediction
17.98%
Heracles
22.46%
X
59.56%
Ajax ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Ajax) 59.56% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Heracles
0.60
1.25
+0.65
Ajax
1.79
1.92
+0.13
Ajax dominated by xG (1.92 vs 1.25). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 33 81
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 33 62
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 Twente Twente 33 58
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 33 56
5 Ajax Ajax 33 55
6 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 33 51
7 Utrecht Utrecht 33 50
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 33 50
9 Groningen Groningen 33 45
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 33 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 33 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 33 38
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 33 37
14 Excelsior Excelsior 33 35
15 Telstar Telstar 33 34
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 33 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 33 28
18 Heracles Heracles 33 19
Lineups
Heracles Heracles 4-2-3-1
22 Remko Pasveer Remko Pasveer G 6.30
24 I. Mesík I. Mesík 65' D 5.90
18
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck D 6.00
4
D 6.50
3 Jannes Wieckhoff Jannes Wieckhoff 55' D 6.20
32
S. Scheperman M 6.50
10 Thomas Bruns Thomas Bruns 45' M 6.60
9
N. Unuvar 54' M 6.30
8 Mario Engels Mario Engels M 5.90
17 Tristan van Gilst Tristan van Gilst 55' M 6.00
25 Lequincio Zeefuik Lequincio Zeefuik F 7.20
Bench
5 Djevencio van der Kust Djevencio van der Kust 35' D 7.00
6 Sava Arangel Čestić Sava Arangel Čestić 45' D 6.30
73 Walid Ould-Chikh Walid Ould-Chikh 25' M 6.90
Ajax Ajax 4-3-3
26
G 7.30
2
D 7.50
15
D 7.90
37
D 7.20
3 Anton Gaaei Anton Gaaei D 6.90
24
1 👟 M 6.90
4 Ko Itakura Ko Itakura 66' M 6.60
10 Oscar Gloukh Oscar Gloukh 1 👟 84' M 7.50
11 M. Godts M. Godts 1 ⚽ 87' F 7.70
25 W. Weghorst W. Weghorst 1 👟 F 6.70
23 Steven Berghuis Steven Berghuis 2 ⚽ 84' F 9.60
Bench
19 Don-Angelo Konadu Don-Angelo Konadu F
9 Kasper Dolberg Kasper Dolberg F
53
M. van der Lans D
17 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen Oliver Valaker Edvardsen 13' F 6.50
5
O. Wijndal D
52 Paul Reverson Paul Reverson G
48 Sean Steur Sean Steur 13' M 6.70
32 Takehiro Tomiyasu Takehiro Tomiyasu 13' D 4.60
Best on the pitch
Steven Berghuis
Steven Berghuis
F · Ajax
9.60
2 ⚽
5 shots · 40 pass
D · Ajax
7.90
· 52 pass
M. Godts
M. Godts
F · Ajax
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 37 pass
Oscar Gloukh
Oscar Gloukh
M · Ajax
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 51 pass
D · Ajax
7.50
· 53 pass
G · Ajax
7.30
· 33 pass
Heracles Heracles — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Remko Pasveer G 90 6.30 — — — 34 22% — — —
I. Mesík D 65 5.90 — — 1 18 17% 3 — —
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck D 90 6.00 — — 1 49 45% 1 1 —
D 90 6.50 — — 1 43 35% 2 — —
Jannes Wieckhoff D 55 6.20 — — — 14 13% 3 — —
S. Scheperman M 90 6.50 — — — 20 16% 3 — —
Thomas Bruns M 45 6.60 — — — 21 17% 4 — —
N. Unuvar M 54 6.30 — — — 10 9% 2 — —
Mario Engels M 90 5.90 — — 1 10 9% — — —
Tristan van Gilst M 55 6.00 — — — 7 6% 1 — —
Lequincio Zeefuik F 90 7.20 — — 1 10 7% — — —
Djevencio van der Kust D 35 7.00 — — — 13 12% 3 — —
Sava Arangel Čestić D 45 6.30 — — 4 25 19% 2 — —
Walid Ould-Chikh M 25 6.90 — — 1 10 6% — 1 —
Ajax Ajax — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 33 22% — — —
D 90 7.50 — — — 53 49% 4 — —
D 90 7.90 — — — 52 48% 3 — —
D 90 7.20 — — — 69 64% 2 — —
Anton Gaaei D 90 6.90 — — — 34 27% 4 — —
M 90 6.90 — 1 3 35 28% 7 — —
Ko Itakura M 66 6.60 — — — 38 34% 2 — —
Oscar Gloukh M 84 7.50 — 1 1 51 48% 2 — —
M. Godts F 87 7.70 1 — 2 37 29% 1 — —
W. Weghorst F 90 6.70 — 1 2 36 29% 2 — —
Steven Berghuis F 84 9.60 2 — 5 40 36% — — —
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen F 13 6.50 — — — 1 — — — —
Sean Steur M 13 6.70 — — — 5 5% — — —
Takehiro Tomiyasu D 13 4.60 — — — 9 8% 1 — 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Heracles vs Ajax?
The final score was Heracles 0–3 Ajax.
What did the model predict before Heracles vs Ajax?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Heracles win, 22% to a draw, and 59% to an Ajax win.