✓Model correct — prediction HNK Hajduk Split
R. Brajkovic
(ast. I. Almena)
9'
M. Sego
16'
M. Sego
(ast. S. Hrgovic)
26'
L. Banovec
54'
(og)
A. Guram
(ast. M. Sego)
56'
I. Almena
67'
(pen.)
2'
(ast. R. Gonzalez)
L. Banovec
19'
(ast. R. Gonzalez)
J. Gurlica
(pen.)
90'+1
J. Puljic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 62% win probability (draw 24%, Vukovar 13%). The final result was HNK Hajduk Split 6–3 Vukovar. In 3 previous meetings, HNK Hajduk Split have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Vukovar.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
3
3.34
Actual xG
1.90
0
Saves
3
64%
Possession
36%
8
Corners
3
21
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
ast. R. Gonzalez ·
L. Banovec⚽
⚽R. Brajkovic
· ast. I. Almena
9'
⚽M. Sego
16'
19'
ast. R. Gonzalez ·
J. Gurlica⚽
⚽M. Sego
· ast. S. Hrgovic
26'
46'
J. Biljan
/
E. Shabani
52'
J. Biljan
⚽L. Banovec
(og)
54'
⚽A. Guram
· ast. M. Sego
56'
57'
D. Vinkovic
/
S. Butic
R. Brajkovic
/ B. Durdov
63'
A. Guram
/ R. Pukstas
63'
⚽I. Almena
(pen.)
67'
68'
L. Klanac
/
V. Caic
M. Sego
/ A. Kalik
71'
I. Almena
/ A. Sanyang
71'
L. Hodak
/ I. Kutia
77'
80'
P. Bugas
/
K. Cabrajic
H. Guillamon
89'
90'+1
(pen.)
J. Puljic⚽
Pre-match prediction
62.01%
HNK ←
24.34%
X
13.65%
Vukovar
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Hajduk Split)
62.01%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
3.34
+1.86
0.55
1.90
+1.35
HNK Hajduk Split dominated by xG (3.34 vs 1.90).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ivica Ivušić
G
Ivica Ivušić
G
32
Š. Hrgović
1 👟
D
Š. Hrgović
1 👟
D
15
D. Marešić
D
D. Marešić
D
3
Roko Gabrić
D
Roko Gabrić
D
38
L. Hodak
77'
D
L. Hodak
77'
D
4
A. Pajaziti
M
A. Pajaziti
M
6
Hugo Guillamón
M
Hugo Guillamón
M
39
A. Guram
1 ⚽
63'
M
A. Guram
1 ⚽
63'
M
30
Iker Almena
1 ⚽
1 👟
71'
M
Iker Almena
1 ⚽
1 👟
71'
M
28
Roko Brajković
1 ⚽
63'
M
11
M. Šego
2 ⚽
1 👟
71'
F
M. Šego
2 ⚽
1 👟
71'
F
Bench
7
Anthony Kalik
19'
M
9
A. Rebić
F
A. Rebić
F
24
A. Sanyang
19'
F
A. Sanyang
19'
F
34
B. Durdov
27'
F
B. Durdov
27'
F
17
D. Melnjak
D
D. Melnjak
D
44
D. Stipica
G
D. Stipica
G
23
F. Krovinović
M
F. Krovinović
M
39
Illia Kutia
13'
M
Illia Kutia
13'
M
10
M. Livaja
F
M. Livaja
F
21
R. Pukštas
27'
M
R. Pukštas
27'
M
14
R. Raci
D
R. Raci
D
33
T. Silić
G
T. Silić
G
42
Antonio Đaković
G
20
K. Čabrajić
80'
D
K. Čabrajić
80'
D
14
M. Živković
D
M. Živković
D
5
Nikita Vlasenko
D
Nikita Vlasenko
D
35
J. Gurlica
1 ⚽
M
J. Gurlica
1 ⚽
M
13
V. Čaić
68'
D
V. Čaić
68'
D
77
E. Shabani
45'
M
E. Shabani
45'
M
28
L. Banovec
2 ⚽
M
L. Banovec
2 ⚽
M
10
R. Gonzales
2 👟
M
R. Gonzales
2 👟
M
27
Š. Butić
57'
M
21
J. Puljić
1 ⚽
F
J. Puljić
1 ⚽
F
Bench
22
D. Pintol
G
6
Jakov Biljan
45'
M
Jakov Biljan
45'
M
7
K. Çalhanoğlu
D
K. Çalhanoğlu
D
33
Luka Klanac
22'
F
Luka Klanac
22'
F
1
Marino Bulat
G
Marino Bulat
G
24
Niko Pajvančić
F
Niko Pajvančić
F
39
Pocholo Bugas
10'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Šego
F · HNK
9.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 11 pass
J. Gurlica
M · Vukovar
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
Roko Brajković
M · HNK
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
Iker Almena
M · HNK
7.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 32 pass
L. Banovec
M · Vukovar
7.30
2 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
J. Puljić
F · Vukovar
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivica Ivušić | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Š. Hrgović | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Marešić | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 63 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Roko Gabrić | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 51% | — | — | — |
| L. Hodak | D | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Pajaziti | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| Hugo Guillamón | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Guram | M | 63 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Iker Almena | M | 71 | 7.50 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Roko Brajković | M | 63 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Šego | F | 71 | 9.00 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Anthony Kalik | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Sanyang | F | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| B. Durdov | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Illia Kutia | M | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Pukštas | M | 27 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
Vukovar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Đaković | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| K. Čabrajić | D | 80 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Živković | D | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Nikita Vlasenko | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| J. Gurlica | M | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| V. Čaić | D | 68 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Shabani | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Banovec | M | 90 | 7.30 | 2 | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Gonzales | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 2 | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Š. Butić | M | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Puljić | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Jakov Biljan | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luka Klanac | F | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Pocholo Bugas | F | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar?
The final score was HNK Hajduk Split 6–3 Vukovar.
What did the model predict before HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar?
The model assigned 62% probability to a HNK Hajduk Split win, 24% to a draw, and 13% to an Vukovar win.