Scottish Premiership
· Regular Season - 3
September 15, 2026 20:45
40'
George Stanger
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hibernian a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Kilmarnock 29%). The final result was Hibernian 0–1 Kilmarnock. In 3 previous meetings, Hibernian have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Kilmarnock.
Match statistics
23
Total shots
12
7
Shots on target
7
6
Saves
7
60%
Possession
40%
15
Corners
7
17
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Kanayo Megwa
/ Grant Hanley
8'
31'
Tyreece John-Jules
40'
George Stanger⚽
Thibault Klidjé
/ Nathan Lowe
53'
Callum·Wright
/ Martin Boyle
53'
Ante Suto
/ Owen Elding
53'
56'
Jacob Devaney
/ Miguel Changa Chaiwa
67'
67'
Mark O'Hara
/
Bailey Rice
67'
Jamie Brandon
/
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
73'
Djenairo Daniels
/
Tyreece John-Jules
78'
Djenairo Daniels
90'+1
Rory McKenzie
/
Erik Ring
90'+2
Djenairo Daniels
Pre-match prediction
40.61%
Hibernian
29.54%
X
29.85%
Kilmarnock ←
we assigned to the actual result (Kilmarnock)
29.85%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.13
—
—
1.08
—
—
Lineups
1
R. Sallinger
G
R. Sallinger
G
27
K. Megwa
8'
D
K. Megwa
8'
D
15
J. Iredale
D
J. Iredale
D
6
J. Kerr
D
J. Kerr
D
24
J. Devaney
67'
M
J. Devaney
67'
M
3
A. Mayor
M
A. Mayor
M
23
C. Wright
53'
M
C. Wright
53'
M
8
J. Mulligan
M
J. Mulligan
M
25
F. Passlack
M
F. Passlack
M
18
T. Klidje
53'
F
T. Klidje
53'
F
22
A. Šuto
53'
F
A. Šuto
53'
F
Bench
47
A. Abdulai
M
35
F. Owens
G
F. Owens
G
4
G. Hanley
82'
D
G. Hanley
82'
D
11
J. Newell
M
J. Newell
M
10
M. Boyle
37'
F
M. Boyle
37'
F
14
M. Chaiwa
23'
M
M. Chaiwa
23'
M
19
N. Cadden
M
N. Cadden
M
9
N. Lowe
37'
F
N. Lowe
37'
F
7
O. Elding
37'
F
O. Elding
37'
F
1
M. Stryjek
G
M. Stryjek
G
14
George Stanger
1 ⚽
D
4
C. McCarthy
D
C. McCarthy
D
3
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
67'
D
21
M. Schjønning-Larsen
M
M. Schjønning-Larsen
M
49
B. Rice
67'
M
B. Rice
67'
M
18
T. Lowery
M
T. Lowery
M
8
E. Ring
89'
M
E. Ring
89'
M
11
G. Kiltie
M
G. Kiltie
M
10
T. John-Jules
73'
M
T. John-Jules
73'
M
9
J. Hugill
F
J. Hugill
F
Bench
37
C. Burke
F
C. Burke
F
12
C. Ferrie
G
C. Ferrie
G
29
D. Daniels
17'
F
D. Daniels
17'
F
27
I. Owen
F
I. Owen
F
2
J. Brandon
23'
D
J. Brandon
23'
D
19
J. Meier
D
J. Meier
D
5
M. O'Hara
23'
M
M. O'Hara
23'
M
20
N. Cleșcenco
F
N. Cleșcenco
F
7
R. McKenzie
1'
M
R. McKenzie
1'
M
Best on the pitch
M. Stryjek
G · Kilmarnock
8.64
· 45 pass
R. Sallinger
G · Hibernian
8.07
· 27 pass
George Stanger
D · Kilmarnock
7.65
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
J. Kerr
D · Hibernian
7.60
5 shots
· 63 pass
G. Hanley
D · Hibernian
7.58
1 shots
· 66 pass
T. Lowery
M · Kilmarnock
7.04
· 41 pass
Hibernian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sallinger | G | 90 | 8.07 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Megwa | D | 8 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Iredale | D | 90 | 6.76 | — | — | 2 | 79 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Kerr | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 5 | 63 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Devaney | M | 67 | 6.19 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Mayor | M | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Wright | M | 53 | 6.37 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Mulligan | M | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 4 | 40 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Passlack | M | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Klidje | F | 53 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Šuto | F | 53 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Hanley | D | 82 | 7.58 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 60% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Boyle | F | 37 | 6.67 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Chaiwa | M | 23 | 6.10 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Lowe | F | 37 | 6.57 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Elding | F | 37 | 6.87 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
Kilmarnock — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Stryjek | G | 90 | 8.64 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| George Stanger | D | 90 | 7.65 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McCarthy | D | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| Michael-John Kamson-Kamara | D | 67 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Schjønning-Larsen | M | 90 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Rice | M | 67 | 6.28 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Lowery | M | 90 | 7.04 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Ring | M | 89 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Kiltie | M | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| T. John-Jules | M | 73 | 6.17 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Hugill | F | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Daniels | F | 17 | 5.82 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | 1 |
| J. Brandon | D | 23 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. O'Hara | M | 23 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| R. McKenzie | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
The final score was Hibernian 0–1 Kilmarnock.
What did the model predict before Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Hibernian win, 29% to a draw, and 29% to an Kilmarnock win.