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HNL · Regular Season - 9 October 10, 2026 15:00 Stadion Poljud, Split
HNK Hajduk Split
#1 · 23 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Dinamo Zagreb
#2 · 22 pts
Scott Mckenna 24' (og)
Abdoulie Sanyang (ast. Michele Šego) 59'
21' (ast. Matteo Perez Vinlöf) Dion Drena Beljo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Dinamo Zagreb 28%). The final result was HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Dinamo Zagreb. In 4 previous meetings, HNK Hajduk Split have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 3 wins for Dinamo Zagreb.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
18
3
Shots on target
4
1.13
Actual xG
1.45
2
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
2
Corners
4
17
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
14'
Dion Drena Beljo
21'
ast. Matteo Perez Vinlöf · Dion Drena Beljo⚽
⚽Scott Mckenna (og)
24'
⚽Abdoulie Sanyang · ast. Michele Šego
59'
Ron Raqi
62'
63'
Luka Stojkovic / Lukas Kacavenda ↕
63'
Iker Almena Horcajo / Mateo Lisica ↕
63'
Niko Galesic / Paul Tabinas ↕
70'
Dani Rodríguez / Miha Zajc ↕
73'
Moris Valincic / Sergi Dominguez ↕
Dalisson De Almeida Leite
73'
↕ Abdoulie Sanyang / Andelo Šutalo
76'
↕ marin soticek / Dario Melnjak
89'
↕ Dalisson De Almeida Leite / Carlos Martín Domínguez
90'+14
90'+16
Moris Valincic
↕ Ron Raqi / Dennis Hadzikadunić
90'
↕ Khalil Fayad / Leander Dendoncker
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.34%
HNK ←
29.08%
X
28.59%
Dinamo
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Hajduk Split) 42.34% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
HNK
1.50
1.13
-0.37
Dinamo
0.66
1.45
+0.79
Dinamo Zagreb dominated by xG (1.45 vs 1.13). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 11 23
2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 10 22
3 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 11 18
4 NK Osijek NK Osijek 11 17
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 10 17
6 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 11 13
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 11 13
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 11 11
9 Rudes Rudes 11 10
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 11 7
Lineups
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1
33 T. Silić T. Silić G 6.15
32 Š. Hrgović Š. Hrgović D 6.08
14 R. Raci R. Raci 89' D 6.30
15 D. Marešić D. Marešić D 6.54
22 M. Acapandié M. Acapandié D 5.97
8 K. Fayad K. Fayad 89' M 6.48
20 Alberto del Moral Alberto del Moral M 6.21
23 M. Šotiček M. Šotiček 89' M 5.92
9 Dali Dali M 6.27
7 A. Sanyang A. Sanyang 1 ⚽ 76' M 8.20
11 M. Šego M. Šego 1 👟 F 6.41
Bench
26 A. Guram A. Guram M 0.00
16 A. Sutalo A. Sutalo 14' M 6.39
5 A. Van Hoorenbeeck A. Van Hoorenbeeck D 0.00
77 Carlos Martín Carlos Martín 1' F 0.00
99 D. Fesyuk D. Fesyuk G 0.00
6 D. Hadžikadunić D. Hadžikadunić 1' D 0.00
17 D. Melnjak D. Melnjak 1' D 6.63
44 D. Stipica D. Stipica G 0.00
19 E. Brruti E. Brruti M 0.00
18 L. Dendoncker L. Dendoncker 1' M 0.00
10 M. Livaja M. Livaja F 0.00
3 Roko Gabrić Roko Gabrić D 0.00
