Hillerød - Esbjerg
1. Division
May 16, 2026 13:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.63%
Win
Hillerød
31.89%
Draw
26.47%
Win
Esbjerg
1.05
0.77
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Hillerød a 41% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Esbjerg. Expected goals are 1.0 for Hillerød and 0.8 for Esbjerg (total 1.8), with a 68% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 17.1% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Hillerød have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Esbjerg.
Score Matrix
↕ Hillerød
Esbjerg →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.3% | 12.5% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 17.1% | 13.1% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 9.0% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Hillerød
Attack
22
Defence
70
Form
52
Esbjerg
Attack
22
Defence
65
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lyngby
|
29 | 57 |
| 1 |
Lyngby
|
22 | 42 |
| 1 |
Aalborg
|
29 | 42 |
| 2 |
AC Horsens
|
29 | 47 |
| 2 |
Aarhus Fremad
|
30 | 40 |
| 2 |
Hvidovre
|
22 | 39 |
| 3 |
Hillerød
|
22 | 37 |
| 3 |
Hillerød
|
29 | 46 |
| 3 |
HB Koge
|
29 | 37 |
| 4 |
Hvidovre
|
29 | 45 |
| 4 |
Esbjerg
|
22 | 37 |
| 4 |
Hobro
|
30 | 36 |
| 5 |
B 93
|
29 | 32 |
| 5 |
Esbjerg
|
29 | 45 |
| 5 |
Kolding IF
|
22 | 33 |
| 6 |
AC Horsens
|
22 | 30 |
| 6 |
Middelfart
|
29 | 15 |
| 6 |
Kolding IF
|
29 | 35 |
| 7 |
Aalborg
|
22 | 28 |
| 8 |
B 93
|
22 | 28 |
| 9 |
Aarhus Fremad
|
22 | 27 |
| 10 |
Hobro
|
22 | 25 |
| 11 |
HB Koge
|
22 | 20 |
| 12 |
Middelfart
|
22 | 12 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hillerød vs Esbjerg?
The model gives Hillerød a 41% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 26% for an Esbjerg win.
How many goals are expected in Hillerød vs Esbjerg?
Expected goals: Hillerød 1.0, Esbjerg 0.8 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 68%.
What is the most likely score in Hillerød vs Esbjerg?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.1%.