Eredivisie · Regular Season - 28 March 20, 2026 20:00

Heracles

1 – 1

Final score

Excelsior

#7 · 11 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Excelsior a 38% win probability (draw 34%, Heracles 26%). The final result was Heracles 1–1 Excelsior. In 2 previous meetings, Heracles have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Excelsior.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

3

1.52

Actual xG

1.03

50%

Possession

50%

6

Corners

1

Pre-match prediction

26.58%

Heracles

34.83%

X ←

38.59%

Excelsior

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 34.83% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Heracles

0.50

1.52

+1.02

Excelsior

1.03

1.03

+0.0

Heracles dominated by xG (1.52 vs 1.03). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	19
2	Feyenoord	7	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	16
4	Twente	7	16
5	Ajax	7	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	13
7	Excelsior	7	11
8	Groningen	7	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	10
10	Heerenveen	7	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	5
13	Telstar	7	5
14	Cambuur	7	5
15	Utrecht	7	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	2
18	Willem II	7	2