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#5 · 10 pts
2 – 0
Final score
#10 · 1 pts
A. Gojak (ast. A. Orec) 65'
A. Gojak (ast. N. Bodetic) 84'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Rijeka a 50% win probability (draw 31%, HNK Gorica 17%). The final result was HNK Rijeka 2–0 HNK Gorica. In 4 previous meetings, HNK Rijeka have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for HNK Gorica.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
3
7
Shots on target
2
1.35
Actual xG
0.14
2
Saves
6
59%
Possession
41%
7
Corners
3
10
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
54'
H. I. Moustapha
57'
T. Epailly / D. Pavicic
58'
O. Bakic / S. Kucis
M. Ndockyt / L. Kitin
62'
A. Gojak · ast. A. Orec
65'
72'
W. Sule / B. Bogojevic
T. Fruk / D. Adu Adjei
76'
77'
M. Carevic
78'
O. Bakic
79'
A. Erceg
83'
L. Vrzic / H. I. Moustapha
A. Gojak · ast. N. Bodetic
84'
A. Juric / G. Grulovic
86'
A. Orec / V. Vesligaj
87'
T. Dantas / D. Petrovic
87'
Pre-match prediction
50.61%
HNK ←
31.97%
X
17.42%
HNK
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Rijeka) 50.61% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
HNK
1.05
1.35
+0.3
HNK
0.44
0.14
-0.3
HNK Rijeka dominated by xG (1.35 vs 0.14). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 6 13
2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 5 13
3 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 6 13
4 NK Osijek NK Osijek 6 12
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 5 10
6 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 6 6
7 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 6 6
8 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 6 6
9 Rudes Rudes 6 3
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 6 1
Lineups
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 4-2-3-1
99 A. Todorović A. Todorović 89' G 6.60
34 Mladen Devetak Mladen Devetak 89' D 6.90
91 N. Bodetić N. Bodetić 1 👟 89' D 7.30
45 A. Majstorović A. Majstorović 89' D 7.20
22 A. Oreč A. Oreč 1 👟 88' D 7.00
26 Tiago Dantas Tiago Dantas 88' M 7.00
66 Branko Pavić Branko Pavić 89' M 6.90
14 A. Gojak A. Gojak 2 ⚽ 89' M 8.30
10 T. Fruk T. Fruk 77' M 7.30
20 Merveille Ndockyt Merveille Ndockyt 62' M 6.70
77 A. Jurič A. Jurič 88' F 6.70
Bench
18 D. Adu-Adjei D. Adu-Adjei 12' F 6.30
8 Dejan Petrovič Dejan Petrovič 1' M
11 Gabriel Rukavina Gabriel Rukavina F
15 Goran Grulović Goran Grulović 1' F
2 Lovro Kitin Lovro Kitin 27' D 6.60
13 Martin Zlomislić Martin Zlomislić G
6 S. Radeljić S. Radeljić D
1 V. Kovac V. Kovac G
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 3-4-2-1
71 D. Matijaš D. Matijaš 89' G 7.30
21 Hadji Issa Moustapha Hadji Issa Moustapha 83' D 6.60
5 Mateo Leš Mateo Leš 89' D 6.20
45 S. Perić S. Perić 89' D 6.90
25 B. Bogojević B. Bogojević 73' M 6.30
36 Ante Kavelj Ante Kavelj 89' M 6.50
8 Iker Pozo Iker Pozo 89' M 6.60
22
Z. Trontelj 89' M 6.60
24 D. Pavičić D. Pavičić 58' F 6.70
14 S. Kučiš S. Kučiš 58' F 6.30
50 Ante Erceg Ante Erceg 89' F 6.90
Bench
30 D. Žarkov D. Žarkov G
32 E. Duraković E. Duraković D
18
Ivan Fiolić M
20 L. Vrzić L. Vrzić 6' F
19 M. Čabraja M. Čabraja D
77 Mihael Kelava Mihael Kelava M
1 M. Šahinović M. Šahinović G
7 O. Bakić O. Bakić 31' M 6.20
64 T. Epailly T. Epailly 31' F 6.30
67 Tomislav Prgomet Tomislav Prgomet M
11 Wisdom Aondowase Sule Wisdom Aondowase Sule 16' F 6.50
35 Zvonimir Josić Zvonimir Josić D
Best on the pitch
A. Gojak
A. Gojak
M · HNK
8.30
2 ⚽
3 shots · 34 pass
N. Bodetić
N. Bodetić
D · HNK
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 44 pass
T. Fruk
T. Fruk
M · HNK
7.30
1 shots · 23 pass
D. Matijaš
D. Matijaš
G · HNK
7.30
· 39 pass
A. Majstorović
A. Majstorović
D · HNK
7.20
2 shots · 61 pass
A. Oreč
A. Oreč
D · HNK
7.00
1 👟
· 30 pass
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Todorović G 89 6.60 24 15%
Mladen Devetak D 89 6.90 1 65 56%
N. Bodetić D 89 7.30 1 2 44 39% 2
A. Majstorović D 89 7.20 2 61 56%
A. Oreč D 88 7.00 1 30 23% 1
Tiago Dantas M 88 7.00 39 35%
Branko Pavić M 89 6.90 50 42% 1
A. Gojak M 89 8.30 2 3 34 25% 1
T. Fruk M 77 7.30 1 23 21% 3
Merveille Ndockyt M 62 6.70 2 17 12% 1
A. Jurič F 88 6.70 2 8 5% 1
D. Adu-Adjei F 12 6.30
Dejan Petrovič M 1
Goran Grulović F 1
Lovro Kitin D 27 6.60 1 4 2%
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Matijaš G 89 7.30 39 29%
Hadji Issa Moustapha D 83 6.60 35 30% 2 1
Mateo Leš D 89 6.20 31 25% 1
S. Perić D 89 6.90 41 35% 1
B. Bogojević M 73 6.30 1 12 7% 1
Ante Kavelj M 89 6.50 23 17%
Iker Pozo M 89 6.60 29 28%
Z. Trontelj M 89 6.60 20 14% 3
D. Pavičić F 58 6.70 16 10% 1
S. Kučiš F 58 6.30 7 6% 1
Ante Erceg F 89 6.90 2 17 11% 1 1
L. Vrzić F 6 1 1%
O. Bakić M 31 6.20 9 8% 1
T. Epailly F 31 6.30 5 2% 2
Wisdom Aondowase Sule F 16 6.50 2 1%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica?
The final score was HNK Rijeka 2–0 HNK Gorica.
What did the model predict before HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica?
The model assigned 50% probability to a HNK Rijeka win, 31% to a draw, and 17% to an HNK Gorica win.