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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30 April 17, 2026 18:30 Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
Holstein Kiel
#16 · 4 pts
3 – 0
Final score
1. FC Kaiserslautern
#5 · 11 pts
U. Tohumcu (ast. K. Davidsen) 16'
P. Harres (ast. I. Ugoh) 36'
D. Zec (ast. U. Tohumcu) 40'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Kaiserslautern a 38% win probability (draw 25%, Holstein Kiel 35%). The final result was Holstein Kiel 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern. In 1 previous meetings, Holstein Kiel have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
1.63
Actual xG
0.91
2
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
5
Corners
0
22
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽U. Tohumcu · ast. K. Davidsen
16'
↕ S. Skrzybski / J. Therkelsen
24'
L. Rosenboom
33'
33'
P. Joly
⚽P. Harres · ast. I. Ugoh
36'
⚽D. Zec · ast. U. Tohumcu
40'
46'
Kim Ji-Soo / N. Bassette ↕
46'
L. Sirch / M. Ritter ↕
K. Davidsen
64'
64'
D. Hanslik / M. Berisha ↕
64'
K. Redondo / N. Skytta ↕
↕ L. Rosenboom / F. Roslyng
75'
↕ I. Ugoh / S. Schwab
75'
↕ D. Zec / N. Niehoff
83'
↕ U. Tohumcu / M. Muller
83'
Pre-match prediction
35.78%
Holstein ←
25.68%
X
38.54%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (Holstein Kiel) 35.78% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Holstein
1.17
1.63
+0.46
1.
1.58
0.91
-0.67
Holstein Kiel dominated by xG (1.63 vs 0.91). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 6 18
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 6 16
3 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 6 13
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 6 11
5 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 6 11
6 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 6 10
7 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 6 8
8 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 6 7
9 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 6 7
10 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 6 7
11 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 6 7
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 6 5
14 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 6 5
15 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 6 4
16 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 6 4
17 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 6 4
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 6 4
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 4-5-1
1
G 7.90
6 Marko Ivezić Marko Ivezić D 6.60
26 D. Zec D. Zec 1 ⚽ 83' D 8.90
13 I. Nekić I. Nekić D 7.20
23 Lasse Rosenboom Lasse Rosenboom 75' D 7.30
15 K. Davidsen K. Davidsen 1 👟 M 7.00
49 I. Ugoh I. Ugoh 1 👟 75' M 7.30
28 J. Meffert J. Meffert M 7.50
7 S. Skrzybski S. Skrzybski 24' M 6.90
8 U. Tohumcu U. Tohumcu 1 ⚽ 1 👟 83' M 9.00
19 P. Harres P. Harres 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
2 Frederik Roslyng Frederik Roslyng 15' D 6.90
10 J. Therkelsen J. Therkelsen 66' M 6.30
25 Marcus Müller Marcus Müller 11' F 6.30
22 S. Schwab S. Schwab 15' M 6.90
1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 4-4-2
1
G 6.30
22
D 6.20
14 J. Rasmussen J. Rasmussen D 5.90
4 M. Gyamfi M. Gyamfi D 6.20
26 P. Joly P. Joly D 7.20
7 M. Ritter M. Ritter 45' M 6.20
8 S. Şahin S. Şahin M 5.90
6 F. Kunze F. Kunze M 6.70
15 Naatan Skyttä Naatan Skyttä 64' M 6.00
20 M. Berisha M. Berisha 64' F 6.50
17 N. Bassette N. Bassette 45' F 6.20
Bench
19 D. Hanslik D. Hanslik 26' F 6.70
3 F. Kleinhansl F. Kleinhansl D
11 Kenny Prince Redondo Kenny Prince Redondo 26' M 6.30
5 Kim Ji-Soo Kim Ji-Soo 45' D 7.00
37 Leon Robinson Leon Robinson M
31 L. Sirch L. Sirch 45' D 7.30
10 M. Emreli M. Emreli F
2 S. Asta S. Asta D
Best on the pitch
U. Tohumcu
U. Tohumcu
M · Holstein
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 38 pass
D. Zec
D. Zec
D · Holstein
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 70 pass
G · Holstein
7.90
· 60 pass
J. Meffert
J. Meffert
M · Holstein
7.50
· 52 pass
L. Sirch
L. Sirch
D · 1.
7.30
2 shots · 31 pass
I. Ugoh
I. Ugoh
M · Holstein
7.30
1 👟
· 18 pass
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 60 54% — — —
Marko Ivezić D 90 6.60 — — — 47 39% 2 — —
D. Zec D 83 8.90 1 — 1 70 62% 2 — —
I. Nekić D 90 7.20 — — — 59 53% 1 — —
Lasse Rosenboom D 75 7.30 — — — 47 41% — 1 —
K. Davidsen M 90 7.00 — 1 1 30 27% 1 1 —
I. Ugoh M 75 7.30 — 1 — 18 15% 4 — —
J. Meffert M 90 7.50 — — — 52 49% 1 — —
S. Skrzybski M 24 6.90 — — 1 4 3% 2 — —
U. Tohumcu M 83 9.00 1 1 2 38 33% 2 — —
P. Harres F 90 7.20 1 — 2 9 7% 1 — —
Frederik Roslyng D 15 6.90 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
J. Therkelsen M 66 6.30 — — 4 16 13% 4 — —
Marcus Müller F 11 6.30 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
S. Schwab M 15 6.90 — — — 9 8% — — —
1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 45 38% — — —
D 90 6.20 — — — 42 33% 3 — —
J. Rasmussen D 90 5.90 — — — 69 61% 1 — —
M. Gyamfi D 90 6.20 — — — 47 43% 3 — —
P. Joly D 90 7.20 — — — 35 26% 3 1 —
M. Ritter M 45 6.20 — — 1 13 10% — — —
S. Şahin M 90 5.90 — — 1 27 20% 2 — —
F. Kunze M 90 6.70 — — — 57 50% 3 — —
Naatan Skyttä M 64 6.00 — — 1 8 6% — — —
M. Berisha F 64 6.50 — — — 12 9% 1 — —
N. Bassette F 45 6.20 — — — 1 — — — —
D. Hanslik F 26 6.70 — — — 9 8% 2 — —
Kenny Prince Redondo M 26 6.30 — — — 6 6% — — —
Kim Ji-Soo D 45 7.00 — — — 30 28% — — —
L. Sirch D 45 7.30 — — 2 31 27% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The final score was Holstein Kiel 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
What did the model predict before Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Holstein Kiel win, 25% to a draw, and 38% to an 1. FC Kaiserslautern win.