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Conference League · League Stage - 1 October 15, 2026 18:45
HNK Hajduk Split
#8 · 6 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Ajax
#13 · 3 pts
A. Sanyang (ast. M. Soticek) 37'
M. Soticek (ast. M. Sego) 55'
53' (ast. T. Kehrer) D. Klaassen
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 41% win probability (draw 26%, HNK Hajduk Split 31%). The final result was HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Ajax.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
4
1.80
Actual xG
0.95
3
Saves
5
45%
Possession
55%
4
Corners
5
30
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽A. Sanyang · ast. M. Soticek
37'
A. del Moral
45'
53'
ast. T. Kehrer · D. Klaassen⚽
⚽M. Soticek · ast. M. Sego
55'
M. Sego
60'
↕ A. del Moral / L. Dendoncker
69'
76'
J. Mokio / D. Klaassen ↕
76'
O. Gloukh / A. Ouazane ↕
76'
L. Rosa / V. Tsygankov ↕
77'
Marcos Leonardo / J. Torrents ↕
↕ S. Hrgovic / D. Melnjak
82'
↕ A. Sanyang / A. Sutalo
82'
↕ M. Sego / C. Martin
90'+1
↕ K. Fayad / A. Van Hoorenbeeck
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
31.7%
HNK ←
26.78%
X
41.52%
Ajax
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Hajduk Split) 31.7% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
HNK
1.37
1.80
+0.43
Ajax
1.48
0.95
-0.53
HNK Hajduk Split dominated by xG (1.80 vs 0.95). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2 6
2 FC Lugano FC Lugano 2 6
3 Brann Brann 2 6
4 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2 6
5 Twente Twente 2 6
6 Monaco Monaco 2 6
7 St. Truiden St. Truiden 2 6
8 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 2 6
9 Brighton Brighton 2 4
10 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen 2 4
11 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2 4
12 Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF 2 4
13 Ajax Ajax 2 3
14 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 2 3
15 Atalanta Atalanta 2 3
16 SC Braga SC Braga 2 3
17 Gent Gent 2 3
18 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 2 3
19 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2 2
20 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2 2
21 Riga Riga 2 2
22 FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda 2 1
23 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2 1
24 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 2 1
25 FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland 2 1
26 Aarhus Aarhus 2 1
27 Pafos Pafos 2 1
28 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 2 1
29 FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999 2 1
30 Getafe Getafe 2 1
31 Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty 2 1
32 FC Thun FC Thun 2 0
33 Lincoln Red Imps FC Lincoln Red Imps FC 2 0
34 KuPS KuPS 2 0
35 Inter Club d'Escaldes Inter Club d'Escaldes 2 0
36 Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 2 0
Lineups
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1
33 T. Silić T. Silić G 7.30
32 Š. Hrgović Š. Hrgović D 6.30
15 D. Marešić D. Marešić D 6.90
6 D. Hadžikadunić D. Hadžikadunić D 7.30
22 M. Acapandié M. Acapandié D 7.00
8 K. Fayad K. Fayad M 7.20
20 Alberto del Moral Alberto del Moral 69' M 7.00
23 M. Šotiček M. Šotiček 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.90
9 Dali Dali M 6.90
