← Scottish Premiership

Hibernian - Motherwell

Scottish Premiership May 16, 2026 13:30
Hibernian
#5 · 51 pts
vs
Motherwell
#4 · 58 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.83%
Win
Hibernian
23.52%
Draw
27.65%
Win
Motherwell
1.66
Expected xG
1.12

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Hibernian a 48% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Motherwell. Expected goals are 1.7 for Hibernian and 1.1 for Motherwell (total 2.8), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.6% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Hibernian have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Motherwell.

Score Matrix
↕ Hibernian Motherwell →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3% 7.0% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.4% 11.6% 6.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.6% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.7% 5.3% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% — —
Recent form
Hibernian Hibernian
W Rangers 1–2
W Falkirk 1–3
L Celtic 1–2
L Heart Of Midlothian 1–2
L Aberdeen 2–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 43%
Motherwell Motherwell
L Celtic 2–3
D Heart Of Midlothian 1–1
L Falkirk 1–0
W Rangers 2–3
L Heart Of Midlothian 3–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 26%
Playing profile
Hibernian Hibernian
Attack
28
Defence
64
Form
52
Motherwell Motherwell
Attack
32
Defence
55
Form
41
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Hibernian
2
Draw
1
Motherwell
D 21 Mar 2026 Scottish Premiership 0–0
D 10 Jan 2026 Scottish Premiership 1–1
L 25 Nov 2025 Scottish Premiership 0–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 33 70
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 37 80
1 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 37 44
2 Rangers Rangers 33 69
2 Celtic Celtic 37 79
2 Aberdeen Aberdeen 37 40
3 Dundee Dundee 37 39
3 Celtic Celtic 33 67
3 Rangers Rangers 37 69
4 Motherwell Motherwell 37 58
4 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 37 37
4 Motherwell Motherwell 33 54
5 ST Mirren ST Mirren 37 33
5 Hibernian Hibernian 33 51
5 Hibernian Hibernian 37 57
6 Livingston Livingston 37 21
6 Falkirk Falkirk 33 46
6 Falkirk Falkirk 37 49
7 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 33 40
8 Aberdeen Aberdeen 33 33
9 Dundee Dundee 33 33
10 ST Mirren ST Mirren 33 30
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 33 28
12 Livingston Livingston 33 16
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hibernian vs Motherwell?
The model gives Hibernian a 48% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 27% for an Motherwell win.
How many goals are expected in Hibernian vs Motherwell?
Expected goals: Hibernian 1.7, Motherwell 1.1 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Hibernian vs Motherwell?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.6%.