Skip to main content
← Eredivisie
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 34 May 17, 2026 14:30
Heracles
1 – 2
Final score
Groningen
#10 · 7 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Groningen
T. van Gilst (ast. M. Benita) 17'
3' D. van der Werff
56' (ast. M. Rente) T. Land
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Groningen a 65% win probability (draw 20%, Heracles 14%). The final result was Heracles 1–2 Groningen. In 2 previous meetings, Heracles have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Groningen.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
5
0.64
Actual xG
1.19
3
Saves
1
53%
Possession
47%
9
Corners
5
13
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
D. van der Werff⚽
⚽T. van Gilst · ast. M. Benita
17'
56'
ast. M. Rente · T. Land⚽
61'
T. Hernes / D. van der Werff ↕
74'
R. Mendes / T. Land ↕
↕ M. Engels / E. Ahlstrand
76'
↕ T. Bruns / R. Bozinovski
76'
↕ W. Ould Chikh / T. Hamamioglu
76'
↕ M. Benita / J. Wijnreder
85'
J. Zamburek
87'
↕ J. Zamburek / S. Blokhuis
88'
89'
J. Dillema / T. van Bergen ↕
89'
W. Prins / Y. Taha ↕
90'
T. Hernes
Pre-match prediction
14.54%
Heracles
20.45%
X
65.01%
Groningen ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Groningen) 65.01% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Heracles
0.63
0.64
+0.01
Groningen
1.92
1.19
-0.73
Groningen dominated by xG (1.19 vs 0.64). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 6 16
2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5 13
3 Twente Twente 6 13
4 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5 11
5 Excelsior Excelsior 5 10
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 5 10
7 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 5 8
8 Ajax Ajax 4 7
9 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 5 7
10 Groningen Groningen 5 7
11 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 5 5
12 Heerenveen Heerenveen 5 5
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 5 4
14 Telstar Telstar 5 4
15 Utrecht Utrecht 5 2
16 Willem II Willem II 5 2
17 Cambuur Cambuur 5 1
18 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 6 1
Lineups
Heracles Heracles 4-2-3-1
16 Timo Jansink Timo Jansink G 6.30
5 D. van der Kust D. van der Kust D 5.90
4 Damon Mirani Damon Mirani D 6.30
23 M. te Wierik M. te Wierik D 6.70
2 Mimeirhel Benita Mimeirhel Benita 1 👟 85' D 6.20
32 S. Scheperman S. Scheperman M 6.90
13 J. Žambůrek J. Žambůrek 88' M 6.30
73 Walid Ould-Chikh Walid Ould-Chikh 76' M 8.50
10 T. Bruns T. Bruns 76' M 7.30
17 T. van Gilst T. van Gilst 1 ⚽ M 7.20
8 Mario Engels Mario Engels 75' F 6.00
Bench
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
14 E. Ahlstrand E. Ahlstrand 19' M 6.90
3 Jannes Wieckhoff Jannes Wieckhoff D
38 Jeppe Wijnreder Jeppe Wijnreder 9' D 6.60
27 Jop Tijink Jop Tijink D
25 L. Zeefuik L. Zeefuik F
20 Rhys Bozinovski Rhys Bozinovski 18' M 6.70
30 Robin Mantel Robin Mantel G
22 R. Pasveer R. Pasveer G
6 Sava Arangel Čestić Sava Arangel Čestić D
39 Sil Blokhuis Sil Blokhuis 6' M
41 Tarik Hamamioglu Tarik Hamamioglu 18' F 6.20
Groningen Groningen 4-2-3-1
1 E. Vaessen E. Vaessen G 5.90
43 M. Peersman M. Peersman D 7.00
4 D. Janse D. Janse D 6.60
3 T. Blokzijl T. Blokzijl D 7.00
5 M. Rente M. Rente 1 👟 D 6.30
18 T. Land T. Land 1 ⚽ 74' M 7.90
8 T. de Jonge T. de Jonge M 6.30
14 J. Schreuders J. Schreuders M 6.70
10 Y. Taha Y. Taha 89' M 6.20
17 D. van der Werff D. van der Werff 1 ⚽ 61' M 7.30
26 T. van Bergen T. van Bergen 89' F 7.00
Bench
44 Besnik Mashuku Besnik Mashuku 5' M
9 B. Willumsson B. Willumsson F
15 E. van der Laan E. van der Laan D
21 Hidde Jurjus Hidde Jurjus G
13 L. Štubljar L. Štubljar G
48 Robin Kelder Robin Kelder D
27 Rui Mendes Rui Mendes 20' F 6.30
34 Ryan Metu Ryan Metu F
22 Sven Bouland Sven Bouland D
7 T. Hernes T. Hernes 33' M 6.30
16 Tyrique Mercera Tyrique Mercera D
2 Wouter Prins Wouter Prins 5' D
Best on the pitch
Walid Ould-Chikh
Walid Ould-Chikh
M · Heracles
8.50
· 31 pass
T. Land
T. Land
M · Groningen
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 37 pass
T. Bruns
T. Bruns
M · Heracles
7.30
· 30 pass
D. van der Werff
D. van der Werff
M · Groningen
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
T. van Gilst
T. van Gilst
M · Heracles
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
T. van Bergen
T. van Bergen
F · Groningen
7.00
3 shots · 13 pass
Heracles Heracles — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Timo Jansink G 94 6.30 — — — 55 35% — — —
D. van der Kust D 94 5.90 — — — 28 19% 2 — —
Damon Mirani D 94 6.30 — — 2 50 45% 1 — —
M. te Wierik D 94 6.70 — — — 40 33% 2 — —
Mimeirhel Benita D 85 6.20 — 1 — 42 31% — — —
S. Scheperman M 94 6.90 — — 2 43 38% — — —
J. Žambůrek M 88 6.30 — — — 15 9% — 1 —
Walid Ould-Chikh M 76 8.50 — — — 31 24% 3 — —
T. Bruns M 76 7.30 — — — 30 26% 1 — —
T. van Gilst M 94 7.20 1 — 2 28 23% — — —
Mario Engels F 75 6.00 — — 2 13 11% 1 — —
E. Ahlstrand M 19 6.90 — — — 7 4% 3 — —
Jeppe Wijnreder D 9 6.60 — — — 5 2% — — —
Rhys Bozinovski M 18 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Sil Blokhuis M 6 — — — — 1 — — — —
Tarik Hamamioglu F 18 6.20 — — 1 1 — — — —
Groningen Groningen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Vaessen G 94 5.90 — — — 34 16% — — —
M. Peersman D 94 7.00 — — 1 28 23% 2 — —
D. Janse D 94 6.60 — — — 45 35% — — —
T. Blokzijl D 94 7.00 — — — 42 38% 3 — —
M. Rente D 94 6.30 — 1 — 40 24% — — —
T. Land M 74 7.90 1 — 1 37 36% — — —
T. de Jonge M 94 6.30 — — 2 26 21% 1 — —
J. Schreuders M 94 6.70 — — — 27 21% 2 — —
Y. Taha M 89 6.20 — — 4 28 22% — — —
D. van der Werff M 61 7.30 1 — 1 23 17% 1 — —
T. van Bergen F 89 7.00 — — 3 13 8% 1 — —
Besnik Mashuku M 5 — — — — — — — — —
Rui Mendes F 20 6.30 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
T. Hernes M 33 6.30 — — 1 5 4% — 1 —
Wouter Prins D 5 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Heracles vs Groningen?
The final score was Heracles 1–2 Groningen.
What did the model predict before Heracles vs Groningen?
The model assigned 14% probability to a Heracles win, 20% to a draw, and 65% to an Groningen win.