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3
24 D. Kotarski D. Kotarski G 6.42
22 Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf 1 👟 D 6.09
26 S. McKenna S. McKenna 1 ⚽ D 4.66
36 Sergi Domínguez Sergi Domínguez 73' D 5.66
13 Paul Bismarck Tabinas Paul Bismarck Tabinas 63' D 5.56
80 L. Kačavenda L. Kačavenda 63' M 5.89
5 K. Kravtsov K. Kravtsov M 6.31
8 M. Zajc M. Zajc 70' M 6.22
17 L. Ivanušec L. Ivanušec F 6.25
9 D. Beljo D. Beljo 1 ⚽ F 7.47
21 M. Lisica M. Lisica 63' F 6.31
Bench
11 A. Hoxha A. Hoxha F 0.00
3 B. Goda B. Goda D 0.00
7 Dani Rodríguez Dani Rodríguez 20' F 6.53
44 I. Filipović I. Filipović G 0.00
23 Iker Almena Iker Almena 27' F 6.43
10 L. Stojković L. Stojković 27' M 6.68
99 M. Oršić M. Oršić F 0.00
25 M. Valinčić M. Valinčić 17' D 6.04
15 N. Galešić N. Galešić 27' D 6.11
20 R. Mudražija R. Mudražija M 0.00
14 S. Prevljak S. Prevljak F 0.00
6 S. Radeljić S. Radeljić D 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Sanyang
A. Sanyang
M · HNK
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 9 pass
D. Beljo
D. Beljo
F · Dinamo
7.47
1 ⚽
5 shots · 20 pass
L. Stojković
L. Stojković
M · Dinamo
6.68
3 shots · 13 pass
D. Melnjak
D. Melnjak
D · HNK
6.63
· 9 pass
D. Marešić
D. Marešić
D · HNK
6.54
· 69 pass
Dani Rodríguez
Dani Rodríguez
F · Dinamo
6.53
2 shots · 7 pass
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Silić G 90 6.15 — — 0 27 10% 0 — —
Š. Hrgović D 90 6.08 — — 0 30 18% 2 — —
R. Raci D 89 6.30 — — 0 42 36% 1 1 —
D. Marešić D 90 6.54 — — 0 69 58% 1 — —
M. Acapandié D 90 5.97 — — 0 45 30% 2 — —
K. Fayad M 89 6.48 — — 0 41 32% 3 — —
Alberto del Moral M 90 6.21 — — 0 53 41% 1 — —
M. Šotiček M 89 5.92 — — 2 20 17% 1 — —
Dali M 104 6.27 — — 2 23 18% 0 1 —
A. Sanyang M 76 8.20 1 — 4 9 7% 1 — —
M. Šego F 90 6.41 — 1 1 23 9% 3 — —
A. Sutalo M 14 6.39 — — 1 4 2% 0 — —
Carlos Martín F 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
D. Hadžikadunić D 1 0.00 — — 0 6 1% 1 — —
D. Melnjak D 1 6.63 — — 0 9 2% 1 — —
L. Dendoncker M 1 0.00 — — 0 4 0% 0 — —
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Kotarski G 90 6.42 — — 0 19 11% 0 — —
Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf D 90 6.09 — 1 1 45 24% 2 — —
S. McKenna D 90 4.66 1 — 1 51 31% 0 — —
Sergi Domínguez D 73 5.66 — — 0 35 24% 0 — —
Paul Bismarck Tabinas D 63 5.56 — — 0 23 15% 0 — —
L. Kačavenda M 63 5.89 — — 0 14 11% 2 — —
K. Kravtsov M 90 6.31 — — 1 43 32% 6 — —
M. Zajc M 70 6.22 — — 0 34 27% 0 — —
L. Ivanušec F 90 6.25 — — 2 32 22% 2 — —
D. Beljo F 90 7.47 1 — 5 20 10% 0 1 —
M. Lisica F 63 6.31 — — 1 13 10% 0 — —
Dani Rodríguez F 20 6.53 — — 2 7 3% 0 — —
Iker Almena F 27 6.43 — — 1 12 8% 0 — —
L. Stojković M 27 6.68 — — 3 13 9% 1 — —
M. Valinčić D 17 6.04 — — 0 10 3% 1 1 —
N. Galešić D 27 6.11 — — 1 10 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The final score was HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Dinamo Zagreb.
What did the model predict before HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The model assigned 42% probability to a HNK Hajduk Split win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an Dinamo Zagreb win.