✓Model correct — prediction HNK Hajduk Split
M. Livaja
4'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 65% win probability (draw 21%, HNK Gorica 12%). The final result was HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 HNK Gorica. In 3 previous meetings, HNK Hajduk Split have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for HNK Gorica.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
3
6
Shots on target
2
1.41
Actual xG
0.16
2
Saves
5
60%
Possession
40%
1
Corners
1
21
Tackles
5
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽M. Livaja
4'
16'
Wisdom Sule
46'
J. Prsir
/
W. Sule
53'
Domagoj Pavičić
M. Sego
/ A. Rebic
61'
S. Hrgovic
/ D. Melnjak
61'
65'
Jurica Pršir
69'
M. Cabraja
/
M. Les
69'
S. Kucis
/
O. Bakic
77'
80'
I. Fiolic
/
D. Pavicic
R. Brajkovic
/ B. Durdov
82'
85'
M. Gashi
/
T. Epailly
M. Livaja
/ A. Guram
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
65.76%
HNK ←
21.31%
X
12.93%
HNK
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Hajduk Split)
65.76%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.39
1.41
-0.98
1.07
0.16
-0.91
HNK Hajduk Split dominated by xG (1.41 vs 0.16).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
33
G
32
Šimun Hrgović
61'
D
15
D
31
Z. Šarlija
D
Z. Šarlija
D
8
Niko Sigur
D
Niko Sigur
D
23
Filip Krovinović
M
Filip Krovinović
M
4
Adrion Pajaziti
M
11
Michele Šego
61'
M
21
Rokas Pukštas
M
28
Roko Brajković
82'
M
10
Marko Livaja
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
24
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba
F
9
A. Rebić
29'
F
A. Rebić
29'
F
17
Dario Melnjak
29'
D
37
Noa Skoko
M
14
Ron Raçi
D
71
G
5
Mateo Leš
69'
M
Mateo Leš
69'
M
4
D
45
Stefan Perić
D
Stefan Perić
D
25
Bruno Bogojević
M
Bruno Bogojević
M
36
Ante Kavelj
D
Ante Kavelj
D
7
Ognjen Bakić
69'
M
Ognjen Bakić
69'
M
22
Ž. Trontelj
M
24
Domagoj Pavičić
80'
M
Domagoj Pavičić
80'
M
64
Theo Epailly
85'
M
Theo Epailly
85'
M
11
Wisdom Aondowase Sule
45'
F
Wisdom Aondowase Sule
45'
F
Bench
10
Jurica Pršir
45'
M
Jurica Pršir
45'
M
19
M. Čabraja
21'
D
M. Čabraja
21'
D
Best on the pitch
Marko Livaja
F · HNK
8.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
D · HNK
7.70
1 shots
· 108 pass
Rokas Pukštas
M · HNK
7.50
1 shots
· 30 pass
Filip Krovinović
M · HNK
7.30
1 shots
· 58 pass
A. Rebić
F · HNK
7.30
4 shots
· 11 pass
G · HNK
7.30
· 36 pass
HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Šimun Hrgović | D | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 108 | 100% | 1 | — | — | |
| Z. Šarlija | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 101 | 93% | — | — | — |
| Niko Sigur | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 60% | 6 | — | — |
| Filip Krovinović | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| Adrion Pajaziti | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 74 | 69% | — | — | — |
| Michele Šego | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Rokas Pukštas | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| Roko Brajković | M | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Marko Livaja | F | 89 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Rebić | F | 29 | 7.30 | — | — | 4 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Dario Melnjak | D | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
HNK Gorica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Mateo Leš | M | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 47% | 2 | — | — | |
| Stefan Perić | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Bogojević | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ante Kavelj | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Ognjen Bakić | M | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Ž. Trontelj | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Domagoj Pavičić | M | 80 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| Theo Epailly | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Wisdom Aondowase Sule | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Jurica Pršir | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Čabraja | D | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?
The final score was HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 HNK Gorica.
What did the model predict before HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?
The model assigned 65% probability to a HNK Hajduk Split win, 21% to a draw, and 12% to an HNK Gorica win.