Eredivisie · Regular Season - 28 March 20, 2026 20:00

Heracles

#18 · 19 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Excelsior

#13 · 38 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Excelsior a 38% win probability (draw 34%, Heracles 26%). The final result was Heracles 1–1 Excelsior. In 1 previous meetings, Heracles have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Excelsior.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

3

1.52

Actual xG

1.03

50%

Possession

50%

6

Corners

1

Pre-match prediction

26.58%

Heracles

34.83%

X ←

38.59%

Excelsior

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 34.83% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Heracles

0.50

1.52

+1.02

Excelsior

1.03

1.03

+0.0

Heracles dominated by xG (1.52 vs 1.03). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Roda	1	1
1	Willem II	1	3
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	84
2	Feyenoord	34	65
2	Waalwijk	1	1
2	Waalwijk	1	0
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	59
4	Twente	34	58
5	Ajax	34	56
6	Utrecht	34	53
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	52
8	Heerenveen	34	51
9	Groningen	34	48
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	43
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	39
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	38
13	Excelsior	34	38
14	Telstar	34	37
15	PEC Zwolle	34	37
16	FC Volendam	34	32
17	NAC Breda	34	29
18	Heracles	34	19