✗Model wrong — prediction HJK Helsinki, result Draw
Liam Möller
53'
Nikolai Alho
(ast. Teemu Pukki)
74'
55'
Petteri Pennanen
56'
Jaime Moreno
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HJK Helsinki a 67% win probability (draw 21%, KuPS 10%). The final result was HJK Helsinki 2–2 KuPS. In 7 previous meetings, HJK Helsinki have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 4 wins for KuPS.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
22
5
Shots on target
8
1.32
Actual xG
2.09
6
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
2
Corners
8
13
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Liam Möller
43'
Alexander Ring
44'
⚽Liam Möller
53'
55'
Petteri Pennanen⚽
56'
Jaime Moreno⚽
Alfie Cicale
/ Lassi Lappalainen
66'
66'
Tommi Jyry
/
Joslyn Lutumba Luyeye
66'
Julius Eskesen
/
Samuel Pasanen
Alexander Ring
/ Joona Veteli
72'
Liam Möller
/ Teemu Pukki
72'
⚽Nikolai Alho
· ast. Teemu Pukki
74'
75'
Julius Eskesen
Nikolai Alho
76'
77'
Petteri Pennanen
78'
Gustav Engvall
/
Bob Nii Armah
83'
Arttu Lötjönen
87'
Piotr Parzyszek
/
Jaime Moreno
Pre-match prediction
67.83%
HJK
21.34%
X ←
10.83%
KuPS
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.71
1.32
-0.39
0.39
2.09
+1.7
KuPS dominated by xG (2.09 vs 1.32).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
J. Samooja
G
J. Samooja
G
14
L. Montano
D
L. Montano
D
6
V. Tikkanen
D
V. Tikkanen
D
31
M. Bogićević
D
M. Bogićević
D
17
N. Alho
1 ⚽
D
N. Alho
1 ⚽
D
8
P. Mentu
M
P. Mentu
M
4
A. Ring
72'
M
A. Ring
72'
M
7
Alfie Cicale
66'
M
Alfie Cicale
66'
M
29
S. Haarala
M
S. Haarala
M
22
L. Möller
1 ⚽
72'
M
L. Möller
1 ⚽
72'
M
9
M. Borchers
F
M. Borchers
F
Bench
77
J. Veteli
18'
M
J. Veteli
18'
M
13
K. Simojoki
D
K. Simojoki
D
26
L. Lappalainen
24'
F
L. Lappalainen
24'
F
10
L. Lingman
M
L. Lingman
M
12
M. Haapanen
G
M. Haapanen
G
11
M. Kirilov
M
M. Kirilov
M
32
Mouhamed Guèye II
M
Mouhamed Guèye II
M
3
T. Cissokho
D
T. Cissokho
D
20
T. Pukki
1 👟
18'
F
T. Pukki
1 👟
18'
F
1
J. Kreidl
G
J. Kreidl
G
25
C. Antwi
D
C. Antwi
D
23
A. Lötjönen
D
A. Lötjönen
D
33
T. Hämäläinen
D
T. Hämäläinen
D
6
S. Savolainen
D
S. Savolainen
D
14
S. Pasanen
66'
M
S. Pasanen
66'
M
10
V. Gasc
M
V. Gasc
M
24
B. Armah
78'
M
B. Armah
78'
M
8
P. Pennanen
1 ⚽
M
P. Pennanen
1 ⚽
M
21
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
66'
M
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
66'
M
11
J. Moreno
1 ⚽
87'
F
J. Moreno
1 ⚽
87'
F
Bench
15
A. Aiki
F
A. Aiki
F
9
G. Engvall
12'
F
G. Engvall
12'
F
12
H. Riihimäki
G
H. Riihimäki
G
34
J. Eskesen
24'
M
J. Eskesen
24'
M
4
K. Adams
D
K. Adams
D
13
N. Kujasalo
M
N. Kujasalo
M
20
P. Parzyszek
3'
F
P. Parzyszek
3'
F
3
S. Heiskanen
M
S. Heiskanen
M
16
T. Jyry
24'
M
T. Jyry
24'
M
Best on the pitch
P. Pennanen
M · KuPS
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 35 pass
J. Moreno
F · KuPS
8.11
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 10 pass
J. Samooja
G · HJK
7.67
· 21 pass
N. Alho
D · HJK
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
L. Möller
M · HJK
7.21
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
M. Bogićević
D · HJK
7.02
· 90 pass
HJK Helsinki — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Samooja | G | 90 | 7.67 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Montano | D | 90 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Tikkanen | D | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 99 | 94% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Bogićević | D | 90 | 7.02 | — | — | 0 | 90 | 78% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Alho | D | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 25% | 4 | 1 | — |
| P. Mentu | M | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 63 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ring | M | 72 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 46% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Alfie Cicale | M | 66 | 6.27 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Haarala | M | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Möller | M | 72 | 7.21 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Borchers | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Veteli | M | 18 | 6.13 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Lappalainen | F | 24 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Pukki | F | 18 | 6.67 | — | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
KuPS — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kreidl | G | 90 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Antwi | D | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Lötjönen | D | 90 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 71 | 63% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Hämäläinen | D | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Savolainen | D | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Pasanen | M | 66 | 6.29 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Gasc | M | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Armah | M | 78 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Pennanen | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 5 | 35 | 32% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Luyeye-Lutumba | M | 66 | 6.05 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Moreno | F | 87 | 8.11 | 1 | — | 6 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Engvall | F | 12 | 6.77 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Eskesen | M | 24 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 11% | 0 | 1 | — |
| P. Parzyszek | F | 3 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Jyry | M | 24 | 6.12 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs KuPS?
The final score was HJK Helsinki 2–2 KuPS.
What did the model predict before HJK Helsinki vs KuPS?
The model assigned 67% probability to a HJK Helsinki win, 21% to a draw, and 10% to an KuPS win.