2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 09, 2026 13:00

Holstein Kiel

#11 · 41 pts

1 – 3

Final score

1. FC Magdeburg

#12 · 39 pts

A. Kapralik (ast. A. Bernhardsson) 90'+2

40' (ast. D. Stalmach) J. Hugonet

45'+2 (ast. A. Nollenberger) D. Stalmach

56' B. Atik

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Holstein Kiel a 44% win probability (draw 23%, 1. FC Magdeburg 31%). The final result was Holstein Kiel 1–3 1. FC Magdeburg. In 1 previous meetings, Holstein Kiel have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Magdeburg.

Match statistics

8

Total shots

10

3

Shots on target

7

0.88

Actual xG

1.85

4

Saves

2

59%

Possession

41%

10

Corners

5

14

Tackles

24

2

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

↕ K. Davidsen / S. Schwab

5'

40'

ast. D. Stalmach · J. Hugonet⚽

45'+2

ast. A. Nollenberger · D. Stalmach⚽

56'

B. Atik⚽

↕ J. Therkelsen / A. Bernhardsson

60'

↕ U. Tohumcu / I. Ugoh

60'

62'

C. Krempicki / D. Stalmach ↕

65'

P. Hercher / H. Bockhorn ↕

D. Zec

67'

↕ I. Nekic / F. Roslyng

71'

↕ J. Meffert / N. Niehoff

71'

81'

F. Michel

A. Kapralik

81'

83'

A. Holmstrom / M. Zukowski ↕

83'

N. Pesch / A. Nollenberger ↕

⚽A. Kapralik · ast. A. Bernhardsson

90'+2

90'

A. Holmstrom

Pre-match prediction

44.91%

Holstein

23.81%

X

31.28%

1. ←

we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Magdeburg) 31.28% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Holstein

1.57

0.88

-0.69

1.

1.17

1.85

+0.68

1. FC Magdeburg dominated by xG (1.85 vs 0.88). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	33	67
2	SV Elversberg	33	59
3	Hannover 96	33	59
4	SC Paderborn 07	33	59
5	SV Darmstadt 98	33	52
6	Hertha BSC	33	51
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	33	49
8	1. FC Nürnberg	33	45
9	Karlsruher SC	33	44
10	VfL Bochum	33	41
11	Holstein Kiel	33	41
12	1. FC Magdeburg	33	39
13	Dynamo Dresden	33	38
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	33	37
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	33	37
16	Arminia Bielefeld	33	36
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	33	34
18	Preußen Münster	33	30

Lineups

Holstein Kiel 4-5-1

1

G 6.90

6

Marko Ivezić D 6.20

26 D. Zec D 6.50

13

I. Nekic 71' D 6.00

23

L. Rosenboom D 6.30

10

J. Therkelsen 60' M 7.20

15

Kasper Davidsen 5' M

28

J. Meffert 71' M 6.30

8

U. Tohumcu 60' M 6.70

20

A. Kapralik 1 ⚽ M 7.30

19

P. Harres F 6.30

Bench

11

A. Bernhardsson 1 👟 33' F 7.60

2

F. Roslyng 22' D 6.60

49

I. Ugoh 33' M 7.00

25

M. Muller F

22

Stefan Schwab 88' M 6.70

1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3

1

G 7.90

19

L. Musonda D 6.70

24

J. Hugonet 1 ⚽ D 8.50

16

M. Mathisen D 7.70

7

H. Bockhorn 65' D 6.90

6

Dariusz Stalmach 1 ⚽ 1 👟 62' M 8.20

21

Falko Michel M 6.60

8

L. Ulrich M 7.00

23

Barış Atik 1 ⚽ F 7.90

22

Mateusz Żukowski 83' F 6.90

17

A. Nollenberger 1 👟 83' F 6.90

Bench

11

A. Holmstrom 10' F 6.50

10

Noah Pesch 10' F 6.60

27

P. Hercher 28' D 6.20

18

R. Tachie F

5

T. Muller D

Best on the pitch

J. Hugonet

D · 1.

8.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 37 pass

Dariusz Stalmach

M · 1.

8.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 20 pass

Barış Atik

F · 1.

7.90

1 ⚽

3 shots · 27 pass

G · 1.

7.90

· 36 pass

M. Mathisen

D · 1.

7.70

· 57 pass

A. Bernhardsson

F · Holstein

7.60

1 👟

1 shots · 12 pass

Holstein Kiel — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	93	6.90	—	—	—	45	37%	—	—	—
Marko Ivezić	D	93	6.20	—	—	1	54	50%	2	—	—
D. Zec	D	93	6.50	—	—	1	54	49%	—	1	—
I. Nekic	D	71	6.00	—	—	—	48	44%	—	—	—
L. Rosenboom	D	93	6.30	—	—	—	41	35%	2	—	—
J. Therkelsen	M	60	7.20	—	—	—	21	18%	2	—	—
Kasper Davidsen	M	5	—	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—
J. Meffert	M	71	6.30	—	—	—	54	51%	1	—	—
U. Tohumcu	M	60	6.70	—	—	—	15	12%	1	—	—
A. Kapralik	M	93	7.30	1	—	4	18	13%	—	1	—
P. Harres	F	93	6.30	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—
A. Bernhardsson	F	33	7.60	—	1	1	12	11%	3	—	—
F. Roslyng	D	22	6.60	—	—	—	15	15%	1	—	—
I. Ugoh	M	33	7.00	—	—	1	6	6%	—	—	—
Stefan Schwab	M	88	6.70	—	—	—	40	32%	2	—	—

1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	93	7.90	—	—	—	36	31%	—	—	—
L. Musonda	D	93	6.70	—	—	1	23	22%	1	—	—
J. Hugonet	D	93	8.50	1	—	1	37	31%	5	—	—
M. Mathisen	D	93	7.70	—	—	—	57	52%	9	—	—
H. Bockhorn	D	65	6.90	—	—	—	19	14%	1	—	—
Dariusz Stalmach	M	62	8.20	1	1	2	20	16%	2	—	—
Falko Michel	M	93	6.60	—	—	—	30	29%	—	1	—
L. Ulrich	M	93	7.00	—	—	—	18	15%	2	—	—
Barış Atik	F	93	7.90	1	—	3	27	21%	—	—	—
Mateusz Żukowski	F	83	6.90	—	—	2	8	5%	1	—	—
A. Nollenberger	F	83	6.90	—	1	1	10	6%	—	—	—
A. Holmstrom	F	10	6.50	—	—	—	2	1%	—	1	—
Noah Pesch	F	10	6.60	—	—	—	5	4%	2	—	—
P. Hercher	D	28	6.20	—	—	—	3	3%	1	—	—