HNL · Regular Season - 29 April 12, 2026 20:30

HNK Hajduk Split

#2 · 64 pts

1 – 0

Final score

HNK Gorica

#8 · 38 pts

✓Model correct — prediction HNK Hajduk Split

M. Livaja 4'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 65% win probability (draw 21%, HNK Gorica 12%). The final result was HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 HNK Gorica. In 3 previous meetings, HNK Hajduk Split have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for HNK Gorica.

Match statistics

12

Total shots

3

6

Shots on target

2

1.41

Actual xG

0.16

2

Saves

5

60%

Possession

40%

1

Corners

1

21

Tackles

5

0

🟨 Yellow cards

3

Match Events

⚽M. Livaja

4'

16'

Wisdom Sule

46'

J. Prsir / W. Sule ↕

53'

Domagoj Pavičić

↕ M. Sego / A. Rebic

61'

↕ S. Hrgovic / D. Melnjak

61'

65'

Jurica Pršir

69'

M. Cabraja / M. Les ↕

69'

S. Kucis / O. Bakic ↕

77'

80'

I. Fiolic / D. Pavicic ↕

↕ R. Brajkovic / B. Durdov

82'

85'

M. Gashi / T. Epailly ↕

↕ M. Livaja / A. Guram

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

65.76%

HNK ←

21.31%

X

12.93%

HNK

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (HNK Hajduk Split) 65.76% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

HNK

2.39

1.41

-0.98

HNK

1.07

0.16

-0.91

HNK Hajduk Split dominated by xG (1.41 vs 0.16). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Dinamo Zagreb	34	82
2	HNK Hajduk Split	34	64
3	HNK Rijeka	34	49
4	NK Varazdin	34	48
5	Istra 1961	34	42
6	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	34	42
7	NK Slaven Belupo	34	41
8	HNK Gorica	34	38
9	NK Osijek	34	32
10	Vukovar	34	28

Lineups

HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1

33

G 7.00

32

S. Hrgovic 61' D 6.90

15

D 7.70

31 Z. Šarlija D 7.20

8

N. Sigur D 7.20

23

F. Krovinovic M 7.30

4

A. Pajaziti M 7.20

11 M. Šego 61' M 6.60

21 R. Pukštas M 7.50

28

R. Brajkovic 82' M 6.50

10 M. Livaja 1 ⚽ 89' F 8.70

Bench

9 A. Rebić 29' F 7.30

24

A. Sanyang F

17

D. Melnjak 29' D 6.90

37

N. Skoko M

14

R. Raci D

HNK Gorica 3-4-2-1

71

G 7.30

5 Mateo Leš 69' M 6.20

4

D 6.90

45 Stefan Perić D 6.60

25 Bruno Bogojević M 6.30

36 Ante Kavelj D 6.60

7 Ognjen Bakić 69' M 6.20

22 Žan Trontelj M 6.30

24 Domagoj Pavičić 80' M 5.90

64 Theo Epailly 85' M 6.90

11 Wisdom Aondowase Sule 45' F 6.30

Bench

10 J. Pršir 45' M 6.70

19 M. Čabraja 21' D 6.90

Best on the pitch

M. Livaja

F · HNK

8.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 38 pass

D · HNK

7.70

1 shots · 108 pass

R. Pukštas

M · HNK

7.50

1 shots · 30 pass

F. Krovinovic

M · HNK

7.30

1 shots · 58 pass

A. Rebić

F · HNK

7.30

4 shots · 11 pass

G · HNK

7.30

· 36 pass

HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	29	20%	—	—	—
S. Hrgovic	D	61	6.90	—	—	—	33	31%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.70	—	—	1	108	100%	1	—	—
Z. Šarlija	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	101	93%	—	—	—
N. Sigur	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	63	60%	6	—	—
F. Krovinovic	M	90	7.30	—	—	1	58	56%	3	—	—
A. Pajaziti	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	74	69%	—	—	—
M. Šego	M	61	6.60	—	—	—	15	10%	—	—	—
R. Pukštas	M	90	7.50	—	—	1	30	24%	4	—	—
R. Brajkovic	M	82	6.50	—	—	2	26	20%	4	—	—
M. Livaja	F	89	8.70	1	—	2	38	27%	3	—	—
A. Rebić	F	29	7.30	—	—	4	11	10%	—	—	—
D. Melnjak	D	29	6.90	—	—	1	13	11%	—	—	—

HNK Gorica — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	36	25%	—	—	—
Mateo Leš	M	69	6.20	—	—	—	41	37%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	48	47%	2	—	—
Stefan Perić	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	48	43%	—	—	—
Bruno Bogojević	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	12	7%	—	—	—
Ante Kavelj	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	32	27%	1	—	—
Ognjen Bakić	M	69	6.20	—	—	—	15	15%	—	—	—
Žan Trontelj	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	43	30%	2	—	—
Domagoj Pavičić	M	80	5.90	—	—	—	30	24%	—	1	—
Theo Epailly	M	85	6.90	—	—	—	15	13%	—	—	—
Wisdom Aondowase Sule	F	45	6.30	—	—	—	8	4%	—	1	—
J. Pršir	M	45	6.70	—	—	1	31	27%	—	1	—
M. Čabraja	D	21	6.90	—	—	—	19	16%	—	—	—