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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 30 April 11, 2026 21:00
Heracles
0 – 3
Final score
Ajax
#5 · 10 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Ajax
16' (ast. J. Mokio) M. Godts
17' (ast. W. Weghorst) S. Berghuis
47' (ast. O. Gloukh) S. Berghuis
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 59% win probability (draw 22%, Heracles 17%). The final result was Heracles 0–3 Ajax. In 1 previous meetings, Heracles have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ajax.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
6
1.25
Actual xG
1.92
3
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
7
Corners
5
24
Tackles
28
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
16'
ast. J. Mokio · M. Godts⚽
17'
ast. W. Weghorst · S. Berghuis⚽
↕ T. Bruns / S. Cestic
46'
47'
ast. O. Gloukh · S. Berghuis⚽
↕ N. Unuvar / L. Kulenovic
54'
↕ J. Wieckhoff / D. van der Kust
55'
↕ T. van Gilst / E. Ahlstrand
55'
↕ I. Mesik / W. Ould Chikh
65'
66'
T. Tomiyasu / K. Itakura ↕
Walid Ould-Chikh
74'
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
76'
78'
79'
Takehiro Tomiyasu
84'
O. Edvardsen / S. Berghuis ↕
84'
S. Steur / O. Gloukh ↕
87'
A. Bouwman / M. Godts ↕
Pre-match prediction
17.98%
Heracles
22.46%
X
59.56%
Ajax ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Ajax) 59.56% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Heracles
0.60
1.25
+0.65
Ajax
1.79
1.92
+0.13
Ajax dominated by xG (1.92 vs 1.25). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 6 16
2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5 13
3 Twente Twente 6 13
4 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5 11
5 Ajax Ajax 5 10
6 Excelsior Excelsior 5 10
7 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 6 10
8 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 6 9
9 Groningen Groningen 6 8
10 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 6 7
11 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 5 5
12 Heerenveen Heerenveen 5 5
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 5 4
14 Telstar Telstar 5 4
15 Cambuur Cambuur 6 4
16 Utrecht Utrecht 5 2
17 Willem II Willem II 5 2
18 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 6 1
Lineups
Heracles Heracles 4-2-3-1
22 R. Pasveer R. Pasveer G 6.30
24 I. Mesík I. Mesík 65' D 5.90
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck A. Van Hoorenbeeck D 6.00
4
D 6.50
3 Jannes Wieckhoff Jannes Wieckhoff 55' D 6.20
32 S. Scheperman S. Scheperman M 6.50
10 T. Bruns T. Bruns 45' M 6.60
9 N. Ünüvar N. Ünüvar 54' M 6.30
8 Mario Engels Mario Engels M 5.90
17 T. van Gilst T. van Gilst 55' M 6.00
25 L. Zeefuik L. Zeefuik F 7.20
Bench
5 D. van der Kust D. van der Kust 35' D 7.00
6 Sava Arangel Čestić Sava Arangel Čestić 45' D 6.30
73 Walid Ould-Chikh Walid Ould-Chikh 25' M 6.90
Ajax Ajax 4-3-3
26
G 7.30
2
D 7.50
15
D 7.90
37
D 7.20
3 A. Gaaei A. Gaaei D 6.90
24
1 👟 M 6.90
4 K. Itakura K. Itakura 66' M 6.60
10 O. Gloukh O. Gloukh 1 👟 84' M 7.50
11 M. Godts M. Godts 1 ⚽ 87' F 7.70
25 W. Weghorst W. Weghorst 1 👟 F 6.70
23 S. Berghuis S. Berghuis 2 ⚽ 84' F 9.60
Bench
19 Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu F
9 K. Dolberg K. Dolberg F
53
M. van der Lans D
17 O. Edvardsen O. Edvardsen 13' F 6.50
5 O. Wijndal O. Wijndal D
52 Paul Reverson Paul Reverson G
48 Sean Steur Sean Steur 13' M 6.70
32 T. Tomiyasu T. Tomiyasu 13' D 4.60
Best on the pitch
S. Berghuis
S. Berghuis
F · Ajax
9.60
2 ⚽
5 shots · 40 pass
D · Ajax
7.90
· 52 pass
M. Godts
M. Godts
F · Ajax
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 37 pass
O. Gloukh
O. Gloukh
M · Ajax
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 51 pass
D · Ajax
7.50
· 53 pass
G · Ajax
7.30
· 33 pass
Heracles Heracles — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Pasveer G 90 6.30 — — — 34 22% — — —
I. Mesík D 65 5.90 — — 1 18 17% 3 — —
A. Van Hoorenbeeck D 90 6.00 — — 1 49 45% 1 1 —
D 90 6.50 — — 1 43 35% 2 — —
Jannes Wieckhoff D 55 6.20 — — — 14 13% 3 — —
S. Scheperman M 90 6.50 — — — 20 16% 3 — —
T. Bruns M 45 6.60 — — — 21 17% 4 — —
N. Ünüvar M 54 6.30 — — — 10 9% 2 — —
Mario Engels M 90 5.90 — — 1 10 9% — — —
T. van Gilst M 55 6.00 — — — 7 6% 1 — —
L. Zeefuik F 90 7.20 — — 1 10 7% — — —
D. van der Kust D 35 7.00 — — — 13 12% 3 — —
Sava Arangel Čestić D 45 6.30 — — 4 25 19% 2 — —
Walid Ould-Chikh M 25 6.90 — — 1 10 6% — 1 —
Ajax Ajax — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 33 22% — — —
D 90 7.50 — — — 53 49% 4 — —
D 90 7.90 — — — 52 48% 3 — —
D 90 7.20 — — — 69 64% 2 — —
A. Gaaei D 90 6.90 — — — 34 27% 4 — —
M 90 6.90 — 1 3 35 28% 7 — —
K. Itakura M 66 6.60 — — — 38 34% 2 — —
O. Gloukh M 84 7.50 — 1 1 51 48% 2 — —
M. Godts F 87 7.70 1 — 2 37 29% 1 — —
W. Weghorst F 90 6.70 — 1 2 36 29% 2 — —
S. Berghuis F 84 9.60 2 — 5 40 36% — — —
O. Edvardsen F 13 6.50 — — — 1 — — — —
Sean Steur M 13 6.70 — — — 5 5% — — —
T. Tomiyasu D 13 4.60 — — — 9 8% 1 — 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Heracles vs Ajax?
The final score was Heracles 0–3 Ajax.
What did the model predict before Heracles vs Ajax?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Heracles win, 22% to a draw, and 59% to an Ajax win.