✓Model correct — prediction HJK Helsinki
Mads Borchers
50'
Santeri Haarala
(ast. Kaius Simojoki)
60'
Mads Borchers
(ast. Santeri Haarala)
66'
Mads Borchers
90'+2
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HJK Helsinki a 57% win probability (draw 25%, Gnistan 16%). The final result was HJK Helsinki 4–0 Gnistan. In 8 previous meetings, HJK Helsinki have won 3 times, with 2 draws and 3 wins for Gnistan.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
10
10
Shots on target
4
3.97
Actual xG
0.39
4
Saves
6
63%
Possession
37%
4
Corners
6
15
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
12'
Gabriel Europaeus
30'
Artur Atarah
Teemu Pukki
/ Liam Möller
45'
47'
Sergey Eremenko
⚽Mads Borchers
50'
53'
Edmund Arko-Mensah
57'
Roman Eremenko
/
Joakim Latonen
57'
Danny Pérez
/
Saku Ylätupa
⚽Santeri Haarala
· ast. Kaius Simojoki
60'
60'
Juhani Ojala
/
Pakwo Abdoul Rachide Gnanou
⚽Mads Borchers
· ast. Santeri Haarala
66'
Santeri Haarala
/ Lucas Lingman
74'
Pyry Mentu
/ Joona Veteli
74'
Alexander Ring
/ Martin Kirilov
74'
79'
Otto Hannula
/
Artur Atarah
Ville Tikkanen
/ Till Cissokho
82'
⚽Mads Borchers
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
57.49%
HJK ←
25.66%
X
16.85%
Gnistan
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (HJK Helsinki)
57.49%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.42
3.97
+2.55
0.60
0.39
-0.2
HJK Helsinki dominated by xG (3.97 vs 0.39).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Öst
G
J. Öst
G
14
L. Montano
D
L. Montano
D
6
V. Tikkanen
82'
D
V. Tikkanen
82'
D
31
M. Bogićević
D
M. Bogićević
D
13
K. Simojoki
1 👟
D
K. Simojoki
1 👟
D
4
A. Ring
74'
M
A. Ring
74'
M
8
P. Mentu
74'
M
P. Mentu
74'
M
7
Alfie Cicale
M
Alfie Cicale
M
29
S. Haarala
1 ⚽
1 👟
74'
M
S. Haarala
1 ⚽
1 👟
74'
M
9
M. Borchers
3 ⚽
M
M. Borchers
3 ⚽
M
20
T. Pukki
45'
F
T. Pukki
45'
F
Bench
30
J. Samooja
G
J. Samooja
G
77
J. Veteli
16'
M
J. Veteli
16'
M
26
L. Lappalainen
F
L. Lappalainen
F
10
L. Lingman
16'
M
L. Lingman
16'
M
22
L. Möller
45'
M
L. Möller
45'
M
11
M. Kirilov
16'
M
M. Kirilov
16'
M
32
Mouhamed Guèye II
M
Mouhamed Guèye II
M
17
N. Alho
D
N. Alho
D
3
T. Cissokho
8'
D
T. Cissokho
8'
D
1
O. Virtanen
G
O. Virtanen
G
12
E. Arko-Mensah
53'
D
E. Arko-Mensah
53'
D
3
Ruxi
D
Ruxi
D
14
S. Eremenko
D
S. Eremenko
D
24
P. Gnanou
60'
D
P. Gnanou
60'
D
19
B. Milovanov
D
B. Milovanov
D
23
S. Ylätupa
57'
M
S. Ylätupa
57'
M
15
G. Europaeus
M
G. Europaeus
M
31
A. Jouhi
M
A. Jouhi
M
7
A. Atarah
79'
M
A. Atarah
79'
M
10
J. Latonen
57'
F
J. Latonen
57'
F
Bench
67
A. Obileye
D
A. Obileye
D
2
B. Dahlström
D
B. Dahlström
D
11
D. Pérez
33'
F
D. Pérez
33'
F
40
J. Ojala
30'
D
J. Ojala
30'
D
95
M. JuriÄka
G
M. JuriÄka
G
27
O. Hannula
11'
M
O. Hannula
11'
M
26
R. Eremenko
33'
M
R. Eremenko
33'
M
Best on the pitch
M. Borchers
M · HJK
9.10
3 ⚽
6 shots
· 26 pass
S. Haarala
M · HJK
8.35
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 27 pass
J. Öst
G · HJK
7.59
· 29 pass
V. Tikkanen
D · HJK
7.51
· 95 pass
K. Simojoki
D · HJK
7.49
1 👟
· 52 pass
M. Bogićević
D · HJK
7.37
· 85 pass
HJK Helsinki — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Öst | G | 90 | 7.59 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Montano | D | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 3 | 45 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Tikkanen | D | 82 | 7.51 | — | — | 0 | 95 | 87% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Bogićević | D | 90 | 7.37 | — | — | 0 | 85 | 76% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Simojoki | D | 90 | 7.49 | — | 1 | 0 | 52 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Ring | M | 74 | 7.10 | — | — | 0 | 72 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Mentu | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 0 | 58 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Alfie Cicale | M | 90 | 7.05 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Haarala | M | 74 | 8.35 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Borchers | M | 90 | 9.10 | 3 | — | 6 | 26 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Pukki | F | 45 | 6.63 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Veteli | M | 16 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Lingman | M | 16 | 7.30 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Möller | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Kirilov | M | 16 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Cissokho | D | 8 | 7.00 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
Gnistan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Virtanen | G | 90 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Arko-Mensah | D | 53 | 5.58 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 0 | — | 1 |
| Ruxi | D | 90 | 5.46 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Eremenko | D | 90 | 5.82 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| P. Gnanou | D | 60 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Milovanov | D | 90 | 5.74 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Ylätupa | M | 57 | 5.91 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Europaeus | M | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Jouhi | M | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Atarah | M | 79 | 5.58 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 2% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Latonen | F | 57 | 6.62 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Pérez | F | 33 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ojala | D | 30 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Hannula | M | 11 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Eremenko | M | 33 | 5.98 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan?
The final score was HJK Helsinki 4–0 Gnistan.
What did the model predict before HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan?
The model assigned 57% probability to a HJK Helsinki win, 25% to a draw, and 16% to an Gnistan win.