Scottish Premiership
· Championship Group - 38
May 16, 2026 13:30
35'
(ast. R. Charles-Cook)
L. Fadinger
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hibernian a 47% win probability (draw 23%, Motherwell 28%). The final result was Hibernian 0–1 Motherwell. In 4 previous meetings, Hibernian have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 2 wins for Motherwell.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
13
1
Shots on target
6
0.83
Actual xG
1.07
5
Saves
0
49%
Possession
51%
7
Corners
4
26
Tackles
12
5
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
R. Bushiri
/ G. Hanley
16'
32'
E. Watt
35'
ast. R. Charles-Cook ·
L. Fadinger⚽
J. McGrath
45'+3
J. McGrath
/ D. Barlaser
46'
J. Newell
/ J. Mulligan
46'
J. Mulligan
53'
53'
R. Charles-Cook
G. Hanley
/ D. Scarlett
58'
62'
66'
C. Slattery
67'
E. Watt
67'
E. Watt
O. Elding
/ A. Suto
70'
M. Chaiwa
71'
72'
O. Priestman
/
C. Slattery
72'
J. Koutroumbis
/
E. Just
73'
I. Said
/
R. Charles-Cook
74'
L. Fadinger
83'
C. Hendry
/
T. Maswanhise
M. Boyle
84'
87'
S. O'Donnell
/
E. Longelo
N. Cadden
89'
Pre-match prediction
47.6%
Hibernian
23.96%
X
28.44%
Motherwell ←
we assigned to the actual result (Motherwell)
28.44%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.70
0.83
-0.87
1.14
1.07
-0.07
xG dominance was balanced (0.83 – 1.07).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
R. Sallinger
G
R. Sallinger
G
21
J. Obita
D
J. Obita
D
33
Rocky Bushiri
16'
D
Rocky Bushiri
16'
D
5
W. O'Hora
D
W. O'Hora
D
19
N. Cadden
M
N. Cadden
M
11
J. Newell
45'
M
J. Newell
45'
M
14
M. Chaiwa
M
M. Chaiwa
M
25
F. Passlack
M
F. Passlack
M
17
J. McGrath
45'
F
J. McGrath
45'
F
47
Owen Elding
70'
F
10
M. Boyle
F
M. Boyle
F
Bench
77
A. Šuto
28'
F
A. Šuto
28'
F
12
C. Cadden
D
C. Cadden
D
22
D. Barlaser
53'
M
D. Barlaser
53'
M
44
D. Scarlett
39'
F
D. Scarlett
39'
F
4
G. Hanley
43'
D
G. Hanley
43'
D
32
J. Campbell
M
J. Campbell
M
15
J. Iredale
D
J. Iredale
D
20
J. Mulligan
53'
M
J. Mulligan
53'
M
13
J. Smith
G
J. Smith
G
31
M. Connelly
G
M. Connelly
G
45
M. Emmanuel
87'
D
M. Emmanuel
87'
D
57
S. Welsh
D
S. Welsh
D
4
Liam Gordon
D
Liam Gordon
D
7
T. Sparrow
D
T. Sparrow
D
12
L. Fadinger
1 ⚽
M
L. Fadinger
1 ⚽
M
20
Elliot Watt
67'
M
Elliot Watt
67'
M
18
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
83'
M
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
83'
M
8
C. Slattery
73'
M
C. Slattery
73'
M
77
R. Charles-Cook
1 👟
73'
M
R. Charles-Cook
1 👟
73'
M
21
E. Just
73'
F
E. Just
73'
F
Bench
1
Aston Oxborough
G
66
Callum Hendry
15'
F
Callum Hendry
15'
F
90
I. Said
25'
F
I. Said
25'
F
22
Johnny Koutroumbis
25'
D
28
Luca Ross
F
Luca Ross
F
25
Oscar Priestman
25'
M
19
Sam Nicholson
F
Sam Nicholson
F
2
S. O'Donnell
11'
D
S. O'Donnell
11'
D
14
Zach Robinson
F
Zach Robinson
F
Best on the pitch
Liam Gordon
D · Motherwell
8.00
1 shots
· 55 pass
R. Sallinger
G · Hibernian
7.90
· 44 pass
L. Fadinger
M · Motherwell
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
N. Cadden
M · Hibernian
7.30
1 shots
· 28 pass
D. Barlaser
M · Hibernian
7.30
· 39 pass
M. Chaiwa
M · Hibernian
7.30
1 shots
· 28 pass
Hibernian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sallinger | G | 98 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Obita | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Rocky Bushiri | D | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| W. O'Hora | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Cadden | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Newell | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Chaiwa | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 5 | 1 | — |
| F. Passlack | M | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| J. McGrath | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Owen Elding | F | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Boyle | F | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Šuto | F | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Barlaser | M | 53 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | — | — | — |
| D. Scarlett | F | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| G. Hanley | D | 43 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Mulligan | M | 53 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 3 | 1 | — |
Motherwell — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Connelly | G | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | — | — | — |
| M. Emmanuel | D | 87 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| S. Welsh | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Liam Gordon | D | 98 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 49% | — | — | — |
| T. Sparrow | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Fadinger | M | 98 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Elliot Watt | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 45% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Slattery | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Charles-Cook | M | 73 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Just | F | 73 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Callum Hendry | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| I. Said | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Johnny Koutroumbis | D | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Oscar Priestman | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| S. O'Donnell | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hibernian vs Motherwell?
The final score was Hibernian 0–1 Motherwell.
What did the model predict before Hibernian vs Motherwell?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Hibernian win, 23% to a draw, and 28% to an Motherwell win.