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HNK Hajduk Split - FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Conference League August 13, 2026 21:00
HNK Hajduk Split
vs
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.44%
Win
HNK Hajduk Split
23.26%
Draw
37.31%
Win
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.09
Expected xG
2.09

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (7.85%)
1X2 Result ✓ 82.4% hit rate (17 picks)
1 39%
X 23%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 61%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 87%
Over 2.5 74%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives HNK Hajduk Split a 39% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 37% for FK Zalgiris Vilnius. Expected goals are 2.1 for HNK Hajduk Split and 2.1 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius (total 4.2), with a 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 7.85% probability. In 1 previous meetings, HNK Hajduk Split have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FK Zalgiris Vilnius.

Season Stats

HNK Hajduk Split
3W 1D 1L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
3W 1D 3L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
2.0
1.6
Conceded
2.0
8.0
Shots OT
5.0
5.0
Corners
2.0
52%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
86%
80%
O 2.5
71%
100%
BTTS
57%
0%
Clean Sht
14%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
HNK Hajduk Split
2W 0D 0L · at home
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1W 0D 2L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
33%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
33%
100%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
67%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ HNK Hajduk Split FK Zalgiris Vilnius →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5% 3.2% 3.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
1 3.2% 6.7% 7.0% 4.9% 2.5% 1.1%
2 3.3% 7.0% 7.3% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1%
3 2.3% 4.9% 5.1% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
4 1.2% 2.5% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Recent form

HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
W FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2–5
L Dinamo Tirana 3–1
W Dinamo Tirana 2–1
W Zira 2–1
D Zira 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius
L HNK Hajduk Split 2–5
W Dinamo Tbilisi 7–2
L Dinamo Tbilisi 3–0
W Petrovac 2–1
W Petrovac 1–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
Attack
38
Defence
73
Form
67
FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Attack
62
Defence
56
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
HNK Hajduk Split
0
Draw
0
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
6 Aug 2026 Conference League 5–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
The model gives HNK Hajduk Split a 39% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 37% for an FK Zalgiris Vilnius win.
How many goals are expected in HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Expected goals: HNK Hajduk Split 2.1, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2.1 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 86%.
What is the most likely score in HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.85%.