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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 34 May 17, 2026 14:30
Heracles
1 – 2
Final score
Groningen
#8 · 15 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Groningen
T. van Gilst (ast. M. Benita) 17'
3' D. van der Werff
56' (ast. M. Rente) T. Land
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Groningen a 65% win probability (draw 20%, Heracles 14%). The final result was Heracles 1–2 Groningen. In 2 previous meetings, Heracles have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Groningen.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
5
0.64
Actual xG
1.19
3
Saves
1
53%
Possession
47%
9
Corners
5
13
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
D. van der Werff⚽
⚽T. van Gilst · ast. M. Benita
17'
56'
ast. M. Rente · T. Land⚽
61'
T. Hernes / D. van der Werff ↕
74'
R. Mendes / T. Land ↕
↕ M. Engels / E. Ahlstrand
76'
↕ T. Bruns / R. Bozinovski
76'
↕ W. Ould Chikh / T. Hamamioglu
76'
↕ M. Benita / J. Wijnreder
85'
J. Zamburek
87'
↕ J. Zamburek / S. Blokhuis
88'
89'
J. Dillema / T. van Bergen ↕
89'
W. Prins / Y. Taha ↕
90'
T. Hernes
Pre-match prediction
14.54%
Heracles
20.45%
X
65.01%
Groningen ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Groningen) 65.01% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Heracles
0.63
0.64
+0.01
Groningen
1.92
1.19
-0.73
Groningen dominated by xG (1.19 vs 0.64). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 11 25
2 Ajax Ajax 11 24
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 11 23
4 Twente Twente 11 23
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 11 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 11 19
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 11 18
8 Groningen Groningen 11 15
9 Cambuur Cambuur 11 15
10 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 11 14
11 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 11 12
12 Utrecht Utrecht 11 12
13 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 11 11
14 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 11 11
15 Excelsior Excelsior 11 11
16 Telstar Telstar 11 9
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 11 6
18 Willem II Willem II 11 2
Lineups
Heracles Heracles 4-2-3-1
16 Timo Jansink Timo Jansink G 6.30
5 Djevencio van der Kust Djevencio van der Kust D 5.90
4 Damon Mirani Damon Mirani D 6.30
23 Mike te Wierik Mike te Wierik D 6.70
2 Mimeirhel Benita Mimeirhel Benita 1 👟 85' D 6.20
32 Sem Scheperman Sem Scheperman M 6.90
13 J. Žambůrek J. Žambůrek 88' M 6.30
73 Walid Ould-Chikh Walid Ould-Chikh 76' M 8.50
10 Thomas Bruns Thomas Bruns 76' M 7.30
17 T. van Gilst T. van Gilst 1 ⚽ M 7.20
8 Mario Engels Mario Engels 75' F 6.00
Bench
18 Alec Van Hoorenbeeck Alec Van Hoorenbeeck D
14 E. Ahlstrand E. Ahlstrand 19' M 6.90
38 Jeppe Wijnreder Jeppe Wijnreder 9' D 6.60
27 Jop Tijink Jop Tijink D
3 J. Wieckhoff J. Wieckhoff D
25 L. Zeefuik L. Zeefuik F
22 Remko Pasveer Remko Pasveer G
20 Rhys Bozinovski Rhys Bozinovski 18' M 6.70
30 Robin Mantel Robin Mantel G
6 Sava Arangel Čestić Sava Arangel Čestić D
39 Sil Blokhuis Sil Blokhuis 6' M
