Conference League
· 3rd Qualifying Round
August 06, 2026 20:45
✓Model correct — prediction HNK Rijeka
N. Jankovic
(ast. T. Dantas)
16'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Rijeka a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Ilves 19%). The final result was HNK Rijeka 1–0 Ilves. In 1 previous meetings, HNK Rijeka have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Ilves.
Match statistics
14
Shots on target
1
66%
Possession
34%
9
Corners
1
Match Events
B. Pavic
11'
⚽N. Jankovic
· ast. T. Dantas
16'
27'
J. Kilo
T. Fruk
/ S. Vignato
46'
A. Barco
49'
59'
R. Riski
/
T. Hytonen
59'
O. Multala
/
L. Ala-Myllymaki
T. Dantas
/ J. Lasickas
71'
D. Adu Adjei
/ J. Puljic
71'
72'
T. Miettunen
/
S. Vaisanen
72'
Y. Sacko
/
A. Popovitch
75'
J. Kanga
83'
E. Tamminen
/
J. Kanga
M. Devetak
/ G. Rukavina
84'
90'+2
G. Bamba
A. Gojak
/ I. Cubelic
90'
Pre-match prediction
57.96%
HNK ←
22.46%
X
19.57%
Ilves
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Rijeka)
57.96%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.13
—
—
0.80
—
—
Lineups
99
A. Todorović
G
A. Todorović
G
34
M. Devetak
D
M. Devetak
D
5
A. Barco
M
A. Barco
M
45
A. Majstorović
D
A. Majstorović
D
22
A. Oreč
D
A. Oreč
D
6
Branko Pavić
M
Branko Pavić
M
26
Tiago Dantas
1 👟
M
Tiago Dantas
1 👟
M
4
N. Janković
1 ⚽
M
N. Janković
1 ⚽
M
10
T. Fruk
M
T. Fruk
M
14
A. Gojak
M
A. Gojak
M
18
D. Adu-Adjei
F
D. Adu-Adjei
F
Bench
51
A. Husic
D
A. Husic
D
37
Cherno Saho
F
Cherno Saho
F
15
Goran Grulović
F
Goran Grulović
F
11
G. Rukavina
M
G. Rukavina
M
8
I. Ćubelić
M
I. Ćubelić
M
13
I. Vekič
G
I. Vekič
G
23
J. Lasickas
D
J. Lasickas
D
21
J. Puljić
F
J. Puljić
F
3
M. Živković
D
M. Živković
D
91
N. Bodetić
D
N. Bodetić
D
19
S. Vignato
M
S. Vignato
M
1
V. Kovac
G
V. Kovac
G
12
F. Krkalić
G
F. Krkalić
G
3
M. Rale
D
M. Rale
D
5
S. Väisänen
D
S. Väisänen
D
24
V. Kumpu
D
V. Kumpu
D
19
Goudouss Bamba
D
Goudouss Bamba
D
15
L. Ala-Myllymäki
M
L. Ala-Myllymäki
M
14
A. Popovitch
M
A. Popovitch
M
28
J. Kilo
M
J. Kilo
M
13
K. Wallius
M
K. Wallius
M
9
T. Hytönen
F
T. Hytönen
F
30
J. Kanga
M
J. Kanga
M
Bench
45
Elias Tamminen
F
22
O. Multala
M
O. Multala
M
1
O. Virtanen
G
O. Virtanen
G
31
R. Leislahti
G
R. Leislahti
G
36
Roope Aho
D
10
R. Riski
F
R. Riski
F
17
S. Baranov
M
S. Baranov
M
25
Sebastian Suvanne
D
16
T. Miettunen
D
T. Miettunen
D
33
Y. Sacko
M
Y. Sacko
M
HNK Rijeka — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Todorović | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Devetak | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Barco | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Majstorović | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Oreč | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Branko Pavić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Dantas | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Janković | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Fruk | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Gojak | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Adu-Adjei | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Ilves — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Krkalić | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Rale | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Väisänen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Kumpu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Goudouss Bamba | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ala-Myllymäki | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Popovitch | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Kilo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Wallius | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Hytönen | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Kanga | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Rijeka vs Ilves?
The final score was HNK Rijeka 1–0 Ilves.
What did the model predict before HNK Rijeka vs Ilves?
The model assigned 57% probability to a HNK Rijeka win, 22% to a draw, and 19% to an Ilves win.