Mads Valentin Pedersen
(ast. Josip Brekalo)
65'
Paul Seguin
(ast. Josip Brekalo)
80'
90'
(ast. Aaron Keller)
Jannis Heuer
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hertha BSC a 45% win probability (draw 28%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 26%). The final result was Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. In 2 previous meetings, Hertha BSC have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
17
10
Shots on target
5
1.84
Actual xG
1.08
4
Saves
8
42%
Possession
58%
5
Corners
12
14
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Linus Jasper Gechter
60'
62'
Jan Luca Schuler
/ Gustaf Nilsson
64'
Oluwaseun Adewumi
/ Farid Alfa-Ruprecht
64'
⚽Mads Valentin Pedersen
· ast. Josip Brekalo
65'
66'
Faton Ademi
/
Shinta Karl Appelkamp
Julian Eitschberger
72'
75'
Jordan Siebatcheu
/
Sacha Banse
Mads Valentin Pedersen
/ Deyovaisio Zeefuik
76'
⚽Paul Seguin
· ast. Josip Brekalo
80'
81'
Aaron Keller
/
Lukas Reich
81'
Dennis Srbeny
/
Omar Sillah
81'
Olgherto Balliu
/
Ole Pohlmann
Kevin Sessa
/ Pascal Klemens
87'
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson
/ Soufian gouram
87'
90'
ast. Aaron Keller ·
Jannis Heuer⚽
Pre-match prediction
45.48%
Hertha ←
28.38%
X
26.14%
SpVgg
we assigned to the actual result (Hertha BSC)
45.48%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.47
1.84
+0.37
0.83
1.08
+0.25
Hertha BSC dominated by xG (1.84 vs 1.08).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
35
M. Gersbeck
G
M. Gersbeck
G
22
M. Pedersen
1 ⚽
76'
D
M. Pedersen
1 ⚽
76'
D
27
N. Kolbe
D
N. Kolbe
D
44
L. Gechter
D
L. Gechter
D
2
J. Eitschberger
D
J. Eitschberger
D
8
K. Sessa
87'
M
K. Sessa
87'
M
30
P. Seguin
1 ⚽
M
P. Seguin
1 ⚽
M
7
J. Brekalo
2 👟
M
J. Brekalo
2 👟
M
23
J. Þorsteinsson
87'
M
J. Þorsteinsson
87'
M
19
O. Adewumi
64'
M
O. Adewumi
64'
M
18
L. Schuler
64'
F
L. Schuler
64'
F
Bench
21
Boris Manuzah Lum
M
Boris Manuzah Lum
M
42
D. Zeefuik
14'
D
D. Zeefuik
14'
D
20
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht
26'
F
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht
26'
F
9
G. Nilsson
26'
F
G. Nilsson
26'
F
41
P. Klemens
3'
D
P. Klemens
3'
D
47
Selim Telib
M
Selim Telib
M
33
S. Gouram
3'
M
S. Gouram
3'
M
17
S. Grønning
F
S. Grønning
F
43
T. Goller
G
T. Goller
G
1
Florian Hellstern
G
Florian Hellstern
G
23
J. Dehm
D
J. Dehm
D
34
Hendry Aron Blank
D
Hendry Aron Blank
D
22
J. Heuer
1 ⚽
D
J. Heuer
1 ⚽
D
2
Lukas Reich
81'
D
Lukas Reich
81'
D
13
P. Will
M
P. Will
M
6
S. Bansé
75'
M
S. Bansé
75'
M
10
Ole Pohlmann
81'
M
Ole Pohlmann
81'
M
8
S. Appelkamp
66'
M
S. Appelkamp
66'
M
30
F. Klaus
M
F. Klaus
M
42
O. Sillah
81'
F
O. Sillah
81'
F
Bench
11
A. Keller
1 👟
9'
M
A. Keller
1 👟
9'
M
39
C. Ortag
G
C. Ortag
G
28
D. Arifi
M
D. Arifi
M
7
D. Srbeny
9'
F
D. Srbeny
9'
F
37
F. Ademi
24'
M
F. Ademi
24'
M
9
J. Siebatcheu
15'
F
J. Siebatcheu
15'
F
29
K. Keresztes
D
K. Keresztes
D
21
M. Wallentowitz
M
M. Wallentowitz
M
45
Olgherto Balliu
9'
M
Olgherto Balliu
9'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Brekalo
M · Hertha
8.29
2 👟
1 shots
· 35 pass
P. Seguin
M · Hertha
8.10
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
Florian Hellstern
G · SpVgg
8.07
· 52 pass
J. Heuer
D · SpVgg
7.28
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 48 pass
M. Gersbeck
G · Hertha
7.18
· 40 pass
M. Pedersen
D · Hertha
7.06
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
Hertha BSC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Gersbeck | G | 90 | 7.18 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Pedersen | D | 76 | 7.06 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Kolbe | D | 90 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Gechter | D | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 2 | 64 | 52% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Eitschberger | D | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 23% | 7 | 1 | — |
| K. Sessa | M | 87 | 6.46 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Seguin | M | 90 | 8.10 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Brekalo | M | 90 | 8.29 | — | 2 | 1 | 35 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Þorsteinsson | M | 87 | 6.04 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Adewumi | M | 64 | 6.65 | — | — | 4 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Schuler | F | 64 | 6.42 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Zeefuik | D | 14 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Farid Alfa-Ruprecht | F | 26 | 6.71 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Nilsson | F | 26 | 7.02 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Klemens | D | 3 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Gouram | M | 3 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Hellstern | G | 90 | 8.07 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 42% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Dehm | D | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Hendry Aron Blank | D | 90 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 62 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Heuer | D | 90 | 7.28 | 1 | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 0 | — | — |
| Lukas Reich | D | 81 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Will | M | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 44% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Bansé | M | 75 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Ole Pohlmann | M | 81 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Appelkamp | M | 66 | 5.23 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Klaus | M | 90 | 6.72 | — | — | 3 | 41 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Sillah | F | 81 | 6.54 | — | — | 6 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Keller | M | 9 | 6.32 | — | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Srbeny | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Ademi | M | 24 | 6.15 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Siebatcheu | F | 15 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Olgherto Balliu | M | 9 | 6.08 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The final score was Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
What did the model predict before Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Hertha BSC win, 28% to a draw, and 26% to an SpVgg Greuther Fürth win.