41 Tarik Hamamioglu Tarik Hamamioglu 18' F 6.20
Groningen Groningen 4-2-3-1
1 E. Vaessen E. Vaessen G 5.90
43 M. Peersman M. Peersman D 7.00
4 Dies Janse Dies Janse D 6.60
3 T. Blokzijl T. Blokzijl D 7.00
5 M. Rente M. Rente 1 👟 D 6.30
18 T. Land T. Land 1 ⚽ 74' M 7.90
8 T. de Jonge T. de Jonge M 6.30
14 J. Schreuders J. Schreuders M 6.70
10 Younes Taha Younes Taha 89' M 6.20
17 D. van der Werff D. van der Werff 1 ⚽ 61' M 7.30
26 T. van Bergen T. van Bergen 89' F 7.00
Bench
44 Besnik Mashuku Besnik Mashuku 5' M
9 B. Willumsson B. Willumsson F
15 E. van der Laan E. van der Laan D
21 Hidde Jurjus Hidde Jurjus G
13 L. Štubljar L. Štubljar G
34 R. Metu R. Metu F
48 Robin Kelder Robin Kelder D
27 Rui Mendes Rui Mendes 20' F 6.30
22 Sven Bouland Sven Bouland D
7 Travis Hernes Travis Hernes 33' M 6.30
16 Tyrique Mercera Tyrique Mercera D
2 Wouter Prins Wouter Prins 5' D
Best on the pitch
Walid Ould-Chikh
Walid Ould-Chikh
M · Heracles
8.50
· 31 pass
T. Land
T. Land
M · Groningen
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 37 pass
Thomas Bruns
Thomas Bruns
M · Heracles
7.30
· 30 pass
D. van der Werff
D. van der Werff
M · Groningen
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
T. van Gilst
T. van Gilst
M · Heracles
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
T. van Bergen
T. van Bergen
F · Groningen
7.00
3 shots · 13 pass
Heracles Heracles — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Timo Jansink G 94 6.30 — — — 55 35% — — —
Djevencio van der Kust D 94 5.90 — — — 28 19% 2 — —
Damon Mirani D 94 6.30 — — 2 50 45% 1 — —
Mike te Wierik D 94 6.70 — — — 40 33% 2 — —
Mimeirhel Benita D 85 6.20 — 1 — 42 31% — — —
Sem Scheperman M 94 6.90 — — 2 43 38% — — —
J. Žambůrek M 88 6.30 — — — 15 9% — 1 —
Walid Ould-Chikh M 76 8.50 — — — 31 24% 3 — —
Thomas Bruns M 76 7.30 — — — 30 26% 1 — —
T. van Gilst M 94 7.20 1 — 2 28 23% — — —
Mario Engels F 75 6.00 — — 2 13 11% 1 — —
E. Ahlstrand M 19 6.90 — — — 7 4% 3 — —
Jeppe Wijnreder D 9 6.60 — — — 5 2% — — —
Rhys Bozinovski M 18 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Sil Blokhuis M 6 — — — — 1 — — — —
Tarik Hamamioglu F 18 6.20 — — 1 1 — — — —
Groningen Groningen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Vaessen G 94 5.90 — — — 34 16% — — —
M. Peersman D 94 7.00 — — 1 28 23% 2 — —
Dies Janse D 94 6.60 — — — 45 35% — — —
T. Blokzijl D 94 7.00 — — — 42 38% 3 — —
M. Rente D 94 6.30 — 1 — 40 24% — — —
T. Land M 74 7.90 1 — 1 37 36% — — —
T. de Jonge M 94 6.30 — — 2 26 21% 1 — —
J. Schreuders M 94 6.70 — — — 27 21% 2 — —
Younes Taha M 89 6.20 — — 4 28 22% — — —
D. van der Werff M 61 7.30 1 — 1 23 17% 1 — —
T. van Bergen F 89 7.00 — — 3 13 8% 1 — —
Besnik Mashuku M 5 — — — — — — — — —
Rui Mendes F 20 6.30 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Travis Hernes M 33 6.30 — — 1 5 4% — 1 —
Wouter Prins D 5 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Heracles vs Groningen?
The final score was Heracles 1–2 Groningen.
What did the model predict before Heracles vs Groningen?
The model assigned 14% probability to a Heracles win, 20% to a draw, and 65% to an Groningen win.