Scottish Premiership
· Regular Season - 1
August 02, 2026 17:30
M. Boyle
56'
(pen.)
(pen.)
40'
L. Fadinger
85'
(ast. D. Williams)
I. Said
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hibernian a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Motherwell 32%). The final result was Hibernian 1–2 Motherwell. In 4 previous meetings, Hibernian have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 2 wins for Motherwell.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
5
1.92
Actual xG
2.00
3
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
9
Corners
2
22
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
40'
(pen.)
L. Fadinger⚽
J. Mulligan
48'
55'
O. Priestman
⚽M. Boyle
(pen.)
56'
A. Mayor
/ R. Molotnikov
60'
66'
J. Knight-Lebel
/
J. Girdwood-Reich
66'
T. Maswanhise
/
W. Vogt
68'
L. Fadinger
M. Boyle
/ A. Suto
73'
M. Chaiwa
/ A. Abdulai
73'
75'
A. Lowry
/
R. Charles-Cook
76'
T. Sparrow
82'
E. Wilson
/
E. Longelo
82'
O. Whyte
/
O. Priestman
85'
ast. D. Williams ·
I. Said⚽
Pre-match prediction
34.69%
Hibernian
32.58%
X
32.73%
Motherwell ←
we assigned to the actual result (Motherwell)
32.73%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.79
1.92
+0.13
1.24
2.00
+0.76
xG dominance was balanced (1.92 – 2.00).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
R. Sallinger
G
R. Sallinger
G
21
J. Obita
D
J. Obita
D
6
J. Kerr
D
J. Kerr
D
5
W. O'Hora
D
W. O'Hora
D
3
A. Mayor
60'
M
A. Mayor
60'
M
14
M. Chaiwa
73'
M
M. Chaiwa
73'
M
8
J. Mulligan
M
J. Mulligan
M
25
F. Passlack
M
F. Passlack
M
10
M. Boyle
1 ⚽
73'
F
M. Boyle
1 ⚽
73'
F
9
N. Lowe
F
N. Lowe
F
7
O. Elding
F
O. Elding
F
Bench
47
A. Abdulai
17'
M
22
A. Šuto
17'
F
A. Šuto
17'
F
4
G. Hanley
D
G. Hanley
D
30
Jacob MacIntyre
M
Jacob MacIntyre
M
32
J. Campbell
M
J. Campbell
M
13
J. Smith
G
J. Smith
G
27
K. Megwa
D
K. Megwa
D
20
Rudi Allan Molotnikov
30'
M
Rudi Allan Molotnikov
30'
M
18
T. Klidje
F
T. Klidje
F
1
Alex Paulsen
G
20
Dylan Williams
1 👟
D
Dylan Williams
1 👟
D
5
M. Moormann
D
M. Moormann
D
3
J. Girdwood-Reich
66'
D
J. Girdwood-Reich
66'
D
7
T. Sparrow
D
T. Sparrow
D
45
M. Emmanuel
82'
M
M. Emmanuel
82'
M
8
L. Fadinger
1 ⚽
M
L. Fadinger
1 ⚽
M
12
Oscar Priestman
82'
M
77
Willy Vogt
66'
M
Willy Vogt
66'
M
17
R. Charles-Cook
75'
F
R. Charles-Cook
75'
F
19
I. Said
1 ⚽
F
I. Said
1 ⚽
F
Bench
11
A. Lowry
15'
M
A. Lowry
15'
M
23
Ewan Wilson
8'
D
Ewan Wilson
8'
D
4
Jamie Knight-Lebel
24'
D
Jamie Knight-Lebel
24'
D
24
Luca Ross
M
Luca Ross
M
21
M. Connelly
G
M. Connelly
G
27
Mikey Booth
M
Mikey Booth
M
25
Olly Whyte
8'
M
Olly Whyte
8'
M
18
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
24'
F
29
Zander McAllister
M
Zander McAllister
M
Best on the pitch
M. Moormann
D · Motherwell
8.20
· 72 pass
I. Said
F · Motherwell
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 34 pass
Alex Paulsen
G · Motherwell
7.90
· 59 pass
F. Passlack
M · Hibernian
7.50
· 40 pass
R. Sallinger
G · Hibernian
7.20
· 28 pass
Jamie Knight-Lebel
D · Motherwell
7.20
· 18 pass
Hibernian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sallinger | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Obita | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 43% | — | — | — |
| J. Kerr | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 75 | 72% | 2 | — | — |
| W. O'Hora | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mayor | M | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Chaiwa | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | — | — | — |
| J. Mulligan | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| F. Passlack | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 6 | — | — |
| M. Boyle | F | 73 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Lowe | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Elding | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Abdulai | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | — | — | — |
| A. Šuto | F | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Rudi Allan Molotnikov | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
Motherwell — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Paulsen | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Dylan Williams | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 62 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Moormann | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 72 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Girdwood-Reich | D | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Sparrow | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Emmanuel | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Fadinger | M | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 64 | 60% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Oscar Priestman | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Willy Vogt | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| R. Charles-Cook | F | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Said | F | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| A. Lowry | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Ewan Wilson | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamie Knight-Lebel | D | 24 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Olly Whyte | M | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise | F | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hibernian vs Motherwell?
The final score was Hibernian 1–2 Motherwell.
What did the model predict before Hibernian vs Motherwell?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Hibernian win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Motherwell win.