Scottish Premiership
· Regular Season - 1
August 02, 2026 17:30
M. Boyle
56'
(pen.)
(pen.)
40'
L. Fadinger
85'
(ast. D. Williams)
I. Said
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hibernian a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Motherwell 32%). The final result was Hibernian 1–2 Motherwell. In 4 previous meetings, Hibernian have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 2 wins for Motherwell.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
5
1.92
Actual xG
2.00
3
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
9
Corners
2
22
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
40'
(pen.)
L. Fadinger⚽
J. Mulligan
48'
55'
O. Priestman
⚽M. Boyle
(pen.)
56'
A. Mayor
/ R. Molotnikov
60'
66'
J. Knight-Lebel
/
J. Girdwood-Reich
66'
T. Maswanhise
/
W. Vogt
68'
L. Fadinger
M. Boyle
/ A. Suto
73'
M. Chaiwa
/ A. Abdulai
73'
75'
A. Lowry
/
R. Charles-Cook
76'
T. Sparrow
82'
E. Wilson
/
E. Longelo
82'
O. Whyte
/
O. Priestman
85'
ast. D. Williams ·
I. Said⚽
Pre-match prediction
34.69%
Hibernian
32.58%
X
32.73%
Motherwell ←
we assigned to the actual result (Motherwell)
32.73%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.79
1.92
+0.13
1.24
2.00
+0.76
xG dominance was balanced (1.92 – 2.00).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Raphael Sallinger
G
21
Jordan Obita
D
6
Jason Kerr
D
5
Warren O'Hora
D
3
Adam Mayor
60'
M
14
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
73'
M
8
Josh Mulligan
M
25
Felix Passlack
M
10
Martin Boyle
1 ⚽
73'
F
9
Nathan Lowe
F
7
Owen Elding
F
Bench
22
Ante Šuto
17'
F
47
Azeem Abdulai
17'
M
4
Grant Hanley
D
30
Jacob MacIntyre
M
13
Jordan Smith
G
32
Josh Campbell
M
27
Kanayochukwu Megwa
D
20
Rudi Allan Molotnikov
30'
M
18
Thibault Klidjé
F
1
Alex Paulsen
G
20
Dylan Williams
1 👟
D
Dylan Williams
1 👟
D
5
Martin Moormann
D
3
Jake Girdwood-Reich
66'
D
7
Tom Sparrow
D
45
Emmanuel Longelo
82'
M
8
Lukas Fadinger
1 ⚽
M
12
Oscar Priestman
82'
M
77
Willy Vogt
66'
M
17
Regan Charles-Cook
75'
F
19
Ibrahim Said
1 ⚽
F
Ibrahim Said
1 ⚽
F
Bench
11
Alex Lowry
15'
M
23
Ewan Wilson
8'
D
4
Jamie Knight-Lebel
24'
D
24
Luca Ross
M
21
Matty Connelly
G
27
Mikey Booth
M
25
Olly Whyte
8'
M
18
Tawanda Maswanhise
24'
F
29
Zander McAllister
M
Best on the pitch
Martin Moormann
D · Motherwell
8.20
· 72 pass
Ibrahim Said
F · Motherwell
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 34 pass
Alex Paulsen
G · Motherwell
7.90
· 59 pass
Felix Passlack
M · Hibernian
7.50
· 40 pass
Raphael Sallinger
G · Hibernian
7.20
· 28 pass
Jamie Knight-Lebel
D · Motherwell
7.20
· 18 pass
Hibernian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raphael Sallinger | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Obita | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Jason Kerr | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 75 | 72% | 2 | — | — |
| Warren O'Hora | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Adam Mayor | M | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Miguel Changa Chaiwa | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Josh Mulligan | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Felix Passlack | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 6 | — | — |
| Martin Boyle | F | 73 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Lowe | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Owen Elding | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Ante Šuto | F | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Azeem Abdulai | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Rudi Allan Molotnikov | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
Motherwell — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Paulsen | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Dylan Williams | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 62 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Martin Moormann | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 72 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Jake Girdwood-Reich | D | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Tom Sparrow | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Emmanuel Longelo | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Lukas Fadinger | M | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 64 | 60% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Oscar Priestman | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Willy Vogt | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Regan Charles-Cook | F | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Said | F | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Alex Lowry | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Ewan Wilson | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamie Knight-Lebel | D | 24 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Olly Whyte | M | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Tawanda Maswanhise | F | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hibernian vs Motherwell?
The final score was Hibernian 1–2 Motherwell.
What did the model predict before Hibernian vs Motherwell?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Hibernian win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Motherwell win.