Conference League
· 2nd Qualifying Round
July 23, 2026 20:45
T. Fruk
(ast. B. Pavic)
52'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Rijeka a 53% win probability (draw 24%, Derry City 21%). The final result was HNK Rijeka 1–0 Derry City.
Match statistics
Match Events
A. Orec
7'
⚽T. Fruk
· ast. B. Pavic
52'
D. Adu Adjei
60'
62'
J. Clarke
/
L. Boyce
62'
A. O'Reilly
/
N. Twisk
62'
C. Dummigan
/
J. Stott
D. Adu Adjei
/ A. Juric
69'
75'
C. Barr
/
B. Lyons-Foster
A. Gojak
/ G. Rukavina
79'
80'
D. Burns
/
J. Olayinka
T. Fruk
/ J. Lasickas
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
53.86%
HNK ←
24.55%
X
21.59%
Derry
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Rijeka)
53.86%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.07
—
—
0.74
—
—
Lineups
99
Aleksa Todorović
G
34
Mladen Devetak
D
5
Alfonso Barco
M
45
Ante Majstorović
D
22
Ante Oreč
D
26
Tiago Dantas
M
6
Branko Pavić
1 👟
M
4
Niko Janković
M
10
Toni Fruk
1 ⚽
M
14
Amer Gojak
M
18
Daniel Adu-Adjei
F
Bench
51
Anel Husić
D
77
Ante Matej Jurić
F
37
Cherno Saho
F
31
Dávid Nwolokor
G
11
Gabriel Rukavina
M
15
Goran Grulović
F
23
Justas Lasickas
D
3
Moreno Živković
D
91
Noel Bodetić
D
19
Samuele Vignato
M
1
Vito Kovač
G
1
Brian Maher
G
19
B. Fleming
M
B. Fleming
M
3
Patrick McClean
D
Patrick McClean
D
4
Jamie Stott
D
24
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
D
17
Nick Twisk
M
7
M. Duffy
M
M. Duffy
M
14
Ellis Chapman
M
28
James Olayinka
M
2
Barry Cotter
M
27
Liam Boyce
F
Bench
8
A. O'Reilly
M
A. O'Reilly
M
23
C. Dummigan
D
C. Dummigan
D
25
Christy Grogan
D
22
Conor Barr
D
12
Darragh Burns
M
15
J. Clarke
M
J. Clarke
M
16
J. McClean
M
J. McClean
M
35
Liam Kelly
F
6
Robert Slevin
D
32
Terence Doherty
F
13
Tom Norcott
G
HNK Rijeka — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksa Todorović | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mladen Devetak | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfonso Barco | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ante Majstorović | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ante Oreč | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Dantas | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Branko Pavić | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niko Janković | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Fruk | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amer Gojak | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Adu-Adjei | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Derry City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Maher | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Fleming | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrick McClean | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamie Stott | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brooklyn Lyons-Foster | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nick Twisk | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Duffy | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ellis Chapman | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Olayinka | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Barry Cotter | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liam Boyce | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Rijeka vs Derry City?
The final score was HNK Rijeka 1–0 Derry City.
What did the model predict before HNK Rijeka vs Derry City?
The model assigned 53% probability to a HNK Rijeka win, 24% to a draw, and 21% to an Derry City win.