Skip to main content
← 2. Bundesliga
2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9 October 24, 2026 13:00 Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin
Hertha BSC
#1 · 25 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Arminia Bielefeld
#9 · 11 pts
Josip Brekalo 90'+2 (pen.)
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hertha BSC a 47% win probability (draw 28%, Arminia Bielefeld 23%). The final result was Hertha BSC 1–0 Arminia Bielefeld. In 2 previous meetings, Hertha BSC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Arminia Bielefeld.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
1
1.98
Actual xG
0.37
1
Saves
2
71%
Possession
29%
4
Corners
2
16
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
33'
Jonas Thomas Kersken
41'
Joel Felix
↕ Deyovaisio Zeefuik / Julian Eitschberger
64'
↕ Oluwaseun Adewumi / Farid Alfa-Ruprecht
64'
↕ Sebastian Gronning / Jan Luca Schuler
64'
76'
Sam Schreck / Leon Jensen ↕
76'
Jannik Rochelt / Marius Worl ↕
Paul Seguin
78'
↕ Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson / Soufian Gouram
80'
82'
Henri Koudossou / Monju Thaddäus Momuluh ↕
82'
Leon Schneider / Joel Felix ↕
85'
↕ Kevin Sessa / Selim Telib
87'
89'
Tim Handwerker / Joel Grodowski ↕
⚽Josip Brekalo (pen.)
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
47.93%
Hertha ←
28.76%
X
23.31%
Arminia
we assigned to the actual result (Hertha BSC) 47.93% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hertha
1.45
1.98
+0.53
Arminia
0.54
0.37
-0.17
Hertha BSC dominated by xG (1.98 vs 0.37). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 9 25
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 9 18
3 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 9 18
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 9 16
5 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 9 16
6 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 9 15
7 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 9 12
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 9 11
9 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 9 11
10 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 9 10
11 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 9 10
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9 9
13 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 9 8
14 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 9 8
15 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 9 8
16 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 9 8
17 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 9 8
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 9 8
Lineups
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 4-2-3-1
35 M. Gersbeck M. Gersbeck G 6.86
22 M. Pedersen M. Pedersen D 7.32
27 N. Kolbe N. Kolbe D 7.85
44 L. Gechter L. Gechter D 7.66
42 D. Zeefuik D. Zeefuik 64' D 6.91
8 K. Sessa K. Sessa 87' M 6.34
30 P. Seguin P. Seguin M 7.20
7 J. Brekalo J. Brekalo 1 ⚽ M 7.31
23 J. Þorsteinsson J. Þorsteinsson 80' M 6.61
19 O. Adewumi O. Adewumi 64' M 6.21
17 S. Grønning S. Grønning 64' F 6.46
Bench
20 Farid Alfa-Ruprecht Farid Alfa-Ruprecht 26' F 6.57
2 J. Eitschberger J. Eitschberger 26' D 7.16
28 Jelani Isi Ndi Jelani Isi Ndi F 0.00
18 L. Schuler L. Schuler 26' F 6.42
34 M. Grothe M. Grothe D 0.00
41 P. Klemens P. Klemens D 0.00
47 Selim Telib Selim Telib 3' M 6.80
33 S. Gouram S. Gouram 10' M 6.83
43 T. Goller T. Goller G 0.00
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 5-3-2
1 J. Kersken J. Kersken G 5.81
17 A. Sicker A. Sicker D 6.10
3 J. Felix J. Felix 82' D 6.20
5 M. Bauer M. Bauer D 6.93
19 M. Großer M. Großer D 6.48
2 F. Hagmann F. Hagmann D 6.96
38 M. Wörl M. Wörl 76' M 5.96
21 S. Russo S. Russo M 6.23
31 L. Jensen L. Jensen 76' M 6.04
11 J. Grodowski J. Grodowski 89' F 6.26
14 M. Momuluh M. Momuluh 82' F 5.89
Bench
27 Benjamin Bediako Boakye Benjamin Bediako Boakye F 0.00
7 H. Koudossou H. Koudossou 8' D 6.56
30 I. Young I. Young F 0.00
10 J. Rochelt J. Rochelt 14' M 6.51
18 L. Oppermann L. Oppermann G 0.00
23 L. Schneider L. Schneider 8' D 6.82
6 M. Mehlem M. Mehlem M 0.00
8 S. Schreck S. Schreck 14' M 6.42
29 T. Handwerker T. Handwerker 1' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
N. Kolbe
N. Kolbe
D · Hertha
7.85
· 80 pass
L. Gechter
L. Gechter
D · Hertha
7.66
· 142 pass
M. Pedersen
M. Pedersen
D · Hertha
7.32
3 shots · 33 pass
J. Brekalo
J. Brekalo
M · Hertha
7.31
1 ⚽
4 shots · 45 pass
P. Seguin
P. Seguin
M · Hertha
7.20
· 101 pass
J. Eitschberger
J. Eitschberger
D · Hertha
7.16
· 14 pass
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Gersbeck G 90 6.86 — — 0 30 25% 0 — —
M. Pedersen D 90 7.32 — — 3 33 25% 2 — —
N. Kolbe D 90 7.85 — — 0 80 70% 4 — —
L. Gechter D 90 7.66 — — 0 142 123% 1 — —
D. Zeefuik D 64 6.91 — — 0 41 31% 1 — —
K. Sessa M 87 6.34 — — 3 50 42% 2 — —
P. Seguin M 90 7.20 — — 0 101 93% 0 1 —
J. Brekalo M 90 7.31 1 — 4 45 33% 1 — —
J. Þorsteinsson M 80 6.61 — — 0 33 25% 1 — —
O. Adewumi M 64 6.21 — — 1 12 8% 1 — —
S. Grønning F 64 6.46 — — 3 2 1% 2 — —
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht F 26 6.57 — — 0 11 7% 0 — —
J. Eitschberger D 26 7.16 — — 0 14 13% 1 — —
L. Schuler F 26 6.42 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
Selim Telib M 3 6.80 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
S. Gouram M 10 6.83 — — 1 1 0% 0 — —
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Kersken G 90 5.81 — — 0 27 6% 0 1 —
A. Sicker D 90 6.10 — — 0 27 15% 4 — —
J. Felix D 82 6.20 — — 0 24 16% 3 1 —
M. Bauer D 90 6.93 — — 0 15 10% 1 — —
M. Großer D 90 6.48 — — 1 15 9% 0 — —
F. Hagmann D 90 6.96 — — 0 19 11% 1 — —
M. Wörl M 76 5.96 — — 0 24 16% 1 — —
S. Russo M 90 6.23 — — 2 37 22% 1 — —
L. Jensen M 76 6.04 — — 0 25 17% 1 — —
J. Grodowski F 89 6.26 — — 2 14 4% 0 — —
M. Momuluh F 82 5.89 — — 0 11 4% 1 — —
H. Koudossou D 8 6.56 — — 1 0 0% 0 — —
J. Rochelt M 14 6.51 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
L. Schneider D 8 6.82 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
S. Schreck M 14 6.42 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
T. Handwerker D 1 6.60 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
The final score was Hertha BSC 1–0 Arminia Bielefeld.
What did the model predict before Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Hertha BSC win, 28% to a draw, and 23% to an Arminia Bielefeld win.