HNK Gorica - NK Osijek
HNL
May 16, 2026 16:00
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
32.3°C
💨 18 km/h
· Novo Mesto
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.3%
Win
HNK Gorica
37.94%
Draw
22.76%
Win
NK Osijek
0.78
0.49
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives HNK Gorica a 39% win probability, against 37% for a draw and 22% for NK Osijek. Expected goals are 0.8 for HNK Gorica and 0.5 for NK Osijek (total 1.3), with a 56% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 28.0% probability. In 3 previous meetings, HNK Gorica have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for NK Osijek.
Score Matrix
↕ HNK Gorica
NK Osijek →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 28.0% | 13.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 21.9% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
HNK Gorica
Attack
29
Defence
69
Form
45
NK Osijek
Attack
24
Defence
67
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
34 | 82 |
| 2 |
HNK Hajduk Split
|
34 | 64 |
| 3 |
HNK Rijeka
|
34 | 49 |
| 4 |
NK Varazdin
|
34 | 48 |
| 5 |
Istra 1961
|
34 | 42 |
| 6 |
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
|
34 | 42 |
| 7 |
NK Slaven Belupo
|
34 | 41 |
| 8 |
HNK Gorica
|
34 | 38 |
| 9 |
NK Osijek
|
34 | 32 |
| 10 |
Vukovar
|
34 | 28 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek?
The model gives HNK Gorica a 39% win probability, 37% for a draw, and 22% for an NK Osijek win.
How many goals are expected in HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek?
Expected goals: HNK Gorica 0.8, NK Osijek 0.5 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 56%.
What is the most likely score in HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 28.0%.