Scottish Premiership
· Championship Group - 38
May 16, 2026 13:30
35'
(ast. R. Charles-Cook)
L. Fadinger
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hibernian a 47% win probability (draw 23%, Motherwell 28%). The final result was Hibernian 0–1 Motherwell. In 3 previous meetings, Hibernian have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Motherwell.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
13
1
Shots on target
6
0.83
Actual xG
1.07
5
Saves
0
49%
Possession
51%
7
Corners
4
26
Tackles
12
5
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
R. Bushiri
/ G. Hanley
16'
32'
E. Watt
35'
ast. R. Charles-Cook ·
L. Fadinger⚽
J. McGrath
45'+3
J. McGrath
/ D. Barlaser
46'
J. Newell
/ J. Mulligan
46'
J. Mulligan
53'
53'
R. Charles-Cook
G. Hanley
/ D. Scarlett
58'
62'
66'
C. Slattery
67'
E. Watt
67'
E. Watt
O. Elding
/ A. Suto
70'
M. Chaiwa
71'
72'
O. Priestman
/
C. Slattery
72'
J. Koutroumbis
/
E. Just
73'
I. Said
/
R. Charles-Cook
74'
L. Fadinger
83'
C. Hendry
/
T. Maswanhise
M. Boyle
84'
87'
S. O'Donnell
/
E. Longelo
N. Cadden
89'
Pre-match prediction
47.6%
Hibernian
23.96%
X
28.44%
Motherwell ←
we assigned to the actual result (Motherwell)
28.44%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.70
0.83
-0.87
1.14
1.07
-0.07
xG dominance was balanced (0.83 – 1.07).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Raphael Sallinger
G
Raphael Sallinger
G
21
J. Obita
D
J. Obita
D
33
Rocky Bushiri
16'
D
Rocky Bushiri
16'
D
5
Warren O'Hora
D
Warren O'Hora
D
19
Nicky Cadden
M
Nicky Cadden
M
11
Joe Newell
45'
M
Joe Newell
45'
M
14
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
M
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
M
25
Felix Passlack
M
Felix Passlack
M
17
J. McGrath
45'
F
J. McGrath
45'
F
47
Owen Elding
70'
F
Owen Elding
70'
F
10
M. Boyle
F
M. Boyle
F
Bench
77
A. Šuto
28'
F
A. Šuto
28'
F
12
Chris Cadden
D
Chris Cadden
D
44
Dane Scarlett
39'
F
Dane Scarlett
39'
F
22
Daniel Barlaser
53'
M
Daniel Barlaser
53'
M
4
Grant Hanley
43'
D
Grant Hanley
43'
D
15
Jack Iredale
D
Jack Iredale
D
13
Jordan Smith
G
Jordan Smith
G
32
Josh Campbell
M
Josh Campbell
M
20
Josh Mulligan
53'
M
Josh Mulligan
53'
M
31
Matty Connelly
G
Matty Connelly
G
45
M. Emmanuel
87'
D
M. Emmanuel
87'
D
57
Stephen Welsh
D
Stephen Welsh
D
4
Liam Gordon
D
Liam Gordon
D
7
Tom Sparrow
D
Tom Sparrow
D
12
Lukas Fadinger
1 ⚽
M
Lukas Fadinger
1 ⚽
M
20
E. Watt
67'
M
E. Watt
67'
M
18
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
83'
M
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
83'
M
8
C. Slattery
73'
M
C. Slattery
73'
M
77
R. Charles-Cook
1 👟
73'
M
R. Charles-Cook
1 👟
73'
M
21
E. Just
73'
F
E. Just
73'
F
Bench
1
Aston Oxborough
G
66
Callum Hendry
15'
F
Callum Hendry
15'
F
90
Ibrahim Said
25'
F
Ibrahim Said
25'
F
22
Johnny Koutroumbis
25'
D
Johnny Koutroumbis
25'
D
28
Luca Ross
F
Luca Ross
F
25
Oscar Priestman
25'
M
Oscar Priestman
25'
M
19
Sam Nicholson
F
Sam Nicholson
F
2
Stephen O'Donnell
11'
D
Stephen O'Donnell
11'
D
14
Zach Robinson
F
Zach Robinson
F
Best on the pitch
Liam Gordon
D · Motherwell
8.00
1 shots
· 55 pass
Raphael Sallinger
G · Hibernian
7.90
· 44 pass
Lukas Fadinger
M · Motherwell
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
Daniel Barlaser
M · Hibernian
7.30
· 39 pass
Nicky Cadden
M · Hibernian
7.30
1 shots
· 28 pass
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
M · Hibernian
7.30
1 shots
· 28 pass
Hibernian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raphael Sallinger | G | 98 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Obita | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Rocky Bushiri | D | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Warren O'Hora | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicky Cadden | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Joe Newell | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Changa Chaiwa | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Felix Passlack | M | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| J. McGrath | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Owen Elding | F | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Boyle | F | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Šuto | F | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Dane Scarlett | F | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Barlaser | M | 53 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Grant Hanley | D | 43 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Josh Mulligan | M | 53 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 3 | 1 | — |
Motherwell — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matty Connelly | G | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | — | — | — |
| M. Emmanuel | D | 87 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Stephen Welsh | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Liam Gordon | D | 98 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Tom Sparrow | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Lukas Fadinger | M | 98 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Watt | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 45% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Slattery | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Charles-Cook | M | 73 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Just | F | 73 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Callum Hendry | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Said | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Johnny Koutroumbis | D | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Oscar Priestman | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Stephen O'Donnell | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hibernian vs Motherwell?
The final score was Hibernian 0–1 Motherwell.
What did the model predict before Hibernian vs Motherwell?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Hibernian win, 23% to a draw, and 28% to an Motherwell win.