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#4 · 0 pts
2 – 0
Final score
#10 · 0 pts
A. Gojak (ast. A. Orec) 65'
A. Gojak (ast. N. Bodetic) 84'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Rijeka a 50% win probability (draw 31%, HNK Gorica 17%). The final result was HNK Rijeka 2–0 HNK Gorica. In 3 previous meetings, HNK Rijeka have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for HNK Gorica.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
3
7
Shots on target
2
1.35
Actual xG
0.14
2
Saves
6
59%
Possession
41%
7
Corners
3
10
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
54'
H. I. Moustapha
57'
T. Epailly / D. Pavicic
58'
O. Bakic / S. Kucis
M. Ndockyt / L. Kitin
62'
A. Gojak · ast. A. Orec
65'
72'
W. Sule / B. Bogojevic
T. Fruk / D. Adu Adjei
76'
77'
M. Carevic
78'
O. Bakic
79'
A. Erceg
83'
L. Vrzic / H. I. Moustapha
A. Gojak · ast. N. Bodetic
84'
A. Juric / G. Grulovic
86'
A. Orec / V. Vesligaj
87'
T. Dantas / D. Petrovic
87'
Pre-match prediction
50.61%
HNK ←
31.97%
X
17.42%
HNK
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Rijeka) 50.61% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
HNK
1.05
1.35
+0.3
HNK
0.44
0.14
-0.3
HNK Rijeka dominated by xG (1.35 vs 0.14). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 0 0
3 NK Osijek NK Osijek 0 0
4 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 0 0
5 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 0 0
6 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0 0
7 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0 0
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 0
9 Rudes Rudes 0 0
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0 0
Lineups
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 4-2-3-1
99 Aleksa Todorović Aleksa Todorović 89' G 6.60
34 M. Devetak M. Devetak 89' D 6.90
91 Noel Bodetić Noel Bodetić 1 👟 89' D 7.30
45 A. Majstorović A. Majstorović 89' D 7.20
22 A. Oreč A. Oreč 1 👟 88' D 7.00
26 Tiago Dantas Tiago Dantas 88' M 7.00
66 Branko Pavić Branko Pavić 89' M 6.90
14 Amer Gojak Amer Gojak 2 ⚽ 89' M 8.30
10 Toni Fruk Toni Fruk 77' M 7.30
20 Merveille Ndockyt Merveille Ndockyt 62' M 6.70
77 Ante Matej Jurić Ante Matej Jurić 88' F 6.70
Bench
18 D. Adu-Adjei D. Adu-Adjei 12' F 6.30
8 Dejan Petrovič Dejan Petrovič 1' M
11 Gabriel Rukavina Gabriel Rukavina F
15 Goran Grulović Goran Grulović 1' F
2 Lovro Kitin Lovro Kitin 27' D 6.60
13 Martin Zlomislić Martin Zlomislić G
6 Stjepan Radeljić Stjepan Radeljić D
1 Vito Kovač Vito Kovač G
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 3-4-2-1
71 Davor Matijaš Davor Matijaš 89' G 7.30
21 Hadji Issa Moustapha Hadji Issa Moustapha 83' D 6.60
5 Mateo Leš Mateo Leš 89' D 6.20
45 Stefan Perić Stefan Perić 89' D 6.90
25 Bruno Bogojević Bruno Bogojević 73' M 6.30
36 Ante Kavelj Ante Kavelj 89' M 6.50
8 Iker Pozo Iker Pozo 89' M 6.60
22 Žan Trontelj Žan Trontelj 89' M 6.60
24 Domagoj Pavičić Domagoj Pavičić 58' F 6.70
14 Stjepan Kučiš Stjepan Kučiš 58' F 6.30
50 Ante Erceg Ante Erceg 89' F 6.90
Bench
30 Darijan Žarkov Darijan Žarkov G
32 Elvir Duraković Elvir Duraković D
18 Ivan Fiolić Ivan Fiolić M
20 Luka Vrzić Luka Vrzić 6' F
19 M. Čabraja M. Čabraja D
77 Mihael Kelava Mihael Kelava M
1 Muhamed Šahinović Muhamed Šahinović G
7 Ognjen Bakić Ognjen Bakić 31' M 6.20
64 Theo Epailly Theo Epailly 31' F 6.30
67 Tomislav Prgomet Tomislav Prgomet M
11 Wisdom Aondowase Sule Wisdom Aondowase Sule 16' F 6.50
35 Zvonimir Josić Zvonimir Josić D
Best on the pitch
Amer Gojak
Amer Gojak
M · HNK
8.30
2 ⚽
3 shots · 34 pass
Noel Bodetić
Noel Bodetić
D · HNK
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 44 pass
Toni Fruk
Toni Fruk
M · HNK
7.30
1 shots · 23 pass
Davor Matijaš
Davor Matijaš
G · HNK
7.30
· 39 pass
A. Majstorović
A. Majstorović
D · HNK
7.20
2 shots · 61 pass
A. Oreč
A. Oreč
D · HNK
7.00
1 👟
· 30 pass
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Aleksa Todorović G 89 6.60 24 15%
M. Devetak D 89 6.90 1 65 56%
Noel Bodetić D 89 7.30 1 2 44 39% 2
A. Majstorović D 89 7.20 2 61 56%
A. Oreč D 88 7.00 1 30 23% 1
Tiago Dantas M 88 7.00 39 35%
Branko Pavić M 89 6.90 50 42% 1
Amer Gojak M 89 8.30 2 3 34 25% 1
Toni Fruk M 77 7.30 1 23 21% 3
Merveille Ndockyt M 62 6.70 2 17 12% 1
Ante Matej Jurić F 88 6.70 2 8 5% 1
D. Adu-Adjei F 12 6.30
Dejan Petrovič M 1
Goran Grulović F 1
Lovro Kitin D 27 6.60 1 4 2%
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Davor Matijaš G 89 7.30 39 29%
Hadji Issa Moustapha D 83 6.60 35 30% 2 1
Mateo Leš D 89 6.20 31 25% 1
Stefan Perić D 89 6.90 41 35% 1
Bruno Bogojević M 73 6.30 1 12 7% 1
Ante Kavelj M 89 6.50 23 17%
Iker Pozo M 89 6.60 29 28%
Žan Trontelj M 89 6.60 20 14% 3
Domagoj Pavičić F 58 6.70 16 10% 1
Stjepan Kučiš F 58 6.30 7 6% 1
Ante Erceg F 89 6.90 2 17 11% 1 1
Luka Vrzić F 6 1 1%
Ognjen Bakić M 31 6.20 9 8% 1
Theo Epailly F 31 6.30 5 2% 2
Wisdom Aondowase Sule F 16 6.50 2 1%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica?
The final score was HNK Rijeka 2–0 HNK Gorica.
What did the model predict before HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica?
The model assigned 50% probability to a HNK Rijeka win, 31% to a draw, and 17% to an HNK Gorica win.