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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 34 May 17, 2026 14:30
Heracles
#18 · 19 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Groningen
#9 · 48 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Groningen
T. van Gilst (ast. M. Benita) 17'
3' D. van der Werff
56' (ast. M. Rente) T. Land
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Groningen a 65% win probability (draw 20%, Heracles 14%). The final result was Heracles 1–2 Groningen. In 1 previous meetings, Heracles have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Groningen.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
5
0.64
Actual xG
1.19
3
Saves
1
53%
Possession
47%
9
Corners
5
13
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
D. van der Werff⚽
⚽T. van Gilst · ast. M. Benita
17'
56'
ast. M. Rente · T. Land⚽
61'
T. Hernes / D. van der Werff ↕
74'
R. Mendes / T. Land ↕
↕ M. Engels / E. Ahlstrand
76'
↕ T. Bruns / R. Bozinovski
76'
↕ W. Ould Chikh / T. Hamamioglu
76'
↕ M. Benita / J. Wijnreder
85'
J. Zamburek
87'
↕ J. Zamburek / S. Blokhuis
88'
89'
J. Dillema / T. van Bergen ↕
89'
W. Prins / Y. Taha ↕
90'
T. Hernes
Pre-match prediction
14.54%
Heracles
20.45%
X
65.01%
Groningen ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Groningen) 65.01% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Heracles
0.63
0.64
+0.01
Groningen
1.92
1.19
-0.73
Groningen dominated by xG (1.19 vs 0.64). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 34 84
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 34 65
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 34 59
4 Twente Twente 34 58
5 Ajax Ajax 34 56
6 Utrecht Utrecht 34 53
7 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 34 52
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 34 51
9 Groningen Groningen 34 48
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 34 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 34 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 34 38
13 Excelsior Excelsior 34 38
14 Telstar Telstar 34 37
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 34 37
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 34 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 34 29
18 Heracles Heracles 34 19
Lineups
Heracles Heracles 4-2-3-1
16 Timo Jansink Timo Jansink G 6.30
5 Djevencio van der Kust Djevencio van der Kust D 5.90
4 Damon Mirani Damon Mirani D 6.30
23 Mike te Wierik Mike te Wierik D 6.70
2 Mimeirhel Benita Mimeirhel Benita 1 👟 85' D 6.20
32 Sem Scheperman Sem Scheperman M 6.90
13 Jan Žambůrek Jan Žambůrek 88' M 6.30
73 Walid Ould-Chikh Walid Ould-Chikh 76' M 8.50
10 Thomas Bruns Thomas Bruns 76' M 7.30
17 Tristan van Gilst Tristan van Gilst 1 ⚽ M 7.20
8 Mario Engels Mario Engels 75' F 6.00
Bench
18 Alec Van Hoorenbeeck Alec Van Hoorenbeeck D
14 Erik Ahlstrand Erik Ahlstrand 19' M 6.90
3 Jannes Wieckhoff Jannes Wieckhoff D
38 Jeppe Wijnreder Jeppe Wijnreder 9' D 6.60
27 Jop Tijink Jop Tijink D
25 Lequincio Zeefuik Lequincio Zeefuik F
22 Remko Pasveer Remko Pasveer G
20 Rhys Bozinovski Rhys Bozinovski 18' M 6.70
30 Robin Mantel Robin Mantel G
6 Sava Arangel Čestić Sava Arangel Čestić D
39 Sil Blokhuis Sil Blokhuis 6' M
