Canadian Premier League · Group Stage July 25, 2026 00:00

HFX Wanderers FC

#5 · 16 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Supra du Quebec

#6 · 14 pts

C. Kachwele (ast. M. Arilla) 28'

F. Linder (ast. M. Arilla) 45'

(pen.) 65' L. A. Kwemi

67' L. A. Kwemi

(pen.) 77' L. A. Kwemi

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HFX Wanderers FC a 41% win probability (draw 23%, Supra du Quebec 35%). The final result was HFX Wanderers FC 2–3 Supra du Quebec. In 1 previous meetings, HFX Wanderers FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Supra du Quebec.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

4

1.89

Actual xG

1.93

52%

Possession

48%

6

Corners

2

Match Events

⚽C. Kachwele · ast. M. Arilla

28'

40'

M. Chretien

⚽F. Linder · ast. M. Arilla

45'

65'

(pen.) L. A. Kwemi⚽

65'

A. Sissoko / D. Abzi ↕

65'

I. Conde / D. Choiniere ↕

67'

L. A. Kwemi⚽

T. Meilleur-Gigeuere

76'

V. Sartini

76'

77'

(pen.) L. A. Kwemi⚽

↕ M. Arilla / J. Bahamboula

77'

↕ C. Kachwele / T. Ciccarelli

78'

↕ S. Zitman / A. Reid

78'

80'

Y. W. Wandje Djomze / L. A. Kwemi ↕

82'

S. Deslandes / C. Auguste ↕

↕ L. Olguin / A. Rampersad

88'

↕ J. Alphonse / F. Troisi

88'

90'+4

O. Boughanmi / S. Rea ↕

Pre-match prediction

41.7%

HFX

23.03%

X

35.28%

Supra ←

we assigned to the actual result (Supra du Quebec) 35.28% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

HFX

2.33

1.89

-0.44

Supra

2.20

1.93

-0.27

xG dominance was balanced (1.89 – 1.93). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Forge	13	34
2	Cavalry FC	14	30
3	Atlético Ottawa	14	21
4	Vancouver FC	14	20
5	HFX Wanderers FC	15	16
6	Supra du Quebec	13	14
7	York United	12	13
8	Pacific FC	13	3