Eredivisie · Regular Season - 28 March 20, 2026 21:00

Heracles

#18 · 19 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Excelsior

#14 · 35 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Excelsior a 38% win probability (draw 34%, Heracles 26%). The final result was Heracles 1–1 Excelsior. In 1 previous meetings, Heracles have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Excelsior.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

3

1.52

Actual xG

1.03

50%

Possession

50%

6

Corners

1

Pre-match prediction

26.58%

Heracles

34.83%

X ←

38.59%

Excelsior

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 34.83% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Heracles

0.50

1.52

+1.02

Excelsior

1.03

1.03

+0.0

Heracles dominated by xG (1.52 vs 1.03). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Roda	1	1
1	Willem II	1	3
1	PSV Eindhoven	33	81
2	Feyenoord	33	62
2	Waalwijk	1	1
2	Waalwijk	1	0
3	Twente	33	58
4	NEC Nijmegen	33	56
5	Ajax	33	55
6	AZ Alkmaar	33	51
7	Utrecht	33	50
8	Heerenveen	33	50
9	Groningen	33	45
10	Sparta Rotterdam	33	43
11	Fortuna Sittard	33	39
12	GO Ahead Eagles	33	38
13	PEC Zwolle	33	37
14	Excelsior	33	35
15	Telstar	33	34
16	FC Volendam	33	32
17	NAC Breda	33	28
18	Heracles	33	19