U. Tohumcu
(ast. K. Davidsen)
16'
P. Harres
(ast. I. Ugoh)
36'
D. Zec
(ast. U. Tohumcu)
40'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Kaiserslautern a 38% win probability (draw 25%, Holstein Kiel 35%). The final result was Holstein Kiel 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern. In 1 previous meetings, Holstein Kiel have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
1.63
Actual xG
0.91
2
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
5
Corners
0
22
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽U. Tohumcu
· ast. K. Davidsen
16'
S. Skrzybski
/ J. Therkelsen
24'
L. Rosenboom
33'
33'
P. Joly
⚽P. Harres
· ast. I. Ugoh
36'
⚽D. Zec
· ast. U. Tohumcu
40'
46'
Kim Ji-Soo
/
N. Bassette
46'
L. Sirch
/
M. Ritter
K. Davidsen
64'
64'
D. Hanslik
/
M. Berisha
64'
K. Redondo
/
N. Skytta
L. Rosenboom
/ F. Roslyng
75'
I. Ugoh
/ S. Schwab
75'
D. Zec
/ N. Niehoff
83'
U. Tohumcu
/ M. Muller
83'
Pre-match prediction
35.78%
Holstein ←
25.68%
X
38.54%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (Holstein Kiel)
35.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.17
1.63
+0.46
1.58
0.91
-0.67
Holstein Kiel dominated by xG (1.63 vs 0.91).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
6
Marko Ivezić
D
Marko Ivezić
D
26
David Zec
1 ⚽
83'
D
David Zec
1 ⚽
83'
D
13
I. Nekić
D
I. Nekić
D
23
Lasse Rosenboom
75'
D
Lasse Rosenboom
75'
D
15
Kasper Davidsen
1 👟
M
Kasper Davidsen
1 👟
M
49
Ikem Ugoh
1 👟
75'
M
Ikem Ugoh
1 👟
75'
M
28
Jonas Meffert
M
Jonas Meffert
M
7
S. Skrzybski
24'
M
8
Umut Tohumcu
1 ⚽
1 👟
83'
M
Umut Tohumcu
1 ⚽
1 👟
83'
M
19
P. Harres
1 ⚽
F
P. Harres
1 ⚽
F
Bench
2
Frederik Roslyng
15'
D
Frederik Roslyng
15'
D
10
Jonas Therkelsen
66'
M
Jonas Therkelsen
66'
M
25
Marcus Müller
11'
F
Marcus Müller
11'
F
22
S. Schwab
15'
M
S. Schwab
15'
M
1
G
22
D
14
Jacob Rasmussen
D
Jacob Rasmussen
D
4
Maxwell Gyamfi
D
Maxwell Gyamfi
D
26
P. Joly
D
P. Joly
D
7
Marlon Ritter
45'
M
Marlon Ritter
45'
M
8
Semih Şahin
M
Semih Şahin
M
6
Fabian Kunze
M
Fabian Kunze
M
15
Naatan Skyttä
64'
M
Naatan Skyttä
64'
M
20
Mergim Berisha
64'
F
Mergim Berisha
64'
F
17
Norman Bassette
45'
F
Norman Bassette
45'
F
Bench
19
Daniel Hanslik
26'
F
Daniel Hanslik
26'
F
3
Florian Kleinhansl
D
Florian Kleinhansl
D
11
Kenny Prince Redondo
26'
M
Kenny Prince Redondo
26'
M
5
Kim Ji-Soo
45'
D
Kim Ji-Soo
45'
D
37
Leon Robinson
M
Leon Robinson
M
31
L. Sirch
45'
D
10
Mahir Emreli
F
2
Simon Asta
D
Simon Asta
D
Best on the pitch
Umut Tohumcu
M · Holstein
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 38 pass
David Zec
D · Holstein
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 70 pass
G · Holstein
7.90
· 60 pass
Jonas Meffert
M · Holstein
7.50
· 52 pass
L. Sirch
D · 1.
7.30
2 shots
· 31 pass
Ikem Ugoh
M · Holstein
7.30
1 👟
· 18 pass
Holstein Kiel — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 54% | — | — | — | |
| Marko Ivezić | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| David Zec | D | 83 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 70 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Nekić | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Lasse Rosenboom | D | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | — | 1 | — |
| Kasper Davidsen | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 30 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ikem Ugoh | M | 75 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 18 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| Jonas Meffert | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Skrzybski | M | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Umut Tohumcu | M | 83 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Harres | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Frederik Roslyng | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonas Therkelsen | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 16 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| Marcus Müller | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Schwab | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
1. FC Kaiserslautern — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 33% | 3 | — | — | |
| Jacob Rasmussen | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| Maxwell Gyamfi | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Joly | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Marlon Ritter | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Semih Şahin | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Fabian Kunze | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| Naatan Skyttä | M | 64 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Mergim Berisha | F | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Norman Bassette | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hanslik | F | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Kenny Prince Redondo | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Kim Ji-Soo | D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| L. Sirch | D | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The final score was Holstein Kiel 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
What did the model predict before Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Holstein Kiel win, 25% to a draw, and 38% to an 1. FC Kaiserslautern win.