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Holstein Kiel - 1. FC Köln

DFB Pokal December 01, 2026 20:00 Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
Holstein Kiel
vs
1. FC Köln
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.29%
Win
Holstein Kiel
24.83%
Draw
33.88%
Win
1. FC Köln
1.78
Expected xG
1.58

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.53%)
1X2 Result
1 41%
X 25%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 59%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 89%
Over 2.5 73%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Holstein Kiel a 41% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 33% for 1. FC Köln. Expected goals are 1.8 for Holstein Kiel and 1.6 for 1. FC Köln (total 3.4), with a 89% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.53% probability.

Season Stats

Holstein Kiel
3W 2D 1L
1. FC Köln
3W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.5
0.7
Conceded
1.5
4.7
Shots OT
5.8
7.3
Corners
6.5
50%
Poss.
60%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
17%
O 2.5
100%
17%
BTTS
75%
67%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in DFB Pokal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Holstein Kiel
0W 1D 1L · at home
1. FC Köln
2W 0D 0L · away
0.5
gls/g
2.0
2.0
Conceded
1.0
0%
Win %
100%
50%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Holstein Kiel 1. FC Köln →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5% 5.5% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
1 6.2% 9.8% 7.7% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.7% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.3% 5.2% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.5% 2.3% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
D 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1
W TSV 1860 München 0–2
L VfB Stuttgart 0–3
D Hamburger SV 0–0
W VfL Wolfsburg 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
W Union Berlin 5–0
W Würzburger Kickers 1–2
L Bayern München 1–4
W SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 14%

Playing profile

Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
Attack
33
Defence
69
Form
56
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
Attack
44
Defence
63
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Köln?
The model gives Holstein Kiel a 41% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 33% for an 1. FC Köln win.
How many goals are expected in Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Köln?
Expected goals: Holstein Kiel 1.8, 1. FC Köln 1.6 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 89%.
What is the most likely score in Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Köln?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.53%.