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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 13:30
Hertha BSC
#6 · 51 pts
2 – 1
Final score
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
#17 · 34 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Hertha BSC
K. Eichhorn (ast. F. Reese) 55'
M. Cuisance (ast. M. Karbownik) 84'
88' (ast. S. Ltaief) N. Futkeu

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hertha BSC a 55% win probability (draw 21%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 22%). The final result was Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. In 1 previous meetings, Hertha BSC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
17
5
Shots on target
3
1.02
Actual xG
2.23
2
Saves
2
35%
Possession
65%
2
Corners
18
16
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
J. Brekalo
32'
37'
J. Dehm
⚽K. Eichhorn · ast. F. Reese
55'
60'
S. Ltaief / M. Dietz ↕
60'
F. Higl / P. Ziereis ↕
↕ K. Eichhorn / P. Klemens
70'
70'
J. Green / A. Keller ↕
71'
D. Srbeny / P. Will ↕
M. Winkler
72'
F. Reese
79'
79'
G. Itter / J. Dehm ↕
↕ F. Reese / L. Schuler
81'
↕ J. Eitschberger / T. Leistner
81'
⚽M. Cuisance · ast. M. Karbownik
84'
88'
ast. S. Ltaief · N. Futkeu⚽
↕ M. Cuisance / D. Demme
89'
↕ P. Seguin / J. Dudziak
89'
Pre-match prediction
55.33%
Hertha ←
21.83%
X
22.84%
SpVgg
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Hertha BSC) 55.33% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hertha
1.83
1.02
-0.81
SpVgg
1.06
2.23
+1.17
SpVgg Greuther Fürth dominated by xG (2.23 vs 1.02). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 33 67
2 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 33 59
3 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 33 59
4 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 33 59
5 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 33 52
6 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 33 51
7 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 33 49
8 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 33 45
9 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 33 44
10 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 33 41
11 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 33 41
12 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 33 39
13 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 33 38
14 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 33 37
15 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 33 37
16 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 33 36
17 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 33 34
18 Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 33 30
Lineups
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 4-2-3-1
1 Tjark Ernst Tjark Ernst G 7.00
33 Michał Karbownik Michał Karbownik 1 👟 D 6.60
27 Niklas Kolbe Niklas Kolbe D 7.60
44 Linus Gechter Linus Gechter D 6.60
2 Julian Eitschberger Julian Eitschberger 81' D 8.70
30 Paul Seguin Paul Seguin 89' M 6.90
23 Kennet Eichhorn Kennet Eichhorn 1 ⚽ 70' M 7.90
11 Fabian Reese Fabian Reese 1 👟 81' M 6.70
10 Michaël Cuisance Michaël Cuisance 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.30
7 Josip Brekalo Josip Brekalo 32' M 5.30
22 Marten Winkler Marten Winkler F 6.60
Bench
6 Diego Demme Diego Demme 1' M
28 J. Dudziak J. Dudziak 1' M
5 Leon Jensen Leon Jensen M
18 L. Schuler L. Schuler 9' F 6.70
35 Marius Gersbeck Marius Gersbeck G
14 Maurice Krattenmacher Maurice Krattenmacher M
41 Pascal Klemens Pascal Klemens 20' D 6.50
17 Sebastian Grønning Sebastian Grønning F
37 Toni Leistner Toni Leistner 9' D 6.30
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-4-2-1
43 Silas Prüfrock Silas Prüfrock G 6.90
5 Reno Münz Reno Münz D 7.30
4 Philipp Ziereis Philipp Ziereis 60' D 6.70
15 Jan Elvedi Jan Elvedi D 6.90
16 Aaron Keller Aaron Keller 70' M 6.30
13 Paul Will Paul Will 70' M 7.20
33 Maximilian Dietz Maximilian Dietz 60' M 6.50
23 Jannik Dehm Jannik Dehm 79' M 6.30
10 Branimir Hrgota Branimir Hrgota F 7.60
30 Felix Klaus Felix Klaus F 6.20
9 Noel Futkeu Noel Futkeu 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
25 Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason D
7 Dennis Srbeny Dennis Srbeny 20' F 6.70
28 Doni Arifi Doni Arifi M
18 Felix Higl Felix Higl 30' F 6.20
14 Jomaine Consbruch Jomaine Consbruch M
37 Julian Green Julian Green 20' M 6.90
27 Luca Itter Luca Itter 11' D 6.00
26 Pelle Boevink Pelle Boevink G
47 Sayfallah Ltaief Sayfallah Ltaief 1 👟 30' F 7.20
Best on the pitch
Julian Eitschberger
Julian Eitschberger
D · Hertha
8.70
· 17 pass
Kennet Eichhorn
Kennet Eichhorn
M · Hertha
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
Niklas Kolbe
Niklas Kolbe
D · Hertha
7.60
· 39 pass
Branimir Hrgota
Branimir Hrgota
F · SpVgg
7.60
1 shots · 43 pass
Noel Futkeu
Noel Futkeu
F · SpVgg
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 11 pass
Reno Münz
Reno Münz
D · SpVgg
7.30
· 77 pass
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Tjark Ernst G 90 7.00 — — — 35 23% — — —
Michał Karbownik D 90 6.60 — 1 — 18 14% — — —
Niklas Kolbe D 90 7.60 — — — 39 35% 1 — —
Linus Gechter D 90 6.60 — — — 37 31% 1 — —
Julian Eitschberger D 81 8.70 — — — 17 12% 8 — —
Paul Seguin M 89 6.90 — — — 40 32% 2 — —
Kennet Eichhorn M 70 7.90 1 — 1 23 18% — — —
Fabian Reese M 81 6.70 — 1 2 13 8% 1 1 —
Michaël Cuisance M 89 7.30 1 — 3 25 22% 1 — —
Josip Brekalo M 32 5.30 — — — 11 8% — — 1
Marten Winkler F 90 6.60 — — 1 11 8% 1 1 —
Diego Demme M 1 — — — — 3 1% 1 — —
J. Dudziak M 1 — — — 1 1 1% — — —
L. Schuler F 9 6.70 — — — 3 1% — — —
Pascal Klemens D 20 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
Toni Leistner D 9 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Silas Prüfrock G 90 6.90 — — — 35 29% — — —
Reno Münz D 90 7.30 — — — 77 71% 1 — —
Philipp Ziereis D 60 6.70 — — — 34 31% — — —
Jan Elvedi D 90 6.90 — — 2 49 44% 4 — —
Aaron Keller M 70 6.30 — — — 39 30% — — —
Paul Will M 70 7.20 — — — 50 46% 4 — —
Maximilian Dietz M 60 6.50 — — 1 30 25% — — —
Jannik Dehm M 79 6.30 — — 1 39 34% 1 1 —
Branimir Hrgota F 90 7.60 — — 1 43 38% 1 — —
Felix Klaus F 90 6.20 — — 4 36 31% — — —
Noel Futkeu F 90 7.50 1 — 3 11 8% — — —
Dennis Srbeny F 20 6.70 — — 1 8 5% 1 — —
Felix Higl F 30 6.20 — — 1 7 5% — — —
Julian Green M 20 6.90 — — 2 22 20% — — —
Luca Itter D 11 6.00 — — — 9 6% — — —
Sayfallah Ltaief F 30 7.20 — 1 1 31 26% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The final score was Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
What did the model predict before Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Hertha BSC win, 21% to a draw, and 22% to an SpVgg Greuther Fürth win.