7 A. Sanyang A. Sanyang 1 ⚽ M 8.50
11 M. Šego M. Šego 1 👟 F 6.90
Bench
26 A. Guram A. Guram M
16 A. Sutalo A. Sutalo 5' M
5 A. Van Hoorenbeeck A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
77 Carlos Martín Carlos Martín F
99 D. Fesyuk D. Fesyuk G
17 D. Melnjak D. Melnjak 5' D
44 D. Stipica D. Stipica G
18 L. Dendoncker L. Dendoncker 31' M 6.30
38 Luka Hodak Luka Hodak D
10 M. Livaja M. Livaja F
3 Roko Gabrić Roko Gabrić D
14 R. Raci R. Raci D
Ajax Ajax 4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen M. ter Stegen G 7.20
21 Jofre Torrents Jofre Torrents 75' D 5.60
15 Y. Baas Y. Baas D 5.90
30 A. Bouwman A. Bouwman D 7.70
6 T. Kehrer T. Kehrer 1 👟 D 6.90
8 J. Brandt J. Brandt M 6.30
4 S. Amrabat S. Amrabat M 7.50
18 D. Klaassen D. Klaassen 1 ⚽ 75' M 7.20
68 A. Ouazane A. Ouazane 76' F 6.60
99 T. Arokodare T. Arokodare F 6.50
11 V. Tsygankov V. Tsygankov 76' F 7.50
Bench
62 Aymean el Hani Aymean el Hani G
36 D. Janse D. Janse D
24 J. Mokio J. Mokio 25' M 6.30
2 Lucas Rosa Lucas Rosa 24' D 6.60
38 Marcos Leonardo Marcos Leonardo 24' F 6.90
67 Mohamed Abdalla Mohamed Abdalla M
26 M. Paes M. Paes G
10 O. Gloukh O. Gloukh 25' M 6.30
20 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen Oliver Valaker Edvardsen F
5 O. Wijndal O. Wijndal D
43 Rayane Bounida Rayane Bounida F
Best on the pitch
A. Sanyang
A. Sanyang
M · HNK
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
M. Šotiček
M. Šotiček
M · HNK
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 13 pass
A. Bouwman
A. Bouwman
D · Ajax
7.70
· 62 pass
V. Tsygankov
V. Tsygankov
F · Ajax
7.50
· 36 pass
S. Amrabat
S. Amrabat
M · Ajax
7.50
· 50 pass
T. Silić
T. Silić
G · HNK
7.30
· 38 pass
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Silić G 100 7.30 — — — 38 30% — — —
Š. Hrgović D 95 6.30 — — — 18 13% 1 — —
D. Marešić D 100 6.90 — — 1 44 38% 2 — —
D. Hadžikadunić D 100 7.30 — — — 61 54% 1 — —
M. Acapandié D 100 7.00 — — — 44 34% 10 — —
K. Fayad M 100 7.20 — — 1 57 52% 3 — —
Alberto del Moral M 69 7.00 — — — 25 24% 5 1 —
M. Šotiček M 100 7.90 1 1 2 13 9% 1 — —
Dali M 100 6.90 — — 1 27 21% 2 — —
A. Sanyang M 95 8.50 1 — 1 16 13% 4 — —
M. Šego F 100 6.90 — 1 3 9 6% 1 1 —
A. Sutalo M 5 — — — — — — — — —
D. Melnjak D 5 — — — — — — — — —
L. Dendoncker M 31 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Ajax Ajax — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. ter Stegen G 100 7.20 — — — 24 19% — — —
Jofre Torrents D 75 5.60 — — — 34 31% 1 — —
Y. Baas D 100 5.90 — — — 63 56% — — —
A. Bouwman D 100 7.70 — — — 62 61% 2 — —
T. Kehrer D 100 6.90 — 1 1 59 53% 1 — —
J. Brandt M 100 6.30 — — — 36 31% — — —
S. Amrabat M 100 7.50 — — — 50 41% 5 — —
D. Klaassen M 75 7.20 1 — 2 26 16% 1 — —
A. Ouazane F 76 6.60 — — — 16 11% 1 — —
T. Arokodare F 100 6.50 — — 3 14 10% 1 — —
V. Tsygankov F 76 7.50 — — — 36 33% 2 — —
J. Mokio M 25 6.30 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Lucas Rosa D 24 6.60 — — — 7 5% — — —
Marcos Leonardo F 24 6.90 — — — 3 3% — — —
O. Gloukh M 25 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax?
The final score was HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Ajax.
What did the model predict before HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax?
The model assigned 31% probability to a HNK Hajduk Split win, 26% to a draw, and 41% to an Ajax win.