2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 33
May 10, 2026 13:30
✓Model correct — prediction Hertha BSC
K. Eichhorn
(ast. F. Reese)
55'
M. Cuisance
(ast. M. Karbownik)
84'
88'
(ast. S. Ltaief)
N. Futkeu
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hertha BSC a 55% win probability (draw 21%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 22%). The final result was Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. In 1 previous meetings, Hertha BSC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
17
5
Shots on target
3
1.02
Actual xG
2.23
2
Saves
2
35%
Possession
65%
2
Corners
18
16
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
J. Brekalo
32'
37'
J. Dehm
⚽K. Eichhorn
· ast. F. Reese
55'
60'
S. Ltaief
/
M. Dietz
60'
F. Higl
/
P. Ziereis
K. Eichhorn
/ P. Klemens
70'
70'
J. Green
/
A. Keller
71'
D. Srbeny
/
P. Will
M. Winkler
72'
F. Reese
79'
79'
G. Itter
/
J. Dehm
F. Reese
/ L. Schuler
81'
J. Eitschberger
/ T. Leistner
81'
⚽M. Cuisance
· ast. M. Karbownik
84'
88'
ast. S. Ltaief ·
N. Futkeu⚽
M. Cuisance
/ D. Demme
89'
P. Seguin
/ J. Dudziak
89'
Pre-match prediction
55.33%
Hertha ←
21.83%
X
22.84%
SpVgg
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Hertha BSC)
55.33%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.83
1.02
-0.81
1.06
2.23
+1.17
SpVgg Greuther Fürth dominated by xG (2.23 vs 1.02).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Tjark Ernst
G
Tjark Ernst
G
33
Michał Karbownik
1 👟
D
Michał Karbownik
1 👟
D
27
Niklas Kolbe
D
Niklas Kolbe
D
44
Linus Gechter
D
Linus Gechter
D
2
Julian Eitschberger
81'
D
Julian Eitschberger
81'
D
30
Paul Seguin
89'
M
Paul Seguin
89'
M
23
K. Eichhorn
1 ⚽
70'
M
K. Eichhorn
1 ⚽
70'
M
11
F. Reese
1 👟
81'
M
F. Reese
1 👟
81'
M
10
Michaël Cuisance
1 ⚽
89'
M
Michaël Cuisance
1 ⚽
89'
M
7
J. Brekalo
32'
M
J. Brekalo
32'
M
22
M. Winkler
F
M. Winkler
F
Bench
6
Diego Demme
1'
M
Diego Demme
1'
M
28
J. Dudziak
1'
M
J. Dudziak
1'
M
5
Leon Jensen
M
Leon Jensen
M
18
L. Schuler
9'
F
L. Schuler
9'
F
35
Marius Gersbeck
G
Marius Gersbeck
G
14
Maurice Krattenmacher
M
Maurice Krattenmacher
M
41
Pascal Klemens
20'
D
Pascal Klemens
20'
D
17
Sebastian Grønning
F
Sebastian Grønning
F
37
T. Leistner
9'
D
T. Leistner
9'
D
43
Silas Prüfrock
G
Silas Prüfrock
G
5
Reno Münz
D
Reno Münz
D
4
P. Ziereis
60'
D
P. Ziereis
60'
D
15
Jan Elvedi
D
Jan Elvedi
D
16
Aaron Keller
70'
M
Aaron Keller
70'
M
13
Paul Will
70'
M
Paul Will
70'
M
33
Maximilian Dietz
60'
M
Maximilian Dietz
60'
M
23
J. Dehm
79'
M
J. Dehm
79'
M
10
B. Hrgota
F
B. Hrgota
F
30
F. Klaus
F
F. Klaus
F
9
N. Futkeu
1 ⚽
F
N. Futkeu
1 ⚽
F
Bench
25
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason
D
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason
D
7
Dennis Srbeny
20'
F
Dennis Srbeny
20'
F
28
Doni Arifi
M
Doni Arifi
M
18
Felix Higl
30'
F
Felix Higl
30'
F
14
Jomaine Consbruch
M
Jomaine Consbruch
M
37
Julian Green
20'
M
Julian Green
20'
M
27
Luca Itter
11'
D
Luca Itter
11'
D
26
Pelle Boevink
G
Pelle Boevink
G
47
Sayfallah Ltaief
1 👟
30'
F
Sayfallah Ltaief
1 👟
30'
F
Best on the pitch
Julian Eitschberger
D · Hertha
8.70
· 17 pass
K. Eichhorn
M · Hertha
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Niklas Kolbe
D · Hertha
7.60
· 39 pass
B. Hrgota
F · SpVgg
7.60
1 shots
· 43 pass
N. Futkeu
F · SpVgg
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 11 pass
Reno Münz
D · SpVgg
7.30
· 77 pass
Hertha BSC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tjark Ernst | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Michał Karbownik | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Niklas Kolbe | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Linus Gechter | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Julian Eitschberger | D | 81 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 8 | — | — |
| Paul Seguin | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Eichhorn | M | 70 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| F. Reese | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Michaël Cuisance | M | 89 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Brekalo | M | 32 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | 1 |
| M. Winkler | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Diego Demme | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Dudziak | M | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Schuler | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Pascal Klemens | D | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| T. Leistner | D | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Prüfrock | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Reno Münz | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 77 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Ziereis | D | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Jan Elvedi | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| Aaron Keller | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Paul Will | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | 4 | — | — |
| Maximilian Dietz | M | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| J. Dehm | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Hrgota | F | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Klaus | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| N. Futkeu | F | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Dennis Srbeny | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Felix Higl | F | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Julian Green | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Luca Itter | D | 11 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Sayfallah Ltaief | F | 30 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The final score was Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
What did the model predict before Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Hertha BSC win, 21% to a draw, and 22% to an SpVgg Greuther Fürth win.