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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30 April 17, 2026 18:30 Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
Holstein Kiel
#12 · 41 pts
3 – 0
Final score
1. FC Kaiserslautern
#6 · 52 pts
U. Tohumcu (ast. K. Davidsen) 16'
P. Harres (ast. I. Ugoh) 36'
D. Zec (ast. U. Tohumcu) 40'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Kaiserslautern a 38% win probability (draw 25%, Holstein Kiel 35%). The final result was Holstein Kiel 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern. In 1 previous meetings, Holstein Kiel have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
1.63
Actual xG
0.91
2
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
5
Corners
0
22
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽U. Tohumcu · ast. K. Davidsen
16'
↕ S. Skrzybski / J. Therkelsen
24'
L. Rosenboom
33'
33'
P. Joly
⚽P. Harres · ast. I. Ugoh
36'
⚽D. Zec · ast. U. Tohumcu
40'
46'
Kim Ji-Soo / N. Bassette ↕
46'
L. Sirch / M. Ritter ↕
K. Davidsen
64'
64'
D. Hanslik / M. Berisha ↕
64'
K. Redondo / N. Skytta ↕
↕ L. Rosenboom / F. Roslyng
75'
↕ I. Ugoh / S. Schwab
75'
↕ D. Zec / N. Niehoff
83'
↕ U. Tohumcu / M. Muller
83'
Pre-match prediction
35.78%
Holstein ←
25.68%
X
38.54%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (Holstein Kiel) 35.78% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Holstein
1.17
1.63
+0.46
1.
1.58
0.91
-0.67
Holstein Kiel dominated by xG (1.63 vs 0.91). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 34 70
2 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 34 62
3 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 34 62
4 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 34 60
5 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 34 52
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 34 52
7 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 34 51
8 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 34 46
9 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 34 44
10 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 34 44
11 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 34 41
12 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 34 41
13 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 34 39
14 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 34 39
15 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 34 37
16 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 34 37
17 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 34 37
18 Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 34 30
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 4-5-1
1
G 7.90
6 Marko Ivezić Marko Ivezić D 6.60
26 D. Zec D. Zec 1 ⚽ 83' D 8.90
13 Ivan Nekić Ivan Nekić D 7.20
23 Lasse Rosenboom Lasse Rosenboom 75' D 7.30
15
Kasper Davidsen 1 👟 M 7.00
49 Ikem Ugoh Ikem Ugoh 1 👟 75' M 7.30
28 Jonas Meffert Jonas Meffert M 7.50
7
S. Skrzybski 24' M 6.90
8 Umut Tohumcu Umut Tohumcu 1 ⚽ 1 👟 83' M 9.00
19 P. Harres P. Harres 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
2 Frederik Roslyng Frederik Roslyng 15' D 6.90
10 Jonas Therkelsen Jonas Therkelsen 66' M 6.30
25 Marcus Müller Marcus Müller 11' F 6.30
22 Stefan Schwab Stefan Schwab 15' M 6.90
1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 4-4-2
1
G 6.30
22
D 6.20
14 Jacob Rasmussen Jacob Rasmussen D 5.90
4 M. Gyamfi M. Gyamfi D 6.20
26 P. Joly P. Joly D 7.20
7 M. Ritter M. Ritter 45' M 6.20
8
S. Sahin M 5.90
6 F. Kunze F. Kunze M 6.70
15 N. Skyttä N. Skyttä 64' M 6.00
20 Mergim Berisha Mergim Berisha 64' F 6.50
17
N. Bassette 45' F 6.20
Bench
19 Daniel Hanslik Daniel Hanslik 26' F 6.70
3 Florian Kleinhansl Florian Kleinhansl D
11 Kenny Prince Redondo Kenny Prince Redondo 26' M 6.30
5 Kim Ji-Soo Kim Ji-Soo 45' D 7.00
37 Leon Robinson Leon Robinson M
31
L. Sirch 45' D 7.30
10
Mahir Emreli F
2 Simon Asta Simon Asta D
Best on the pitch
Umut Tohumcu
Umut Tohumcu
M · Holstein
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 38 pass
D. Zec
D. Zec
D · Holstein
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 70 pass
G · Holstein
7.90
· 60 pass
Jonas Meffert
Jonas Meffert
M · Holstein
7.50
· 52 pass
L. Sirch
D · 1.
7.30
2 shots · 31 pass
Ikem Ugoh
Ikem Ugoh
M · Holstein
7.30
1 👟
· 18 pass
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 60 54% — — —
Marko Ivezić D 90 6.60 — — — 47 39% 2 — —
D. Zec D 83 8.90 1 — 1 70 62% 2 — —
Ivan Nekić D 90 7.20 — — — 59 53% 1 — —
Lasse Rosenboom D 75 7.30 — — — 47 41% — 1 —
Kasper Davidsen M 90 7.00 — 1 1 30 27% 1 1 —
Ikem Ugoh M 75 7.30 — 1 — 18 15% 4 — —
Jonas Meffert M 90 7.50 — — — 52 49% 1 — —
S. Skrzybski M 24 6.90 — — 1 4 3% 2 — —
Umut Tohumcu M 83 9.00 1 1 2 38 33% 2 — —
P. Harres F 90 7.20 1 — 2 9 7% 1 — —
Frederik Roslyng D 15 6.90 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
Jonas Therkelsen M 66 6.30 — — 4 16 13% 4 — —
Marcus Müller F 11 6.30 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Stefan Schwab M 15 6.90 — — — 9 8% — — —
1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 45 38% — — —
D 90 6.20 — — — 42 33% 3 — —
Jacob Rasmussen D 90 5.90 — — — 69 61% 1 — —
M. Gyamfi D 90 6.20 — — — 47 43% 3 — —
P. Joly D 90 7.20 — — — 35 26% 3 1 —
M. Ritter M 45 6.20 — — 1 13 10% — — —
S. Sahin M 90 5.90 — — 1 27 20% 2 — —
F. Kunze M 90 6.70 — — — 57 50% 3 — —
N. Skyttä M 64 6.00 — — 1 8 6% — — —
Mergim Berisha F 64 6.50 — — — 12 9% 1 — —
N. Bassette F 45 6.20 — — — 1 — — — —
Daniel Hanslik F 26 6.70 — — — 9 8% 2 — —
Kenny Prince Redondo M 26 6.30 — — — 6 6% — — —
Kim Ji-Soo D 45 7.00 — — — 30 28% — — —
L. Sirch D 45 7.30 — — 2 31 27% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The final score was Holstein Kiel 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
What did the model predict before Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Holstein Kiel win, 25% to a draw, and 38% to an 1. FC Kaiserslautern win.