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Hibernian - Shkendija

Conference League August 06, 2026 21:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.65%
Win
Hibernian
25.9%
Draw
30.45%
Win
Shkendija
1.97
Expected xG
1.44

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.68%)
1X2 Result ✓ 76.9% hit rate (13 picks)
1 44%
X 26%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 56%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 67%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Hibernian a 43% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Shkendija. Expected goals are 2.0 for Hibernian and 1.4 for Shkendija (total 3.4), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.68% probability.

Season Stats

Hibernian
2W 1D 3L
Shkendija
5W 1D 6L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.2
1.8
Conceded
1.1
6.5
Shots OT
1.9
6.5
Corners
2.9
45%
Poss.
40%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
58%
67%
O 2.5
33%
67%
BTTS
25%
17%
Clean Sht
33%
Based on the last 12 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
Hibernian
1W 0D 2L · at home
Shkendija
1W 0D 5L · away
2.3
gls/g
1.0
2.0
Conceded
1.7
33%
Win %
17%
33%
Win or Draw
17%
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
50%
67%
O 3.5
33%
100%
BTTS
17%
0%
Clean Sht
17%
0%
Failed to Score
67%
last 6
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Hibernian Shkendija →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3% 4.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.6% 9.4% 6.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.4% 9.2% 6.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.2% 6.1% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.1% 3.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

W Malisheva 4–1
L Malisheva 2–0
D Legia Warszawa 3–3
L Legia Warszawa 1–2
L FK Partizan 2–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 15%
W Bravo 3–1
L Bravo 2–1
W Europa 1–0
W Europa 0–5
L Samsunspor 4–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

Hibernian Hibernian
Attack
46
Defence
68
Form
63
Shkendija Shkendija
Attack
45
Defence
70
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hibernian vs Shkendija?
The model gives Hibernian a 43% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 30% for an Shkendija win.
How many goals are expected in Hibernian vs Shkendija?
Expected goals: Hibernian 2.0, Shkendija 1.4 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Hibernian vs Shkendija?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.68%.