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#1 · 16 pts
6 – 3
Final score
Model correct — prediction HNK Hajduk Split
R. Brajkovic (ast. I. Almena) 9'
M. Sego 16'
M. Sego (ast. S. Hrgovic) 26'
L. Banovec 54' (og)
A. Guram (ast. M. Sego) 56'
I. Almena 67' (pen.)
2' (ast. R. Gonzalez) L. Banovec
19' (ast. R. Gonzalez) J. Gurlica
(pen.) 90'+1 J. Puljic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 62% win probability (draw 24%, Vukovar 13%). The final result was HNK Hajduk Split 6–3 Vukovar. In 3 previous meetings, HNK Hajduk Split have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Vukovar.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
3
3.34
Actual xG
1.90
0
Saves
3
64%
Possession
36%
8
Corners
3
21
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
ast. R. Gonzalez · L. Banovec
R. Brajkovic · ast. I. Almena
9'
M. Sego
16'
19'
ast. R. Gonzalez · J. Gurlica
M. Sego · ast. S. Hrgovic
26'
46'
J. Biljan / E. Shabani
52'
J. Biljan
L. Banovec (og)
54'
A. Guram · ast. M. Sego
56'
57'
D. Vinkovic / S. Butic
R. Brajkovic / B. Durdov
63'
A. Guram / R. Pukstas
63'
I. Almena (pen.)
67'
68'
L. Klanac / V. Caic
M. Sego / A. Kalik
71'
I. Almena / A. Sanyang
71'
L. Hodak / I. Kutia
77'
80'
P. Bugas / K. Cabrajic
H. Guillamon
89'
90'+1
(pen.) J. Puljic
Pre-match prediction
62.01%
HNK ←
24.34%
X
13.65%
Vukovar
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (HNK Hajduk Split) 62.01% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
HNK
1.48
3.34
+1.86
Vukovar
0.55
1.90
+1.35
HNK Hajduk Split dominated by xG (3.34 vs 1.90). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 7 16
2 NK Osijek NK Osijek 7 15
3 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 7 14
4 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 6 13
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 6 11
6 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 7 9
7 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 7 7
8 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 7 6
9 Rudes Rudes 7 3
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 7 2
Lineups
1 Ivica Ivušić Ivica Ivušić G 6.20
32 Š. Hrgović Š. Hrgović 1 👟 D 6.60
15 D. Marešić D. Marešić D 6.30
3 Roko Gabrić Roko Gabrić D 6.60
38 L. Hodak L. Hodak 77' D 6.50
4 A. Pajaziti A. Pajaziti M 6.90
6 Hugo Guillamón Hugo Guillamón M 5.90
39 A. Guram A. Guram 1 ⚽ 63' M 7.20
30 Iker Almena Iker Almena 1 ⚽ 1 👟 71' M 7.50
28
Roko Brajković 1 ⚽ 63' M 7.60
11 M. Šego M. Šego 2 ⚽ 1 👟 71' F 9.00
Bench
7
Anthony Kalik 19' M 6.30
9 A. Rebić A. Rebić F
24 A. Sanyang A. Sanyang 19' F 6.60
34 B. Durdov B. Durdov 27' F 6.20
17 D. Melnjak D. Melnjak D
44 D. Stipica D. Stipica G
23 F. Krovinović F. Krovinović M
39 Illia Kutia Illia Kutia 13' M 6.20
10 M. Livaja M. Livaja F
21 R. Pukštas R. Pukštas 27' M 7.00
14 R. Raci R. Raci D
33 T. Silić T. Silić G
Vukovar Vukovar 4-2-3-1
42
Antonio Đaković G 6.50
20 K. Čabrajić K. Čabrajić 80' D 5.20
14 M. Živković M. Živković D 5.50
5 Nikita Vlasenko Nikita Vlasenko D 5.30
35 J. Gurlica J. Gurlica 1 ⚽ M 8.50
13 V. Čaić V. Čaić 68' D 5.90
77 E. Shabani E. Shabani 45' M 6.50
28 L. Banovec L. Banovec 2 ⚽ M 7.30
10 R. Gonzales R. Gonzales 2 👟 M 7.20
27
Š. Butić 57' M 6.50
21 J. Puljić J. Puljić 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
22
D. Pintol G
6 Jakov Biljan Jakov Biljan 45' M 6.20
7 K. Çalhanoğlu K. Çalhanoğlu D
33 Luka Klanac Luka Klanac 22' F 6.60
1 Marino Bulat Marino Bulat G
24 Niko Pajvančić Niko Pajvančić F
39
Pocholo Bugas 10' F 6.90
Best on the pitch
M. Šego
M. Šego
F · HNK
9.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 11 pass
J. Gurlica
J. Gurlica
M · Vukovar
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 26 pass
Roko Brajković
M · HNK
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
Iker Almena
Iker Almena
M · HNK
7.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 32 pass
L. Banovec
L. Banovec
M · Vukovar
7.30
2 ⚽
1 shots · 18 pass
J. Puljić
J. Puljić
F · Vukovar
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 17 pass
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ivica Ivušić G 90 6.20 22 16%
Š. Hrgović D 90 6.60 1 32 26% 1
D. Marešić D 90 6.30 63 57% 1
Roko Gabrić D 90 6.60 54 51%
L. Hodak D 77 6.50 54 50% 2
A. Pajaziti M 90 6.90 65 58% 2
Hugo Guillamón M 90 5.90 62 53% 2 1
A. Guram M 63 7.20 1 1 20 15% 3
Iker Almena M 71 7.50 1 1 2 32 24%
Roko Brajković M 63 7.60 1 2 16 14% 5
M. Šego F 71 9.00 2 1 3 11 7%
Anthony Kalik M 19 6.30 3 2% 2
A. Sanyang F 19 6.60 1 4 3%
B. Durdov F 27 6.20 6 2%
Illia Kutia M 13 6.20 3 2%
R. Pukštas M 27 7.00 1 11 10% 3
Vukovar Vukovar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Antonio Đaković G 90 6.50 17 11%
K. Čabrajić D 80 5.20 29 21% 4
M. Živković D 90 5.50 19 16%
Nikita Vlasenko D 90 5.30 33 26%
J. Gurlica M 90 8.50 1 1 26 19% 3
V. Čaić D 68 5.90 30 26% 3
E. Shabani M 45 6.50 13 9% 1
L. Banovec M 90 7.30 2 1 18 14% 3
R. Gonzales M 90 7.20 2 29 23% 1
Š. Butić M 57 6.50 6 4% 1
J. Puljić F 90 7.20 1 3 17 16% 1
Jakov Biljan M 45 6.20 11 10% 1 1
Luka Klanac F 22 6.60 1 6 5%
Pocholo Bugas F 10 6.90 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar?
The final score was HNK Hajduk Split 6–3 Vukovar.
What did the model predict before HNK Hajduk Split vs Vukovar?
The model assigned 62% probability to a HNK Hajduk Split win, 24% to a draw, and 13% to an Vukovar win.