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HNL · Regular Season - 2 August 09, 2026 21:00 Stadion Poljud, Split
HNK Hajduk Split
#1 · 23 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Istra 1961
#6 · 13 pts
R. Pukstas (ast. S. Hrgovic) 15'
M. Livaja 84'
42' E. Frederiksen
90'+5 (ast. H. Jaganjac) D. Ahmeti
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Istra 1961 30%). The final result was HNK Hajduk Split 2–2 Istra 1961. In 5 previous meetings, HNK Hajduk Split have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Istra 1961.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
8
Shots on target
2
1.66
Actual xG
0.68
0
Saves
6
61%
Possession
39%
6
Corners
5
23
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽R. Pukstas · ast. S. Hrgovic
15'
42'
E. Frederiksen⚽
48'
D. Doumbia
↕ A. Sanyang / A. Sutalo
56'
↕ M. Sego / M. Livaja
56'
↕ L. Hodak / D. de Almeida
56'
56'
A. Mauric / D. Doumbia ↕
M. Soticek
60'
64'
S. Miettinen
67'
D. Ahmeti / I. Saranic ↕
67'
V. Rozic / N. Skafar Zuzic ↕
80'
A. Kadusic / R. Hrvatin ↕
↕ N. Sigur / M. Acapandie
80'
80'
M. Kablar / G. Albarracin ↕
⚽M. Livaja
84'
↕ M. Soticek / D. Melnjak
87'
90'+1
J. Cabello
90'+5
ast. H. Jaganjac · D. Ahmeti⚽
A. Sutalo
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
37.22%
HNK
31.95%
X ←
30.83%
Istra
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.95% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
HNK
1.35
1.66
+0.31
Istra
0.68
0.68
+0.0
HNK Hajduk Split dominated by xG (1.66 vs 0.68). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 11 23
2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 10 22
3 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 11 18
4 NK Osijek NK Osijek 11 17
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 10 17
6 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 11 13
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 11 13
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 11 11
9 Rudes Rudes 11 10
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 11 7
Lineups
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1
33 T. Silić T. Silić G 5.90
32 Š. Hrgović Š. Hrgović 1 👟 D 7.30
5 A. Van Hoorenbeeck A. Van Hoorenbeeck D 7.00
15 D. Marešić D. Marešić D 7.00
38 Luka Hodak Luka Hodak 56' D 6.90
4 A. Pajaziti A. Pajaziti M 7.20
8 N. Sigur N. Sigur 80' M 7.20
23 M. Šotiček M. Šotiček 87' F 7.00
21 R. Pukštas R. Pukštas 1 ⚽ M 7.90
7 A. Sanyang A. Sanyang 56' F 7.50
11 M. Šego M. Šego 56' F 6.30
Bench
26 A. Guram A. Guram M
20 Alberto del Moral Alberto del Moral M
16 A. Sutalo A. Sutalo 41' M 6.70
9 Dali Dali 41' M 6.60
99 D. Fesyuk D. Fesyuk G
17 D. Melnjak D. Melnjak 10' D 6.60
44 D. Stipica D. Stipica G
19 E. Brruti E. Brruti M
22 M. Acapandié M. Acapandié 17' D 6.20
10 M. Livaja M. Livaja 1 ⚽ 41' F 7.20
3 Roko Gabrić Roko Gabrić D
14 R. Raci R. Raci D
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 4-2-3-1
1 F. Kolić F. Kolić G 8.00
13 Niko Šepić Niko Šepić D 6.20
16 S. Miettinen S. Miettinen D 6.90
3 M. Nasraoui M. Nasraoui D 6.60
44 R. Hrvatin R. Hrvatin 80' D 6.50
25 G. Albarracín G. Albarracín 80' M 6.30
88 D. Doumbia D. Doumbia 56' M 6.50
30 N. Skafar Zuzic N. Skafar Zuzic 67' M 6.20
80 I. Šaranić I. Šaranić 67' M 6.60
22 E. Frederiksen E. Frederiksen 1 ⚽ M 7.20
94 H. Jaganjac H. Jaganjac 1 👟 F 6.60
Bench
97 A. Kadušić A. Kadušić 17' D 6.50
8 A. Maurić A. Maurić 41' M 6.60
20 D. Ahmeti D. Ahmeti 1 ⚽ 30' M 6.90
27 D. Celija D. Celija F
24 F. Taraba F. Taraba D
40 J. Paus-Kunšt J. Paus-Kunšt G
34 M. Kablar M. Kablar 17' M 6.50
66 M. Momoh M. Momoh D
38 R. Kumar R. Kumar D
18 Saydou Bangura Saydou Bangura F
23 S. Ukich S. Ukich M
7 V. Rozić V. Rozić 30' F 6.90
Best on the pitch
F. Kolić
F. Kolić
G · Istra
8.00
· 22 pass
R. Pukštas
R. Pukštas
M · HNK
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots · 31 pass
A. Sanyang
A. Sanyang
F · HNK
7.50
· 20 pass
Š. Hrgović
Š. Hrgović
D · HNK
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 42 pass
M. Livaja
M. Livaja
F · HNK
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 11 pass
E. Frederiksen
E. Frederiksen
M · Istra
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 21 pass
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Silić G 97 5.90 — — — 19 14% — — —
Š. Hrgović D 97 7.30 — 1 2 42 37% 3 — —
A. Van Hoorenbeeck D 97 7.00 — — 1 72 65% 3 — —
D. Marešić D 97 7.00 — — — 97 89% — — —
Luka Hodak D 56 6.90 — — — 52 48% 3 — —
A. Pajaziti M 97 7.20 — — 1 72 68% 3 — —
N. Sigur M 80 7.20 — — — 47 39% 3 — —
M. Šotiček F 87 7.00 — — — 25 18% — 1 —
R. Pukštas M 97 7.90 1 — 4 31 24% 2 — —
A. Sanyang F 56 7.50 — — — 20 19% 4 — —
M. Šego F 56 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
A. Sutalo M 41 6.70 — — 3 12 10% 1 1 —
Dali M 41 6.60 — — — 14 12% — — —
D. Melnjak D 10 6.60 — — 1 3 3% — — —
M. Acapandié D 17 6.20 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
M. Livaja F 41 7.20 1 — 3 11 8% — — —
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Kolić G 97 8.00 — — — 22 18% — — —
Niko Šepić D 97 6.20 — — — 25 22% 1 — —
S. Miettinen D 97 6.90 — — — 49 43% 1 1 —
M. Nasraoui D 97 6.60 — — — 50 42% 1 — —
R. Hrvatin D 80 6.50 — — — 24 15% 3 — —
G. Albarracín M 80 6.30 — — — 21 15% 1 — —
D. Doumbia M 56 6.50 — — — 20 19% 1 1 —
N. Skafar Zuzic M 67 6.20 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
I. Šaranić M 67 6.60 — — 1 10 7% 2 — —
E. Frederiksen M 97 7.20 1 — 2 21 16% 2 — —
H. Jaganjac F 97 6.60 — 1 2 15 12% 3 — —
A. Kadušić D 17 6.50 — — — 8 6% — — —
A. Maurić M 41 6.60 — — — 19 18% 1 — —
D. Ahmeti M 30 6.90 1 — 1 12 9% — — —
M. Kablar M 17 6.50 — — — 9 8% — — —
V. Rozić F 30 6.90 — — — 7 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?
The final score was HNK Hajduk Split 2–2 Istra 1961.
What did the model predict before HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?
The model assigned 37% probability to a HNK Hajduk Split win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Istra 1961 win.