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HNK Rijeka - Ilves

Conference League August 06, 2026 20:45
HNK Rijeka
vs
Ilves
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.04%
Win
HNK Rijeka
27.01%
Draw
24.96%
Win
Ilves
1.6
Expected xG
0.84

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.54%)
1X2 Result ✓ 76.9% hit rate (13 picks)
1 48%
X 27%
2 25%
Double Chance
1X 75%
X2 52%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 62%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives HNK Rijeka a 48% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Ilves. Expected goals are 1.6 for HNK Rijeka and 0.8 for Ilves (total 2.4), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.54% probability.

Season Stats

HNK Rijeka
6W 4D 2L
Ilves
3W 1D 2L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.3
0.5
Conceded
1.7
4.3
Shots OT
4.5
4.1
Corners
2.5
49%
Poss.
39%
Percentages
42%
O 1.5
50%
25%
O 2.5
50%
33%
BTTS
33%
58%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 12 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
17%
BTTS
HNK Rijeka
4W 1D 1L · at home
Ilves
0W 1D 2L · away
1.5
gls/g
0.0
0.5
Conceded
2.0
67%
Win %
0%
83%
Win or Draw
33%
50%
O 1.5
33%
50%
O 2.5
33%
17%
O 3.5
33%
33%
BTTS
0%
67%
Clean Sht
33%
17%
Failed to Score
100%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ HNK Rijeka Ilves →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7% 7.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% —
1 13.9% 11.7% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% —
2 11.1% 9.4% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% —
3 5.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% —
4 2.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
W Derry City 0–1
W Derry City 1–0
D Strasbourg 1–1
L Strasbourg 1–2
W Omonia Nicosia 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 55%
Ilves Ilves
W Stjarnan 1–0
L Stjarnan 1–0
W FC Differdange 03 3–1
D FC Differdange 03 0–0
L AZ Alkmaar 5–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
Attack
42
Defence
94
Form
78
Ilves Ilves
Attack
35
Defence
78
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs Ilves?
The model gives HNK Rijeka a 48% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 24% for an Ilves win.
How many goals are expected in HNK Rijeka vs Ilves?
Expected goals: HNK Rijeka 1.6, Ilves 0.8 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in HNK Rijeka vs Ilves?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.54%.