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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 13:30
Hertha BSC
#2 · 12 pts
2 – 1
Final score
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
#9 · 5 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Hertha BSC
K. Eichhorn (ast. F. Reese) 55'
M. Cuisance (ast. M. Karbownik) 84'
88' (ast. S. Ltaief) N. Futkeu
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hertha BSC a 55% win probability (draw 21%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 22%). The final result was Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. In 1 previous meetings, Hertha BSC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
17
5
Shots on target
3
1.02
Actual xG
2.23
2
Saves
2
35%
Possession
65%
2
Corners
18
16
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
J. Brekalo
32'
37'
J. Dehm
⚽K. Eichhorn · ast. F. Reese
55'
60'
S. Ltaief / M. Dietz ↕
60'
F. Higl / P. Ziereis ↕
↕ K. Eichhorn / P. Klemens
70'
70'
J. Green / A. Keller ↕
71'
D. Srbeny / P. Will ↕
M. Winkler
72'
F. Reese
79'
79'
G. Itter / J. Dehm ↕
↕ F. Reese / L. Schuler
81'
↕ J. Eitschberger / T. Leistner
81'
⚽M. Cuisance · ast. M. Karbownik
84'
88'
ast. S. Ltaief · N. Futkeu⚽
↕ M. Cuisance / D. Demme
89'
↕ P. Seguin / J. Dudziak
89'
Pre-match prediction
55.33%
Hertha ←
21.83%
X
22.84%
SpVgg
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Hertha BSC) 55.33% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hertha
1.83
1.02
-0.81
SpVgg
1.06
2.23
+1.17
SpVgg Greuther Fürth dominated by xG (2.23 vs 1.02). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 5 13
2 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 4 12
3 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 5 9
4 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 4 9
5 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 4 8
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 5 8
7 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 5 7
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 4 6
9 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 5
10 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4 5
11 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 5 4
12 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 4 4
13 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 5 4
14 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 5 4
15 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 5 4
16 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 5 4
17 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 4 3
18 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 4 3
Lineups
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 4-2-3-1
1 T. Ernst T. Ernst G 7.00
33 M. Karbownik M. Karbownik 1 👟 D 6.60
27 N. Kolbe N. Kolbe D 7.60
44 L. Gechter L. Gechter D 6.60
2 J. Eitschberger J. Eitschberger 81' D 8.70
30 P. Seguin P. Seguin 89' M 6.90
23 K. Eichhorn K. Eichhorn 1 ⚽ 70' M 7.90
11 F. Reese F. Reese 1 👟 81' M 6.70
10 M. Cuisance M. Cuisance 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.30
7 J. Brekalo J. Brekalo 32' M 5.30
22 M. Winkler M. Winkler F 6.60
Bench
6 Diego Demme Diego Demme 1' M
28 J. Dudziak J. Dudziak 1' M
5 L. Jensen L. Jensen M
18 L. Schuler L. Schuler 9' F 6.70
35 M. Gersbeck M. Gersbeck G
14 M. Krattenmacher M. Krattenmacher M
41 P. Klemens P. Klemens 20' D 6.50
17 S. Grønning S. Grønning F
37 T. Leistner T. Leistner 9' D 6.30
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-4-2-1
43 Silas Prüfrock Silas Prüfrock G 6.90
5 Reno Münz Reno Münz D 7.30
4 P. Ziereis P. Ziereis 60' D 6.70
15 J. Elvedi J. Elvedi D 6.90
16 A. Keller A. Keller 70' M 6.30
13 P. Will P. Will 70' M 7.20
33 M. Dietz M. Dietz 60' M 6.50
23 J. Dehm J. Dehm 79' M 6.30
10 B. Hrgota B. Hrgota F 7.60
30 F. Klaus F. Klaus F 6.20
9 N. Futkeu N. Futkeu 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
25 B. Bjarnason B. Bjarnason D
28 D. Arifi D. Arifi M
7 D. Srbeny D. Srbeny 20' F 6.70
18 Felix Higl Felix Higl 30' F 6.20
27 G. Itter G. Itter 11' D 6.00
14 Jomaine Consbruch Jomaine Consbruch M
37 Julian Green Julian Green 20' M 6.90
26 P. Boevink P. Boevink G
47 S. Ltaief S. Ltaief 1 👟 30' F 7.20
Best on the pitch
J. Eitschberger
J. Eitschberger
D · Hertha
8.70
· 17 pass
K. Eichhorn
K. Eichhorn
M · Hertha
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
N. Kolbe
N. Kolbe
D · Hertha
7.60
· 39 pass
B. Hrgota
B. Hrgota
F · SpVgg
7.60
1 shots · 43 pass
N. Futkeu
N. Futkeu
F · SpVgg
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 11 pass
Reno Münz
Reno Münz
D · SpVgg
7.30
· 77 pass
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Ernst G 90 7.00 — — — 35 23% — — —
M. Karbownik D 90 6.60 — 1 — 18 14% — — —
N. Kolbe D 90 7.60 — — — 39 35% 1 — —
L. Gechter D 90 6.60 — — — 37 31% 1 — —
J. Eitschberger D 81 8.70 — — — 17 12% 8 — —
P. Seguin M 89 6.90 — — — 40 32% 2 — —
K. Eichhorn M 70 7.90 1 — 1 23 18% — — —
F. Reese M 81 6.70 — 1 2 13 8% 1 1 —
M. Cuisance M 89 7.30 1 — 3 25 22% 1 — —
J. Brekalo M 32 5.30 — — — 11 8% — — 1
M. Winkler F 90 6.60 — — 1 11 8% 1 1 —
Diego Demme M 1 — — — — 3 1% 1 — —
J. Dudziak M 1 — — — 1 1 1% — — —
L. Schuler F 9 6.70 — — — 3 1% — — —
P. Klemens D 20 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
T. Leistner D 9 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Silas Prüfrock G 90 6.90 — — — 35 29% — — —
Reno Münz D 90 7.30 — — — 77 71% 1 — —
P. Ziereis D 60 6.70 — — — 34 31% — — —
J. Elvedi D 90 6.90 — — 2 49 44% 4 — —
A. Keller M 70 6.30 — — — 39 30% — — —
P. Will M 70 7.20 — — — 50 46% 4 — —
M. Dietz M 60 6.50 — — 1 30 25% — — —
J. Dehm M 79 6.30 — — 1 39 34% 1 1 —
B. Hrgota F 90 7.60 — — 1 43 38% 1 — —
F. Klaus F 90 6.20 — — 4 36 31% — — —
N. Futkeu F 90 7.50 1 — 3 11 8% — — —
D. Srbeny F 20 6.70 — — 1 8 5% 1 — —
Felix Higl F 30 6.20 — — 1 7 5% — — —
G. Itter D 11 6.00 — — — 9 6% — — —
Julian Green M 20 6.90 — — 2 22 20% — — —
S. Ltaief F 30 7.20 — 1 1 31 26% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The final score was Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
What did the model predict before Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Hertha BSC win, 21% to a draw, and 22% to an SpVgg Greuther Fürth win.