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Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 10 October 25, 2026 13:00 Easter Road, Edinburgh
Hibernian
#12 · 7 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Celtic
#1 · 27 pts
Owen Elding (ast. Joe Newell) 3'
(og) 5' Jason Kerr
43' Camilo Duran
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 48% win probability (draw 27%, Hibernian 23%). The final result was Hibernian 1–2 Celtic. In 4 previous meetings, Hibernian have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Celtic.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
15
2
Shots on target
4
1.44
Actual xG
1.18
3
Saves
1
39%
Possession
61%
2
Corners
6
8
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Owen Elding · ast. Joe Newell
3'
5'
(og) Jason Kerr⚽
43'
Camilo Duran⚽
45'+1
Kasper Hogh
Thibault Klidjé
47'
52'
Alistair Johnston / Colby Donovan ↕
64'
Jota / Callum Osmand ↕
64'
Haissem Hassan / Kasper Hogh ↕
↕ Jamie McGrath / Ante Suto
68'
↕ Thibault Klidjé / Rabbi Matondo
68'
73'
Cameron Carter-Vickers / Alistair Johnston ↕
73'
Shumaira Mheuka / Camilo Duran ↕
↕ Joe Newell / Azeem Abdulai
77'
80'
Kieran Tierney
↕ Miguel Changa Chaiwa / Grant Hanley
82'
Marko Ivezic
85'
85'
Shumaira Mheuka
Pre-match prediction
23.56%
Hibernian
27.67%
X
48.77%
Celtic ←
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic) 48.77% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hibernian
0.61
1.44
+0.83
Celtic
1.38
1.18
-0.2
xG dominance was balanced (1.44 – 1.18). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Celtic Celtic 10 27
2 Rangers Rangers 10 23
3 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 10 19
4 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 10 15
5 Dundee Dundee 10 14
6 ST Mirren ST Mirren 10 13
7 Falkirk Falkirk 10 12
8 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 10 12
9 Aberdeen Aberdeen 10 11
10 Motherwell Motherwell 10 8
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 10 8
12 Hibernian Hibernian 10 7
Lineups
Hibernian Hibernian 4-2-3-1
1 R. Sallinger R. Sallinger G 5.76
3 A. Mayor A. Mayor D 5.46
5 M. Ivezić M. Ivezić D 5.59
6 J. Kerr J. Kerr 1 ⚽ D 5.92
25 F. Passlack F. Passlack D 6.60
11 J. Newell J. Newell 1 👟 77' M 7.22
14 M. Chaiwa M. Chaiwa 82' M 6.42
18 T. Klidje T. Klidje 68' M 5.48
17 J. McGrath J. McGrath 68' M 5.66
8 J. Mulligan J. Mulligan M 6.36
7 O. Elding O. Elding 1 ⚽ F 7.61
Bench
47 A. Abdulai A. Abdulai 13' M 6.00
12 Alex Williams Alex Williams D 0.00
22 A. Šuto A. Šuto 22' F 6.34
4 G. Hanley G. Hanley 8' D 6.05
15 J. Iredale J. Iredale D 0.00
13 J. Smith J. Smith G 0.00
19 N. Cadden N. Cadden M 0.00
39 R. Matondo R. Matondo 22' M 6.10
34 Z. Bruce Z. Bruce M 0.00
Celtic Celtic 4-2-3-1
26 S. Johnstone S. Johnstone G 6.64
63 K. Tierney K. Tierney D 6.05
5 L. Scales L. Scales D 6.95
47 D. Murray D. Murray D 6.68
51 Colby Donovan Colby Donovan 52' D 6.80
22 M. Baur M. Baur M 6.89
42 C. McGregor C. McGregor M 6.59
19 C. Osmand C. Osmand 64' M 6.46
8 B. Nygren B. Nygren M 6.54
11 C. Durán C. Durán 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.76
9 K. Høgh K. Høgh 64' F 6.19
Bench
2 A. Johnston A. Johnston 21' D 6.43
21 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain A. Oxlade-Chamberlain M 0.00
20 C. Carter-Vickers C. Carter-Vickers 17' D 6.39
23 H. Hassan H. Hassan 26' F 6.86
49 J. Forrest J. Forrest M 0.00
7 Jota Jota 26' F 6.98
18 O. Sørensen O. Sørensen M 0.00
29 Shumaira Mheuka Shumaira Mheuka 17' F 6.33
1 V. Sinisalo V. Sinisalo G 0.00
Best on the pitch
C. Durán
C. Durán
M · Celtic
7.76
1 ⚽
4 shots · 11 pass
O. Elding
O. Elding
F · Hibernian
7.61
1 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
J. Newell
J. Newell
M · Hibernian
7.22
1 👟
1 shots · 23 pass
Jota
Jota
F · Celtic
6.98
1 shots · 17 pass
L. Scales
L. Scales
D · Celtic
6.95
· 114 pass
M. Baur
M. Baur
M · Celtic
6.89
1 shots · 42 pass
Hibernian Hibernian — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Sallinger G 90 5.76 — — 0 36 16% 0 — —
A. Mayor D 90 5.46 — — 1 39 23% 3 — —
M. Ivezić D 90 5.59 — — 1 52 50% 0 1 —
J. Kerr D 90 5.92 1 — 1 56 44% 1 — —
F. Passlack D 90 6.60 — — 0 38 29% 2 — —
J. Newell M 77 7.22 — 1 1 23 20% 0 — —
M. Chaiwa M 82 6.42 — — 2 33 30% 0 — —
T. Klidje M 68 5.48 — — 1 10 8% 1 1 —
J. McGrath M 68 5.66 — — 0 13 10% 0 — —
J. Mulligan M 90 6.36 — — 0 21 18% 1 — —
O. Elding F 90 7.61 1 — 2 14 8% 0 — —
A. Abdulai M 13 6.00 — — 0 8 3% 0 — —
A. Šuto F 22 6.34 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
G. Hanley D 8 6.05 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
R. Matondo M 22 6.10 — — 4 5 4% 0 — —
Celtic Celtic — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Johnstone G 90 6.64 — — 0 62 53% 0 — —
K. Tierney D 90 6.05 — — 0 54 45% 0 1 —
L. Scales D 90 6.95 — — 0 114 104% 2 — —
D. Murray D 90 6.68 — — 0 81 70% 0 — —
Colby Donovan D 52 6.80 — — 0 30 29% 3 — —
M. Baur M 90 6.89 — — 1 42 38% 4 — —
C. McGregor M 90 6.59 — — 1 52 47% 3 — —
C. Osmand M 64 6.46 — — 2 19 10% 0 — —
B. Nygren M 90 6.54 — — 1 48 43% 0 — —
C. Durán M 73 7.76 1 — 4 11 11% 2 — —
K. Høgh F 64 6.19 — — 2 11 7% 0 1 —
A. Johnston D 21 6.43 — — 0 11 7% 1 — —
C. Carter-Vickers D 17 6.39 — — 0 11 9% 1 — —
H. Hassan F 26 6.86 — — 2 8 6% 2 — —
Jota F 26 6.98 — — 1 17 10% 0 — —
Shumaira Mheuka F 17 6.33 — — 1 1 1% 0 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hibernian vs Celtic?
The final score was Hibernian 1–2 Celtic.
What did the model predict before Hibernian vs Celtic?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Hibernian win, 27% to a draw, and 48% to an Celtic win.