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HJK Helsinki - Motherwell

Conference League August 06, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.53%
Win
HJK Helsinki
25.15%
Draw
26.32%
Win
Motherwell
2.75
Expected xG
1.29

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.57%)
1X2 Result ✓ 76.9% hit rate (13 picks)
1 49%
X 25%
2 26%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 52%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 66%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives HJK Helsinki a 48% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Motherwell. Expected goals are 2.7 for HJK Helsinki and 1.3 for Motherwell (total 4.0), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.57% probability.

Season Stats

HJK Helsinki
3W 2D 1L
Motherwell
2W 0D 0L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
2.5
1.0
Conceded
0.0
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
100%
83%
O 2.5
50%
17%
BTTS
0%
67%
Clean Sht
100%
Based on the last 6 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
17%
BTTS
HJK Helsinki
2W 1D 0L · at home
Motherwell
1W 0D 0L · away
4.0
gls/g
3.0
0.7
Conceded
0.0
67%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
0%
67%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ HJK Helsinki Motherwell →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
1 4.9% 6.3% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.7% 8.6% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.1% 7.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.2% 5.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.3% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

W Coleraine FC 0–3
W Coleraine FC 5–0
D Arda Kardzhali 2–2
D Arda Kardzhali 0–0
W NSI Runavik 5–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
W HB Torshavn 0–3
W HB Torshavn 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki
Attack
55
Defence
75
Form
69
Motherwell Motherwell
Attack
43
Defence
59
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell?
The model gives HJK Helsinki a 48% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 26% for an Motherwell win.
How many goals are expected in HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell?
Expected goals: HJK Helsinki 2.7, Motherwell 1.3 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.57%.