← 2. Bundesliga
2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30 April 17, 2026 20:30
Holstein Kiel
#11 · 41 pts
3 – 0
Final score
1. FC Kaiserslautern
#7 · 49 pts
U. Tohumcu (ast. K. Davidsen) 16'
P. Harres (ast. I. Ugoh) 36'
D. Zec (ast. U. Tohumcu) 40'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Kaiserslautern a 38% win probability (draw 25%, Holstein Kiel 35%). The final result was Holstein Kiel 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern. In 1 previous meetings, Holstein Kiel have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
1.63
Actual xG
0.91
2
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
5
Corners
0
22
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽U. Tohumcu · ast. K. Davidsen
16'
↕ S. Skrzybski / J. Therkelsen
24'
L. Rosenboom
33'
33'
P. Joly
⚽P. Harres · ast. I. Ugoh
36'
⚽D. Zec · ast. U. Tohumcu
40'
46'
Kim Ji-Soo / N. Bassette ↕
46'
L. Sirch / M. Ritter ↕
K. Davidsen
64'
64'
D. Hanslik / M. Berisha ↕
64'
K. Redondo / N. Skytta ↕
↕ L. Rosenboom / F. Roslyng
75'
↕ I. Ugoh / S. Schwab
75'
↕ D. Zec / N. Niehoff
83'
↕ U. Tohumcu / M. Muller
83'
Pre-match prediction
35.78%
Holstein ←
25.68%
X
38.54%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (Holstein Kiel) 35.78% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Holstein
1.17
1.63
+0.46
1.
1.58
0.91
-0.67
Holstein Kiel dominated by xG (1.63 vs 0.91). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 33 67
2 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 33 59
3 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 33 59
4 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 33 59
5 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 33 52
6 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 33 51
7 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 33 49
8 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 33 45
9 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 33 44
10 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 33 41
11 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 33 41
12 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 33 39
13 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 33 38
14 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 33 37
15 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 33 37
16 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 33 36
17 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 33 34
18 Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 33 30
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 4-5-1
1
G 7.90
6
Marko Ivezić D 6.60
26 D. Zec D. Zec 1 ⚽ 83' D 8.90
13
I. Nekic D 7.20
23
L. Rosenboom 75' D 7.30
15
Kasper Davidsen 1 👟 M 7.00
49
I. Ugoh 1 👟 75' M 7.30
28
J. Meffert M 7.50
7
S. Skrzybski 24' M 6.90
8
U. Tohumcu 1 ⚽ 1 👟 83' M 9.00
19
P. Harres 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
2
F. Roslyng 15' D 6.90
10
J. Therkelsen 66' M 6.30
25
M. Muller 11' F 6.30
22
Stefan Schwab 15' M 6.90
1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 4-4-2
1
G 6.30
22
D 6.20
14
J. Rasmussen D 5.90
4 M. Gyamfi M. Gyamfi D 6.20
26
P. Joly D 7.20
7
Marlon Ritter 45' M 6.20
8
S. Sahin M 5.90
6
Fabian Kunze M 6.70
15
N. Skytta 64' M 6.00
20
M. Berisha 64' F 6.50
17
N. Bassette 45' F 6.20
Bench
19
D. Hanslik 26' F 6.70
3
F. Kleinhansl D
11
Kenny Prince Redondo 26' M 6.30
5
Kim Ji-Soo 45' D 7.00
37
Leon Robinson M
31
L. Sirch 45' D 7.30
10
M. Emreli F
2
S. Asta D
Best on the pitch
U. Tohumcu
M · Holstein
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 38 pass
D. Zec
D. Zec
D · Holstein
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 70 pass
G · Holstein
7.90
· 60 pass
J. Meffert
M · Holstein
7.50
· 52 pass
L. Sirch
D · 1.
7.30
2 shots · 31 pass
I. Ugoh
M · Holstein
7.30
1 👟
· 18 pass
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 60 54% — — —
Marko Ivezić D 90 6.60 — — — 47 39% 2 — —
D. Zec D 83 8.90 1 — 1 70 62% 2 — —
I. Nekic D 90 7.20 — — — 59 53% 1 — —
L. Rosenboom D 75 7.30 — — — 47 41% — 1 —
Kasper Davidsen M 90 7.00 — 1 1 30 27% 1 1 —
I. Ugoh M 75 7.30 — 1 — 18 15% 4 — —
J. Meffert M 90 7.50 — — — 52 49% 1 — —
S. Skrzybski M 24 6.90 — — 1 4 3% 2 — —
U. Tohumcu M 83 9.00 1 1 2 38 33% 2 — —
P. Harres F 90 7.20 1 — 2 9 7% 1 — —
F. Roslyng D 15 6.90 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
J. Therkelsen M 66 6.30 — — 4 16 13% 4 — —
M. Muller F 11 6.30 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Stefan Schwab M 15 6.90 — — — 9 8% — — —
1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 45 38% — — —
D 90 6.20 — — — 42 33% 3 — —
J. Rasmussen D 90 5.90 — — — 69 61% 1 — —
M. Gyamfi D 90 6.20 — — — 47 43% 3 — —
P. Joly D 90 7.20 — — — 35 26% 3 1 —
Marlon Ritter M 45 6.20 — — 1 13 10% — — —
S. Sahin M 90 5.90 — — 1 27 20% 2 — —
Fabian Kunze M 90 6.70 — — — 57 50% 3 — —
N. Skytta M 64 6.00 — — 1 8 6% — — —
M. Berisha F 64 6.50 — — — 12 9% 1 — —
N. Bassette F 45 6.20 — — — 1 — — — —
D. Hanslik F 26 6.70 — — — 9 8% 2 — —
Kenny Prince Redondo M 26 6.30 — — — 6 6% — — —
Kim Ji-Soo D 45 7.00 — — — 30 28% — — —
L. Sirch D 45 7.30 — — 2 31 27% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The final score was Holstein Kiel 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
What did the model predict before Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Holstein Kiel win, 25% to a draw, and 38% to an 1. FC Kaiserslautern win.