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Hitchin Town - Leiston

FA Cup September 19, 2026 16:00
Hitchin Town
vs
Leiston
⚡ Pre-match analysis
27.9%
Win
Hitchin Town
28.11%
Draw
43.98%
Win
Leiston
1.06
Expected xG
2.89

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.44%)
1X2 Result
1 28%
X 28%
2 44%
Double Chance
1X 56%
X2 72%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 59%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Leiston a 43% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Hitchin Town. Expected goals are 1.1 for Hitchin Town and 2.9 for Leiston (total 4.0), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.44% probability.

Season Stats

Hitchin Town
3W 3D 1L
Leiston
3W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
2.2
0.9
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
86%
O 1.5
80%
43%
O 2.5
80%
57%
BTTS
40%
43%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Hitchin Town
2W 1D 1L · at home
Leiston
1W 1D 0L · away
1.8
gls/g
1.0
0.8
Conceded
0.5
50%
Win %
50%
75%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Hitchin Town Leiston →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9% 5.6% 8.0% 7.7% 5.6% 3.2%
1 2.0% 5.9% 8.5% 8.2% 5.9% 3.4%
2 1.1% 3.1% 4.5% 4.4% 3.1% 1.8%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 — 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% —

Recent form

Hitchin Town Hitchin Town
W Biggleswade Town 3–0
D Biggleswade Town 1–1
L St Albans City 1–2
W Potters Bar Town 2–0
D Potters Bar Town 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Leiston Leiston
W Grays Athletic 5–0
D Grays Athletic 0–0
L Banbury United 0–3
W Hackney Wick 4–1
W Cheshunt 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Hitchin Town Hitchin Town
Attack
26
Defence
64
Form
47
Leiston Leiston
Attack
64
Defence
82
Form
73
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hitchin Town vs Leiston?
The model gives Hitchin Town a 27% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 43% for an Leiston win.
How many goals are expected in Hitchin Town vs Leiston?
Expected goals: Hitchin Town 1.1, Leiston 2.9 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Hitchin Town vs Leiston?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.44%.