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← HNL
#1 · 26 pts
6 – 3
Final score
✓Model correct — prediction HNK Hajduk Split
R. Brajkovic (ast. I. Almena) 9'
M. Sego 16'
M. Sego (ast. S. Hrgovic) 26'
L. Banovec 54' (og)
A. Guram (ast. M. Sego) 56'
I. Almena 67' (pen.)
2' (ast. R. Gonzalez) L. Banovec
19' (ast. R. Gonzalez) J. Gurlica
(pen.) 90'+1 J. Puljic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 62% win probability (draw 24%, Vukovar 13%). The final result was HNK Hajduk Split 6–3 Vukovar. In 3 previous meetings, HNK Hajduk Split have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Vukovar.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
3
3.34
Actual xG
1.90
0
Saves
3
64%
Possession
36%
8
Corners
3
21
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
ast. R. Gonzalez · L. Banovec⚽
⚽R. Brajkovic · ast. I. Almena
9'
⚽M. Sego
16'
19'
ast. R. Gonzalez · J. Gurlica⚽
⚽M. Sego · ast. S. Hrgovic
26'
46'
J. Biljan / E. Shabani ↕
52'
J. Biljan
⚽L. Banovec (og)
54'
⚽A. Guram · ast. M. Sego
56'
57'
D. Vinkovic / S. Butic ↕
↕ R. Brajkovic / B. Durdov
63'
↕ A. Guram / R. Pukstas
63'
⚽I. Almena (pen.)
67'
68'
L. Klanac / V. Caic ↕
↕ M. Sego / A. Kalik
71'
↕ I. Almena / A. Sanyang
71'
↕ L. Hodak / I. Kutia
77'
80'
P. Bugas / K. Cabrajic ↕
H. Guillamon
89'
90'+1
(pen.) J. Puljic⚽
Pre-match prediction
62.01%
HNK ←
24.34%
X
13.65%
Vukovar
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (HNK Hajduk Split) 62.01% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
HNK
1.48
3.34
+1.86
Vukovar
0.55
1.90
+1.35
HNK Hajduk Split dominated by xG (3.34 vs 1.90). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 12 26
2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 11 22
3 NK Osijek NK Osijek 12 20
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 12 19
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 11 18
6 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 12 16
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 12 13
8 Rudes Rudes 12 13
9 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 12 11
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 12 7
Lineups
1 Ivica Ivušić Ivica Ivušić G 6.20
32 Šimun Hrgović Šimun Hrgović 1 👟 D 6.60
15 Dario Marešić Dario Marešić D 6.30
3 Roko Gabrić Roko Gabrić D 6.60
38 Luka Hodak Luka Hodak 77' D 6.50
4 A. Pajaziti A. Pajaziti M 6.90
6
Hugo Guillamón M 5.90
39 Adam Huram Adam Huram 1 ⚽ 63' M 7.20
30 Iker Almena Iker Almena 1 ⚽ 1 👟 71' M 7.50
28
Roko Brajković 1 ⚽ 63' M 7.60
11 Michele Šego Michele Šego 2 ⚽ 1 👟 71' F 9.00
Bench
24 Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba 19' F 6.60
7 Anthony Kalik Anthony Kalik 19' M 6.30
9 A. Rebić A. Rebić F
34 B. Durdov B. Durdov 27' F 6.20
44 Dante Stipica Dante Stipica G
17 Dario Melnjak Dario Melnjak D
23 F. Krovinovic F. Krovinovic M
39 Illia Kutia Illia Kutia 13' M 6.20
10 Marko Livaja Marko Livaja F
14 Ron Raçi Ron Raçi D
21 R. Pukštas R. Pukštas 27' M 7.00
33 Toni Silić Toni Silić G
Vukovar Vukovar 4-2-3-1
42
Antonio Đaković G 6.50
20 K. Čabrajić K. Čabrajić 80' D 5.20
14 M. Živković M. Živković D 5.50
5
N. Vlasenko D 5.30
35 J. Gurlica J. Gurlica 1 ⚽ M 8.50
13 V. Čaić V. Čaić 68' D 5.90
77 E. Shabani E. Shabani 45' M 6.50
28 L. Banovec L. Banovec 2 ⚽ M 7.30
10 R. Gonzales R. Gonzales 2 👟 M 7.20
27
Š. Butić 57' M 6.50
21 J. Puljić J. Puljić 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
22
D. Pintol G
6 Jakov Biljan Jakov Biljan 45' M 6.20
7 Kerim Çalhanoğlu Kerim Çalhanoğlu D
33 Luka Klanac Luka Klanac 22' F 6.60
1 Marino Bulat Marino Bulat G
24 Niko Pajvančić Niko Pajvančić F
39
Pocholo Bugas 10' F 6.90
Best on the pitch
Michele Šego
Michele Šego
F · HNK
9.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 11 pass
J. Gurlica
J. Gurlica
M · Vukovar
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 26 pass
Roko Brajković
M · HNK
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
Iker Almena
Iker Almena
M · HNK
7.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 32 pass
L. Banovec
L. Banovec
M · Vukovar
7.30
2 ⚽
1 shots · 18 pass
J. Puljić
J. Puljić
F · Vukovar
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 17 pass
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ivica Ivušić G 90 6.20 — — — 22 16% — — —
Šimun Hrgović D 90 6.60 — 1 — 32 26% 1 — —
Dario Marešić D 90 6.30 — — — 63 57% 1 — —
Roko Gabrić D 90 6.60 — — — 54 51% — — —
Luka Hodak D 77 6.50 — — — 54 50% 2 — —
A. Pajaziti M 90 6.90 — — — 65 58% 2 — —
Hugo Guillamón M 90 5.90 — — — 62 53% 2 1 —
Adam Huram M 63 7.20 1 — 1 20 15% 3 — —
Iker Almena M 71 7.50 1 1 2 32 24% — — —
Roko Brajković M 63 7.60 1 — 2 16 14% 5 — —
Michele Šego F 71 9.00 2 1 3 11 7% — — —
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba F 19 6.60 — — 1 4 3% — — —
Anthony Kalik M 19 6.30 — — — 3 2% 2 — —
B. Durdov F 27 6.20 — — — 6 2% — — —
Illia Kutia M 13 6.20 — — — 3 2% — — —
R. Pukštas M 27 7.00 — — 1 11 10% 3 — —
Vukovar Vukovar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Antonio Đaković G 90 6.50 — — — 17 11% — — —
K. Čabrajić D 80 5.20 — — — 29 21% 4 — —
M. Živković D 90 5.50 — — — 19 16% — — —
N. Vlasenko D 90 5.30 — — — 33 26% — — —
J. Gurlica M 90 8.50 1 — 1 26 19% 3 — —
V. Čaić D 68 5.90 — — — 30 26% 3 — —
E. Shabani M 45 6.50 — — — 13 9% 1 — —
L. Banovec M 90 7.30 2 — 1 18 14% 3 — —
R. Gonzales M 90 7.20 — 2 — 29 23% 1 — —
Š. Butić M 57 6.50 — — — 6 4% 1 — —
J. Puljić F 90 7.20 1 — 3 17 16% 1 — —
Jakov Biljan M 45 6.20 — — — 11 10% 1 1 —
Luka Klanac F 22 6.60 — — 1 6 5% — — —
Pocholo Bugas F 10 6.90 — — — 1 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar?
The final score was HNK Hajduk Split 6–3 Vukovar.
What did the model predict before HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar?
The model assigned 62% probability to a HNK Hajduk Split win, 24% to a draw, and 13% to an Vukovar win.