41 Tarik Hamamioglu Tarik Hamamioglu 18' F 6.20
Groningen Groningen 4-2-3-1
1 E. Vaessen E. Vaessen G 5.90
43 M. Peersman M. Peersman D 7.00
4 D. Janse D. Janse D 6.60
3 Thijmen Blokzijl Thijmen Blokzijl D 7.00
5 Marco Rente Marco Rente 1 👟 D 6.30
18 Tygo Land Tygo Land 1 ⚽ 74' M 7.90
8 Tika de Jonge Tika de Jonge M 6.30
14 Jorg Schreuders Jorg Schreuders M 6.70
10 Y. Taha Y. Taha 89' M 6.20
17 David van der Werff David van der Werff 1 ⚽ 61' M 7.30
26 T. van Bergen T. van Bergen 89' F 7.00
Bench
9 Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson F
15 Elvis Van der Laan Elvis Van der Laan D
21 Hidde Jurjus Hidde Jurjus G
44 Jismerai Dillema Jismerai Dillema 5' M
13 Lovro Štubljar Lovro Štubljar G
48 Robin Kelder Robin Kelder D
27 Rui Mendes Rui Mendes 20' F 6.30
34 Ryan Metu Ryan Metu F
22 Sven Bouland Sven Bouland D
7 Travis Hernes Travis Hernes 33' M 6.30
16 Tyrique Mercera Tyrique Mercera D
2 Wouter Prins Wouter Prins 5' D
Best on the pitch
Walid Ould-Chikh
Walid Ould-Chikh
M · Heracles
8.50
· 31 pass
Tygo Land
Tygo Land
M · Groningen
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 37 pass
Thomas Bruns
Thomas Bruns
M · Heracles
7.30
· 30 pass
David van der Werff
David van der Werff
M · Groningen
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
Tristan van Gilst
Tristan van Gilst
M · Heracles
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
T. van Bergen
T. van Bergen
F · Groningen
7.00
3 shots · 13 pass
Heracles Heracles — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Timo Jansink G 94 6.30 — — — 55 35% — — —
Djevencio van der Kust D 94 5.90 — — — 28 19% 2 — —
Damon Mirani D 94 6.30 — — 2 50 45% 1 — —
Mike te Wierik D 94 6.70 — — — 40 33% 2 — —
Mimeirhel Benita D 85 6.20 — 1 — 42 31% — — —
Sem Scheperman M 94 6.90 — — 2 43 38% — — —
Jan Žambůrek M 88 6.30 — — — 15 9% — 1 —
Walid Ould-Chikh M 76 8.50 — — — 31 24% 3 — —
Thomas Bruns M 76 7.30 — — — 30 26% 1 — —
Tristan van Gilst M 94 7.20 1 — 2 28 23% — — —
Mario Engels F 75 6.00 — — 2 13 11% 1 — —
Erik Ahlstrand M 19 6.90 — — — 7 4% 3 — —
Jeppe Wijnreder D 9 6.60 — — — 5 2% — — —
Rhys Bozinovski M 18 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Sil Blokhuis M 6 — — — — 1 — — — —
Tarik Hamamioglu F 18 6.20 — — 1 1 — — — —
Groningen Groningen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Vaessen G 94 5.90 — — — 34 16% — — —
M. Peersman D 94 7.00 — — 1 28 23% 2 — —
D. Janse D 94 6.60 — — — 45 35% — — —
Thijmen Blokzijl D 94 7.00 — — — 42 38% 3 — —
Marco Rente D 94 6.30 — 1 — 40 24% — — —
Tygo Land M 74 7.90 1 — 1 37 36% — — —
Tika de Jonge M 94 6.30 — — 2 26 21% 1 — —
Jorg Schreuders M 94 6.70 — — — 27 21% 2 — —
Y. Taha M 89 6.20 — — 4 28 22% — — —
David van der Werff M 61 7.30 1 — 1 23 17% 1 — —
T. van Bergen F 89 7.00 — — 3 13 8% 1 — —
Jismerai Dillema M 5 — — — — — — — — —
Rui Mendes F 20 6.30 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Travis Hernes M 33 6.30 — — 1 5 4% — 1 —
Wouter Prins D 5 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Heracles vs Groningen?
The final score was Heracles 1–2 Groningen.
What did the model predict before Heracles vs Groningen?
The model assigned 14% probability to a Heracles win, 20% to a draw, and 65% to an Groningen win.