✓Model correct — prediction HNK Hajduk Split
R. Brajkovic
(ast. I. Almena)
9'
M. Sego
16'
M. Sego
(ast. S. Hrgovic)
26'
L. Banovec
54'
(og)
A. Guram
(ast. M. Sego)
56'
I. Almena
67'
(pen.)
2'
(ast. R. Gonzalez)
L. Banovec
19'
(ast. R. Gonzalez)
J. Gurlica
(pen.)
90'+1
J. Puljic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 62% win probability (draw 24%, Vukovar 13%). The final result was HNK Hajduk Split 6–3 Vukovar. In 3 previous meetings, HNK Hajduk Split have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Vukovar.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
3
3.34
Actual xG
1.90
0
Saves
3
64%
Possession
36%
8
Corners
3
21
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
ast. R. Gonzalez ·
L. Banovec⚽
⚽R. Brajkovic
· ast. I. Almena
9'
⚽M. Sego
16'
19'
ast. R. Gonzalez ·
J. Gurlica⚽
⚽M. Sego
· ast. S. Hrgovic
26'
46'
J. Biljan
/
E. Shabani
52'
J. Biljan
⚽L. Banovec
(og)
54'
⚽A. Guram
· ast. M. Sego
56'
57'
D. Vinkovic
/
S. Butic
R. Brajkovic
/ B. Durdov
63'
A. Guram
/ R. Pukstas
63'
⚽I. Almena
(pen.)
67'
68'
L. Klanac
/
V. Caic
M. Sego
/ A. Kalik
71'
I. Almena
/ A. Sanyang
71'
L. Hodak
/ I. Kutia
77'
80'
P. Bugas
/
K. Cabrajic
H. Guillamon
89'
90'+1
(pen.)
J. Puljic⚽
Pre-match prediction
62.01%
HNK ←
24.34%
X
13.65%
Vukovar
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Hajduk Split)
62.01%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
3.34
+1.86
0.55
1.90
+1.35
HNK Hajduk Split dominated by xG (3.34 vs 1.90).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ivica Ivušić
G
Ivica Ivušić
G
32
Šimun Hrgović
1 👟
D
Šimun Hrgović
1 👟
D
15
D. Marešić
D
D. Marešić
D
3
Roko Gabrić
D
Roko Gabrić
D
38
Luka Hodak
77'
D
Luka Hodak
77'
D
4
Adrion Pajaziti
M
6
Hugo Guillamón
M
Hugo Guillamón
M
39
Adam Huram
1 ⚽
63'
M
Adam Huram
1 ⚽
63'
M
30
Iker Almena
1 ⚽
1 👟
71'
M
Iker Almena
1 ⚽
1 👟
71'
M
28
Roko Brajković
1 ⚽
63'
M
Roko Brajković
1 ⚽
63'
M
11
M. Šego
2 ⚽
1 👟
71'
F
M. Šego
2 ⚽
1 👟
71'
F
Bench
24
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba
19'
F
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba
19'
F
7
Anthony Kalik
19'
M
Anthony Kalik
19'
M
9
A. Rebić
F
A. Rebić
F
34
Bruno Durdov
27'
F
Bruno Durdov
27'
F
44
Dante Stipica
G
Dante Stipica
G
17
Dario Melnjak
D
Dario Melnjak
D
23
Filip Krovinović
M
Filip Krovinović
M
39
Illia Kutia
13'
M
Illia Kutia
13'
M
10
M. Livaja
F
M. Livaja
F
14
Ron Raçi
D
21
R. Pukstas
27'
M
33
Toni Silić
G
Toni Silić
G
42
Antonio Đaković
G
Antonio Đaković
G
20
Kristijan Čabrajić
80'
D
Kristijan Čabrajić
80'
D
14
Moreno Živković
D
Moreno Živković
D
5
Nikita Vlasenko
D
Nikita Vlasenko
D
35
Jakov Gurlica
1 ⚽
M
Jakov Gurlica
1 ⚽
M
13
Vito Čaić
68'
D
Vito Čaić
68'
D
77
Eniss Shabani
45'
M
Eniss Shabani
45'
M
28
Lovro Banovec
2 ⚽
M
Lovro Banovec
2 ⚽
M
10
R. Gonzales
2 👟
M
R. Gonzales
2 👟
M
27
Šimun Butić
57'
M
Šimun Butić
57'
M
21
J. Puljić
1 ⚽
F
J. Puljić
1 ⚽
F
Bench
22
Denis Pintol
G
Denis Pintol
G
6
Jakov Biljan
45'
M
Jakov Biljan
45'
M
7
Kerim Çalhanoğlu
D
Kerim Çalhanoğlu
D
33
Luka Klanac
22'
F
Luka Klanac
22'
F
1
Marino Bulat
G
Marino Bulat
G
24
Niko Pajvančić
F
Niko Pajvančić
F
39
Pocholo Bugas
10'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Šego
F · HNK
9.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 11 pass
Jakov Gurlica
M · Vukovar
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
Roko Brajković
M · HNK
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
Iker Almena
M · HNK
7.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 32 pass
Lovro Banovec
M · Vukovar
7.30
2 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
J. Puljić
F · Vukovar
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivica Ivušić | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Šimun Hrgović | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Marešić | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 63 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Roko Gabrić | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Luka Hodak | D | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Adrion Pajaziti | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| Hugo Guillamón | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Adam Huram | M | 63 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Iker Almena | M | 71 | 7.50 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Roko Brajković | M | 63 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Šego | F | 71 | 9.00 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba | F | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Anthony Kalik | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Durdov | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Illia Kutia | M | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Pukstas | M | 27 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
Vukovar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Đaković | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Kristijan Čabrajić | D | 80 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| Moreno Živković | D | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Nikita Vlasenko | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Jakov Gurlica | M | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Vito Čaić | D | 68 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Eniss Shabani | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Lovro Banovec | M | 90 | 7.30 | 2 | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Gonzales | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 2 | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Šimun Butić | M | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Puljić | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Jakov Biljan | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luka Klanac | F | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Pocholo Bugas | F | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar?
The final score was HNK Hajduk Split 6–3 Vukovar.
What did the model predict before HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar?
The model assigned 62% probability to a HNK Hajduk Split win, 24% to a draw, and 13% to an Vukovar win.