Skip to main content
← DFB Pokal

Holstein Kiel - 1899 Hoffenheim

DFB Pokal October 28, 2026 20:45 Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
Holstein Kiel
vs
1899 Hoffenheim
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 9.9°C 💨 11 km/h · Kiel
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.6%
Win
Holstein Kiel
23.88%
Draw
41.52%
Win
1899 Hoffenheim
1.78
Expected xG
1.93

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (8.6%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 24%
2 42%
Double Chance
1X 59%
X2 65%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 89%
✓ 97.5% hit rate (40 picks)
Over 2.5 75%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives 1899 Hoffenheim a 41% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Holstein Kiel. Expected goals are 1.8 for Holstein Kiel and 1.9 for 1899 Hoffenheim (total 3.7), with a 89% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.6% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Holstein Kiel have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for 1899 Hoffenheim.

Season Stats

Holstein Kiel
3W 1D 1L
1899 Hoffenheim
2W 1D 0L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
3.0
0.6
Conceded
0.3
4.6
Shots OT
6.0
7.6
Corners
6.7
52%
Poss.
61%
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
100%
20%
O 2.5
67%
0%
BTTS
33%
80%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in DFB Pokal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
34%
O 3.5
17%
BTTS
Holstein Kiel
0W 0D 1L · at home
1899 Hoffenheim
2W 1D 0L · away
0.0
gls/g
3.0
3.0
Conceded
0.3
0%
Win %
67%
0%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
67%
0%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
67%
100%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Holstein Kiel 1899 Hoffenheim →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4% 4.7% 4.6% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
1 4.3% 8.4% 8.1% 5.2% 2.5% 1.0%
2 3.9% 7.5% 7.2% 4.7% 2.2% 0.9%
3 2.3% 4.4% 4.3% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
W TSV 1860 München 0–2
L VfB Stuttgart 0–3
D Hamburger SV 0–0
W VfL Wolfsburg 0–1
W FC 08 Homburg 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
W Erzgebirge Aue 0–4
D FC St. Pauli 1–1
W Hansa Rostock 0–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
Attack
34
Defence
64
Form
56
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
Attack
51
Defence
62
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Holstein Kiel
0
Draw
1
1899 Hoffenheim
29 Jul 2026 Friendlies Clubs 1–3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
The model gives Holstein Kiel a 34% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 41% for an 1899 Hoffenheim win.
How many goals are expected in Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Expected goals: Holstein Kiel 1.8, 1899 Hoffenheim 1.9 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 89%.
What is the most likely score in Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.6%.