HJK Helsinki - Motherwell
Conference League
August 06, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.53%
Win
HJK Helsinki
25.15%
Draw
26.32%
Win
Motherwell
2.75
1.29
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.57%)
1X2 Result
✓ 76.9% hit rate (13 picks)
1
49%
X
25%
2
26%
Double Chance
1X
74%
X2
52%
12
75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
66%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives HJK Helsinki a 48% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Motherwell. Expected goals are 2.7 for HJK Helsinki and 1.3 for Motherwell (total 4.0), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.57% probability.
Season Stats
3W
2D
1L
2W
0D
0L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
2.5
1.0
Conceded
0.0
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
100%
83%
O 2.5
50%
17%
BTTS
0%
67%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
17%
BTTS
2W
1D
0L
· at home
1W
0D
0L
· away
4.0
gls/g
3.0
0.7
Conceded
0.0
67%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
0%
67%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ HJK Helsinki
Motherwell →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
HJK Helsinki
Attack
55
Defence
75
Form
69
Motherwell
Attack
43
Defence
59
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell?
The model gives HJK Helsinki a 48% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 26% for an Motherwell win.
How many goals are expected in HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell?
Expected goals: HJK Helsinki 2.7, Motherwell 1.3 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.57%.