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Herrera - Independiente de La Chorrera

LPF November 07, 2026 22:00 Estadio Los Milagros, Chitre
Herrera
#11 · 11 pts
vs
Independiente de La Chorrera
#7 · 20 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
16.27%
Win
Herrera
14.17%
Draw
69.56%
Win
Independiente de La Chorrera
1.15
Expected xG
2.91
Most likely outcome
Independiente de La Chorrera
69.56%
Probability
88.5%
1X2 accuracy · 26 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (8.48%)
1X2 Result
1 16%
X 14%
2 70%
Double Chance
1X 30%
X2 84%
12 86%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
✓ 89.1% hit rate (46 picks)
Over 2.5 74%
✓ 70.4% hit rate (27 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Independiente de La Chorrera a 69% win probability, against 14% for a draw and 16% for Herrera. Expected goals are 1.1 for Herrera and 2.9 for Independiente de La Chorrera (total 4.1), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.48% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Herrera have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Independiente de La Chorrera.

Season Stats

Herrera
3W 2D 10L
Independiente de La Chorrera
5W 6D 4L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.7
2.5
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
87%
73%
O 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
67%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in LPF. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Herrera
2W 1D 7L · at home
Independiente de La Chorrera
1W 3D 6L · away
0.9
gls/g
0.7
2.1
Conceded
1.5
20%
Win %
10%
30%
Win or Draw
40%
70%
O 1.5
70%
70%
O 2.5
30%
40%
O 3.5
10%
60%
BTTS
40%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
20%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Herrera Independiente de La Chorrera →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7% 5.0% 7.3% 7.1% 5.2% 3.0%
1 2.0% 5.8% 8.4% 8.2% 5.9% 3.5%
2 1.1% 3.3% 4.8% 4.7% 3.4% 2.0%
3 0.4% 1.3% 1.8% 1.8% 1.3% 0.8%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
5 — 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% —

Recent form

Herrera Herrera
L Veraguas 4–2
L San Francisco FC 1–3
W Union Cocle 2–3
W Alianza FC 1–0
L CD Arabe Unido 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
Independiente de La Chorrera Independiente de La Chorrera
W San Francisco FC 3–1
W Deportivo Universitario 0–1
W Veraguas 3–1
D CD Arabe Unido 1–1
L Alianza FC 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Herrera Herrera
Attack
33
Defence
32
Form
35
Independiente de La Chorrera Independiente de La Chorrera
Attack
45
Defence
65
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Herrera
2
Draw
1
Independiente de La Chorrera
4 Aug 2026 LPF 0–0
21 Apr 2026 LPF 2–2
17 Jan 2026 LPF 0–4

Apertura

# Team G Pts
1 Plaza Amador Plaza Amador 15 33
2 San Francisco FC San Francisco FC 14 26
3 Veraguas Veraguas 14 24
4 CD Arabe Unido CD Arabe Unido 15 24
5 UMECIT UMECIT 15 22
6 Tauro FC Tauro FC 15 21
7 Independiente de La Chorrera Independiente de La Chorrera 14 20
8 Sporting San Miguelito Sporting San Miguelito 15 20
9 Alianza FC Alianza FC 15 15
10 Deportivo Universitario Deportivo Universitario 14 14
11 Herrera Herrera 14 11
12 Union Cocle Union Cocle 14 5

What's at stake · Apertura

Top 2 advance to the next round

Herrera Independiente de La Chorrera
Current #11 #7
→ Herrera #11 #7
→ Draw #11 #7
→ Independiente de La Chorrera #11 #5

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Herrera vs Independiente de La Chorrera?
The model gives Herrera a 16% win probability, 14% for a draw, and 69% for an Independiente de La Chorrera win.
How many goals are expected in Herrera vs Independiente de La Chorrera?
Expected goals: Herrera 1.1, Independiente de La Chorrera 2.9 (total 4.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Herrera vs Independiente de La Chorrera?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.48%.