M. Nasraoui
18'
(og)
J. Puljic
43'
T. Fruk
(ast. T. Dantas)
53'
71'
H. Jaganjac
90'+3
(ast. D. Ahmeti)
E. Frederiksen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Rijeka a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Istra 1961 30%). The final result was HNK Rijeka 3–2 Istra 1961. In 4 previous meetings, HNK Rijeka have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Istra 1961.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
1
1.88
Actual xG
0.40
0
Saves
5
60%
Possession
40%
5
Corners
2
10
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Nasraoui
(og)
18'
⚽J. Puljic
(missed pen.)
43'
⚽J. Puljic
43'
⚽T. Fruk
· ast. T. Dantas
53'
I. Cubelic
/ A. Gojak
60'
S. Vignato
/ B. Pavic
60'
61'
V. Rozic
/
N. Skafar Zuzic
61'
R. Hrvatin
/
A. Kadusic
61'
G. Albarracin
/
D. Doumbia
62'
H. Jaganjac
71'
H. Jaganjac⚽
72'
D. Ahmeti
/
A. Mauric
A. Husic
/ A. Barco
72'
J. Puljic
/ D. Adu Adjei
72'
78'
M. Kablar
/
I. Saranic
N. Jankovic
/ M. Devetak
84'
90'+3
ast. D. Ahmeti ·
E. Frederiksen⚽
Pre-match prediction
39.3%
HNK ←
30.47%
X
30.22%
Istra
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Rijeka)
39.3%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.55
1.88
-0.67
1.43
0.40
-1.03
HNK Rijeka dominated by xG (1.88 vs 0.40).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
99
A. Todorović
79'
G
A. Todorović
79'
G
23
J. Lasickas
79'
D
J. Lasickas
79'
D
51
A. Husic
72'
D
A. Husic
72'
D
45
A. Majstorović
79'
D
A. Majstorović
79'
D
22
A. Oreč
79'
D
A. Oreč
79'
D
26
Tiago Dantas
1 👟
79'
M
Tiago Dantas
1 👟
79'
M
8
I. Ćubelić
60'
M
I. Ćubelić
60'
M
4
N. Janković
79'
M
N. Janković
79'
M
10
T. Fruk
1 ⚽
79'
M
T. Fruk
1 ⚽
79'
M
19
S. Vignato
60'
M
S. Vignato
60'
M
21
J. Puljić
1 ⚽
72'
F
J. Puljić
1 ⚽
72'
F
Bench
5
A. Barco
7'
M
A. Barco
7'
M
14
A. Gojak
19'
M
A. Gojak
19'
M
77
A. Jurič
F
A. Jurič
F
6
Branko Pavić
19'
M
Branko Pavić
19'
M
18
D. Adu-Adjei
7'
F
D. Adu-Adjei
7'
F
11
G. Rukavina
F
G. Rukavina
F
13
I. Vekič
G
I. Vekič
G
34
M. Devetak
D
M. Devetak
D
3
M. Živković
D
M. Živković
D
91
N. Bodetić
D
N. Bodetić
D
1
V. Kovac
G
V. Kovac
G
7
Y. Kabadayı
F
Y. Kabadayı
F
1
F. Kolić
79'
G
F. Kolić
79'
G
13
Niko Šepić
79'
D
Niko Šepić
79'
D
4
R. Kumar
79'
D
R. Kumar
79'
D
3
M. Nasraoui
1 ⚽
79'
D
M. Nasraoui
1 ⚽
79'
D
97
A. Kadušić
61'
D
A. Kadušić
61'
D
8
A. Maurić
72'
M
A. Maurić
72'
M
88
D. Doumbia
61'
M
D. Doumbia
61'
M
30
N. Skafar Zuzic
61'
M
N. Skafar Zuzic
61'
M
80
I. Šaranić
78'
M
I. Šaranić
78'
M
22
E. Frederiksen
1 ⚽
79'
M
E. Frederiksen
1 ⚽
79'
M
94
H. Jaganjac
1 ⚽
79'
F
H. Jaganjac
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
20
D. Ahmeti
1 👟
7'
M
D. Ahmeti
1 👟
7'
M
27
D. Celija
F
D. Celija
F
24
F. Taraba
D
F. Taraba
D
25
G. AlbarracÃn
18'
M
G. AlbarracÃn
18'
M
9
Isaac
F
Isaac
F
40
J. Paus-Kunšt
G
J. Paus-Kunšt
G
34
M. Kablar
1'
M
M. Kablar
1'
M
44
R. Hrvatin
18'
D
R. Hrvatin
18'
D
11
S. Goričan
F
S. Goričan
F
16
S. Miettinen
D
S. Miettinen
D
39
T. Brajkovic
F
T. Brajkovic
F
7
V. Rozić
18'
F
V. Rozić
18'
F
Best on the pitch
T. Fruk
M · HNK
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 42 pass
F. Kolić
G · Istra
7.90
· 18 pass
Tiago Dantas
M · HNK
7.70
1 👟
· 84 pass
H. Jaganjac
F · Istra
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
A. Majstorović
D · HNK
7.00
· 73 pass
A. Oreč
D · HNK
7.00
1 shots
· 62 pass
HNK Rijeka — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Todorović | G | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Lasickas | D | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Husic | D | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Majstorović | D | 79 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 73 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Oreč | D | 79 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Tiago Dantas | M | 79 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 84 | 82% | — | — | — |
| I. Ćubelić | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Janković | M | 79 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Fruk | M | 79 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 42 | 34% | — | — | — |
| S. Vignato | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Puljić | F | 72 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Barco | M | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| A. Gojak | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Branko Pavić | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Adu-Adjei | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Istra 1961 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Kolić | G | 79 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Niko Šepić | D | 79 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| R. Kumar | D | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 48% | — | — | — |
| M. Nasraoui | D | 79 | 5.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 60 | 52% | — | — | — |
| A. Kadušić | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Maurić | M | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | — | — |
| D. Doumbia | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Skafar Zuzic | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Šaranić | M | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| E. Frederiksen | M | 79 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Jaganjac | F | 79 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Ahmeti | M | 7 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| G. AlbarracÃn | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Kablar | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| R. Hrvatin | D | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| V. Rozić | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?
The final score was HNK Rijeka 3–2 Istra 1961.
What did the model predict before HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?
The model assigned 39% probability to a HNK Rijeka win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an Istra 1961 win.