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HNL · Regular Season - 3 August 16, 2026 21:00
HNK Gorica
#10 · 1 pts
1 – 2
Final score
HNK Hajduk Split
#2 · 13 pts
B. Bogojevic 78' (pen.)
3' (ast. R. Pukstas) M. Sego
87' (ast. A. del Moral) M. Livaja
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 38% win probability (draw 30%, HNK Gorica 31%). The final result was HNK Gorica 1–2 HNK Hajduk Split. In 4 previous meetings, HNK Gorica have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for HNK Hajduk Split.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
5
1.27
Actual xG
1.20
3
Saves
1
38%
Possession
62%
2
Corners
4
22
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
3'
ast. R. Pukstas · M. Sego⚽
↕ K. Custovic / J. Pranjic
46'
46'
L. Hodak / M. Acapandie ↕
51'
M. Sego
I. Cvijanovic
52'
67'
A. Guram / M. Soticek ↕
68'
A. del Moral / A. Pajaziti ↕
71'
A. Sutalo
↕ J. Frigan / S. Kucis
74'
↕ P. Mijic / L. Vrzic
74'
⚽B. Bogojevic (pen.)
78'
79'
M. Livaja / M. Sego ↕
79'
A. Sanyang / A. Sutalo ↕
87'
ast. A. del Moral · M. Livaja⚽
↕ F. Braut / O. Bakic
88'
↕ D. Pavicic / B. Kardum
90'+3
90'
A. Van Hoorenbeeck
Pre-match prediction
31.03%
HNK
30.54%
X
38.42%
HNK ←
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Hajduk Split) 38.42% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
HNK
1.63
1.27
-0.36
HNK
1.97
1.20
-0.77
xG dominance was balanced (1.27 – 1.20). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 NK Osijek NK Osijek 7 15
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 6 13
3 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 6 13
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 6 13
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 6 11
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 7 7
7 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 6 6
8 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 6 6
9 Rudes Rudes 6 3
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 6 1
Lineups
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 3-4-2-1
71 D. Matijaš D. Matijaš G 6.00
34 I. Cvijanović I. Cvijanović M 6.30
32 J. Filipović J. Filipović D 6.90
45 S. Perić S. Perić D 6.00
25 B. Bogojević B. Bogojević 1 ⚽ M 6.90
36 Ante Kavelj Ante Kavelj D 6.90
66 Juraj Frigan Juraj Frigan 74' M 6.90
2 F. Braut F. Braut 88' M 6.60
24 D. Pavičić D. Pavičić M 7.50
4 K. Čustović K. Čustović 45' M 6.90
9 P. Mijić P. Mijić 74' F 6.20
Bench
18 B. Kardum B. Kardum 2' F
30 D. Žarkov D. Žarkov G
28 Elisandro Kožina Aranha Elisandro Kožina Aranha D
8 J. Pranjić J. Pranjić 50' M 7.30
26 Keenan Carole Keenan Carole F
20 L. Vrzić L. Vrzić 21' F 6.70
99 M. Gashi M. Gashi F
7 O. Bakić O. Bakić 7' M
1 R. Josipović R. Josipović G
14 S. Kučiš S. Kučiš 21' M 6.60
67 Tomislav Prgomet Tomislav Prgomet M
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 4-3-3
33 T. Silić T. Silić G 6.90
32 Š. Hrgović Š. Hrgović D 6.60
5 A. Van Hoorenbeeck A. Van Hoorenbeeck D 6.90
15 D. Marešić D. Marešić D 7.60
22 M. Acapandié M. Acapandié 45' D 7.20
4 A. Pajaziti A. Pajaziti 68' M 6.30
8 N. Sigur N. Sigur M 6.60
21 R. Pukštas R. Pukštas 1 👟 M 7.00
23 M. Šotiček M. Šotiček 67' M 6.50
11 M. Šego M. Šego 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.20
16 A. Sutalo A. Sutalo 79' M 6.30
Bench
26 A. Guram A. Guram 28' M 6.30
20 Alberto del Moral Alberto del Moral 1 👟 27' M 6.90
7 A. Sanyang A. Sanyang 16' F 6.30
9 Dali Dali M
17 D. Melnjak D. Melnjak D
44 D. Stipica D. Stipica G
19 E. Brruti E. Brruti M
1 Ivica Ivušić Ivica Ivušić G
38 L. Hodak L. Hodak 50' D 5.90
10 M. Livaja M. Livaja 1 ⚽ 16' F 7.50
3 Roko Gabrić Roko Gabrić D
14 R. Raci R. Raci D
Best on the pitch
D. Marešić
D. Marešić
D · HNK
7.60
1 shots · 89 pass
M. Livaja
M. Livaja
F · HNK
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 2 pass
D. Pavičić
D. Pavičić
M · HNK
7.50
1 shots · 21 pass
J. Pranjić
J. Pranjić
M · HNK
7.30
1 shots · 7 pass
M. Šego
M. Šego
F · HNK
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
M. Acapandié
M. Acapandié
D · HNK
7.20
· 23 pass
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Matijaš G 95 6.00 — — — 29 17% — — —
I. Cvijanović M 95 6.30 — — 1 36 27% 2 1 —
J. Filipović D 95 6.90 — — — 27 24% 3 — —
S. Perić D 95 6.00 — — 1 40 30% — — —
B. Bogojević M 95 6.90 1 — 3 13 8% 1 — —
Ante Kavelj D 95 6.90 — — — 24 18% 2 — —
Juraj Frigan M 74 6.90 — — — 20 18% 3 — —
F. Braut M 88 6.60 — — — 33 18% 3 — —
D. Pavičić M 93 7.50 — — 1 21 19% 4 — —
K. Čustović M 45 6.90 — — — 9 7% — — —
P. Mijić F 74 6.20 — — 1 10 6% — — —
B. Kardum F 2 — — — — — — — — —
J. Pranjić M 50 7.30 — — 1 7 7% 2 — —
L. Vrzić F 21 6.70 — — — 8 5% 2 — —
O. Bakić M 7 — — — — 1 — — — —
S. Kučiš M 21 6.60 — — — 2 2% — — —
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Silić G 95 6.90 — — — 39 28% — — —
Š. Hrgović D 95 6.60 — — — 41 35% — — —
A. Van Hoorenbeeck D 95 6.90 — — — 56 52% — 1 —
D. Marešić D 95 7.60 — — 1 89 86% 2 — —
M. Acapandié D 45 7.20 — — — 23 22% 2 — —
A. Pajaziti M 68 6.30 — — — 46 45% — — —
N. Sigur M 95 6.60 — — — 40 37% — — —
R. Pukštas M 95 7.00 — 1 5 29 23% 4 — —
M. Šotiček M 67 6.50 — — 3 22 17% 1 — —
M. Šego F 79 7.20 1 — 1 15 8% — 1 —
A. Sutalo M 79 6.30 — — 1 20 15% 1 1 —
A. Guram M 28 6.30 — — — 11 9% — — —
Alberto del Moral M 27 6.90 — 1 — 18 17% — — —
A. Sanyang F 16 6.30 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
L. Hodak D 50 5.90 — — — 29 27% — — —
M. Livaja F 16 7.50 1 — 1 2 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The final score was HNK Gorica 1–2 HNK Hajduk Split.
What did the model predict before HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The model assigned 31% probability to a HNK Gorica win, 30% to a draw, and 38% to an HNK Hajduk Split win.