HNL
· Regular Season - 1
August 01, 2026 21:00
7'
(ast. Balelo)
I. Dolcek
(pen.)
14'
N. Omerovic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Gorica a 33% win probability (draw 33%, NK Osijek 33%). The final result was HNK Gorica 0–2 NK Osijek. In 5 previous meetings, HNK Gorica have won 1 times, with 3 draws and 1 wins for NK Osijek.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
17
4
Shots on target
8
0.82
Actual xG
2.59
5
Saves
4
46%
Possession
54%
3
Corners
8
14
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
7'
ast. Balelo ·
I. Dolcek⚽
S. Peric
13'
14'
(pen.)
N. Omerovic⚽
M. Gashi
/ K. Carole
46'
46'
A. Leon
/
Balelo
O. Bakic
/ L. Vrzic
62'
B. Bogojevic
/ K. Custovic
62'
63'
S. Mikolcic
/
J. Jezic
63'
A. Jakupovic
/
I. Dolcek
65'
S. Mikolcic
78'
E. Hasic
/
L. Jelenic
F. Braut
/ J. Frigan
81'
86'
S. Mustafic
87'
A. Ljatifi
/
N. Omerovic
S. Peric
/ H. I. Moustapha
87'
Pre-match prediction
33.69%
HNK
33.07%
X
33.24%
NK ←
we assigned to the actual result (NK Osijek)
33.24%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.70
0.82
+0.12
0.51
2.59
+2.08
NK Osijek dominated by xG (2.59 vs 0.82).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
71
D. Matijaš
G
D. Matijaš
G
34
I. Cvijanović
D
I. Cvijanović
D
32
J. Filipović
D
J. Filipović
D
45
S. Perić
87'
D
S. Perić
87'
D
25
B. Bogojević
62'
M
B. Bogojević
62'
M
24
D. Pavičić
M
D. Pavičić
M
36
Ante Kavelj
M
Ante Kavelj
M
2
F. Braut
81'
M
F. Braut
81'
M
99
M. Gashi
45'
F
M. Gashi
45'
F
7
O. Bakić
62'
F
O. Bakić
62'
F
9
P. Mijić
F
P. Mijić
F
Bench
18
B. Kardum
F
B. Kardum
F
30
D. Žarkov
G
D. Žarkov
G
28
Elisandro Kožina Aranha
D
Elisandro Kožina Aranha
D
21
H. Moustapha
6'
D
H. Moustapha
6'
D
66
Juraj Frigan
12'
M
Juraj Frigan
12'
M
4
K. Čustović
31'
M
K. Čustović
31'
M
26
Keenan Nino Carole
48'
F
Keenan Nino Carole
48'
F
20
L. Vrzić
31'
F
L. Vrzić
31'
F
77
Mihael Kelava
M
Mihael Kelava
M
1
R. Josipović
G
R. Josipović
G
14
S. Kučiš
M
S. Kučiš
M
67
Tomislav Prgomet
M
Tomislav Prgomet
M
31
M. Malenica
G
M. Malenica
G
22
R. Jurišić
D
R. Jurišić
D
26
L. Jelenić
78'
D
L. Jelenić
78'
D
49
Ivano Kolarik
D
Ivano Kolarik
D
77
S. Mustafic
D
S. Mustafic
D
23
L. Vrbancic
M
L. Vrbancic
M
11
N. Omerović
1 ⚽
87'
M
N. Omerović
1 ⚽
87'
M
48
Jona Ježić
63'
M
Jona Ježić
63'
M
39
Domagoj Bukvić
M
Domagoj Bukvić
M
7
I. Dolček
1 ⚽
63'
M
I. Dolček
1 ⚽
63'
M
99
Balelo
1 👟
45'
F
Balelo
1 👟
45'
F
Bench
17
A. Jakupovic
30'
F
A. Jakupovic
30'
F
79
A. León
48'
F
A. León
48'
F
47
D. Kalem
D
D. Kalem
D
33
E. Hasić
15'
D
E. Hasić
15'
D
5
J. Mersinaj
D
J. Mersinaj
D
2
M. Heister
D
M. Heister
D
98
Miloš Jovičić
F
Miloš Jovičić
F
1
N. Curcija
G
N. Curcija
G
18
Niko Farkaš
M
Niko Farkaš
M
16
O. Petrusenko
M
O. Petrusenko
M
8
Šimun Mikolčić
30'
M
Šimun Mikolčić
30'
M
Best on the pitch
D. Matijaš
G · HNK
8.20
· 44 pass
I. Dolček
M · NK
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
N. Omerović
M · NK
8.00
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 36 pass
R. Jurišić
D · NK
7.50
· 51 pass
F. Braut
M · HNK
7.30
· 29 pass
P. Mijić
F · HNK
7.20
3 shots
· 16 pass
HNK Gorica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Matijaš | G | 93 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 30% | — | — | — |
| I. Cvijanović | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Filipović | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | — | — | — |
| S. Perić | D | 87 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 54 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Bogojević | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| D. Pavičić | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Ante Kavelj | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Braut | M | 81 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Gashi | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Bakić | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Mijić | F | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| H. Moustapha | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Juraj Frigan | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| K. Čustović | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Keenan Nino Carole | F | 48 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| L. Vrzić | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
NK Osijek — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Malenica | G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 21% | — | — | — |
| R. Jurišić | D | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 51 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Jelenić | D | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Ivano Kolarik | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 45% | — | — | — |
| S. Mustafic | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Vrbancic | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Omerović | M | 87 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 4 | 36 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Jona Ježić | M | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Domagoj Bukvić | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| I. Dolček | M | 63 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Balelo | F | 45 | 6.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Jakupovic | F | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. León | F | 48 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Hasić | D | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Šimun Mikolčić | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek?
The final score was HNK Gorica 0–2 NK Osijek.
What did the model predict before HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek?
The model assigned 33% probability to a HNK Gorica win, 33% to a draw, and 33% to an NK Osijek win.