Owen Elding
(ast. Felix Passlack)
41'
13'
(ast. Ryan Strain)
Jacob Murrell
37'
(ast. Ethan Ross)
Jacob Murrell
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hibernian a 38% win probability (draw 33%, Falkirk 27%). The final result was Hibernian 1–2 Falkirk. In 4 previous meetings, Hibernian have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Falkirk.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
5
1.42
Actual xG
0.82
3
Saves
2
70%
Possession
30%
6
Corners
3
13
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Owen Elding
6'
13'
ast. Ryan Strain ·
Jacob Murrell⚽
25'
Ben krauhaus
37'
ast. Ethan Ross ·
Jacob Murrell⚽
⚽Owen Elding
· ast. Felix Passlack
41'
45'
Leon McCann
/
Scott Tanser
54'
Thibault Klidjé
/ Rabbi Matondo
60'
Azeem Abdulai
/ Jamie McGrath
61'
61'
Ryan Strain
65'
Deniss Meļņiks
/
Ben krauhaus
A. Major
/ Ante Suto
76'
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
/ Nicky Cadden
76'
77'
Calvin Fodrey
/
Ethan Ross
79'
Finley Frank Barbrook
84'
Finn Yeats
/
Finley Frank Barbrook
84'
Jack McMillan
/
Owen Eames
Pre-match prediction
38.73%
Hibernian
33.81%
X
27.45%
Falkirk ←
we assigned to the actual result (Falkirk)
27.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.71
1.42
+0.71
0.59
0.82
+0.23
Hibernian dominated by xG (1.42 vs 0.82).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
R. Sallinger
G
R. Sallinger
G
3
A. Mayor
76'
D
A. Mayor
76'
D
5
M. Ivezić
D
M. Ivezić
D
6
J. Kerr
D
J. Kerr
D
25
F. Passlack
1 👟
D
F. Passlack
1 👟
D
14
M. Chaiwa
76'
M
M. Chaiwa
76'
M
8
J. Mulligan
M
J. Mulligan
M
18
T. Klidje
60'
M
T. Klidje
60'
M
47
A. Abdulai
61'
M
A. Abdulai
61'
M
10
M. Boyle
M
M. Boyle
M
7
O. Elding
1 ⚽
F
O. Elding
1 ⚽
F
Bench
12
Alex Williams
D
Alex Williams
D
22
A. Šuto
14'
F
A. Šuto
14'
F
35
F. Owens
G
F. Owens
G
4
G. Hanley
D
G. Hanley
D
15
J. Iredale
D
J. Iredale
D
17
J. McGrath
29'
M
J. McGrath
29'
M
11
J. Newell
M
J. Newell
M
19
N. Cadden
14'
M
N. Cadden
14'
M
39
R. Matondo
30'
M
R. Matondo
30'
M
19
S. Bain
G
S. Bain
G
17
S. Tanser
45'
D
S. Tanser
45'
D
5
L. Henderson
D
L. Henderson
D
15
L. Neilson
D
L. Neilson
D
22
R. Strain
1 👟
D
R. Strain
1 👟
D
16
Finley Frank Barbrook
84'
M
Finley Frank Barbrook
84'
M
8
B. Spencer
M
B. Spencer
M
42
Owen Eames
84'
M
Owen Eames
84'
M
28
B. Krauhaus
65'
M
B. Krauhaus
65'
M
23
E. Ross
1 👟
77'
M
E. Ross
1 👟
77'
M
24
J. Murrell
2 ⚽
F
J. Murrell
2 ⚽
F
Bench
7
Ben Parkinson
F
Ben Parkinson
F
99
C. Fodrey
13'
M
C. Fodrey
13'
M
27
C. McLeod
M
C. McLeod
M
21
D. Meļņiks
25'
M
D. Meļņiks
25'
M
14
F. Yeats
6'
M
F. Yeats
6'
M
4
J. McMillan
6'
D
J. McMillan
6'
D
3
L. McCann
45'
D
L. McCann
45'
D
1
N. Hogarth
G
N. Hogarth
G
9
R. MacIver
F
R. MacIver
F
Best on the pitch
J. Murrell
F · Falkirk
8.90
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 9 pass
O. Elding
F · Hibernian
7.42
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
E. Ross
M · Falkirk
7.09
1 👟
· 12 pass
F. Passlack
D · Hibernian
7.01
1 👟
3 shots
· 64 pass
L. Neilson
D · Falkirk
6.78
· 30 pass
A. Mayor
D · Hibernian
6.72
2 shots
· 72 pass
Hibernian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sallinger | G | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mayor | D | 76 | 6.72 | — | — | 2 | 72 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Ivezić | D | 90 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 88 | 79% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Kerr | D | 90 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 100 | 82% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Passlack | D | 90 | 7.01 | — | 1 | 3 | 64 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Chaiwa | M | 76 | 5.94 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 41% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Mulligan | M | 90 | 5.96 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Klidje | M | 60 | 6.62 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Abdulai | M | 61 | 6.10 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Boyle | M | 90 | 5.91 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Elding | F | 90 | 7.42 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Šuto | F | 14 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| J. McGrath | M | 29 | 6.17 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Cadden | M | 14 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Matondo | M | 30 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Falkirk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bain | G | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Tanser | D | 45 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Henderson | D | 90 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Neilson | D | 90 | 6.78 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Strain | D | 90 | 6.27 | — | 1 | 1 | 36 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Finley Frank Barbrook | M | 84 | 5.94 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Spencer | M | 90 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Owen Eames | M | 84 | 6.17 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Krauhaus | M | 65 | 6.23 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Ross | M | 77 | 7.09 | — | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Murrell | F | 90 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 5 | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Fodrey | M | 13 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Meļņiks | M | 25 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Yeats | M | 6 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| J. McMillan | D | 6 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| L. McCann | D | 45 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hibernian vs Falkirk?
The final score was Hibernian 1–2 Falkirk.
What did the model predict before Hibernian vs Falkirk?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Hibernian win, 33% to a draw, and 27% to an Falkirk win.