The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hertha BSC a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Holstein Kiel 29%). The final result was Holstein Kiel 0–0 Hertha BSC. In 2 previous meetings, Holstein Kiel have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hertha BSC.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
7
0.61
Actual xG
1.59
6
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
1
Corners
6
14
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
34'
Deyovaisio Zeefuik
Sebastian Schonlau
38'
Sebastian Schonlau
/ David Zec
50'
Guillermo Balzi
/ Gyan de Regt
64'
Till Wiese
/ Ikem Ugoh
64'
David Zec
68'
69'
Jan Luca Schuler
/
Sebastian Gronning
69'
Mads Valentin Pedersen
/
Julian Eitschberger
76'
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht
/
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson
Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen
/ Giorgi Kvilitaia
82'
Adrian Kapralik
/ Mark Richter Montserrat
82'
89'
Soufian gouram
/
Oluwaseun Adewumi
90'
Paul Seguin
Pre-match prediction
29.32%
Holstein
31.8%
X ←
38.87%
Hertha
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.8%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.66
0.61
-0.05
1.07
1.59
+0.52
Hertha BSC dominated by xG (1.59 vs 0.61).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
T. Weiner
G
T. Weiner
G
40
Leon Parduzi
D
Leon Parduzi
D
4
S. Schonlau
50'
D
S. Schonlau
50'
D
5
N. Madsen
D
N. Madsen
D
32
H. Sekine
D
H. Sekine
D
10
J. Therkelsen
82'
M
J. Therkelsen
82'
M
43
T. Wiese
64'
M
T. Wiese
64'
M
28
J. Meffert
M
J. Meffert
M
8
G. Balzi
64'
M
G. Balzi
64'
M
20
A. Kaprálik
82'
M
A. Kaprálik
82'
M
19
P. Harres
F
P. Harres
F
Bench
26
D. Zec
40'
D
D. Zec
40'
D
17
F. Alidou
F
F. Alidou
F
11
G. de Regt
26'
F
G. de Regt
26'
F
9
G. Kvilitaia
8'
F
G. Kvilitaia
8'
F
13
I. Nekić
D
I. Nekić
D
27
I. Ugoh
26'
M
I. Ugoh
26'
M
47
J. Tolkin
D
J. Tolkin
D
44
Mark Richter Monserrat
8'
F
Mark Richter Monserrat
8'
F
35
M. Gersbeck
G
M. Gersbeck
G
42
D. Zeefuik
D
D. Zeefuik
D
27
N. Kolbe
D
N. Kolbe
D
44
L. Gechter
D
L. Gechter
D
2
J. Eitschberger
69'
D
J. Eitschberger
69'
D
8
K. Sessa
M
K. Sessa
M
30
P. Seguin
M
P. Seguin
M
7
J. Brekalo
M
J. Brekalo
M
23
J. Þorsteinsson
76'
M
J. Þorsteinsson
76'
M
19
O. Adewumi
89'
M
O. Adewumi
89'
M
17
S. Grønning
69'
F
S. Grønning
69'
F
Bench
20
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht
14'
F
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht
14'
F
28
Jelani Isi Ndi
F
Jelani Isi Ndi
F
13
Konstantin Heide
G
Konstantin Heide
G
18
L. Schuler
21'
F
L. Schuler
21'
F
22
M. Pedersen
21'
D
M. Pedersen
21'
D
41
P. Klemens
D
P. Klemens
D
47
Selim Telib
M
Selim Telib
M
33
S. Gouram
1'
M
S. Gouram
1'
M
43
T. Goller
G
T. Goller
G
Best on the pitch
T. Weiner
G · Holstein
7.92
· 73 pass
L. Gechter
D · Hertha
7.39
· 82 pass
M. Gersbeck
G · Hertha
7.39
· 28 pass
Leon Parduzi
D · Holstein
7.32
· 31 pass
P. Seguin
M · Hertha
7.20
1 shots
· 74 pass
Mark Richter Monserrat
F · Holstein
6.90
· 3 pass
Holstein Kiel — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Weiner | G | 90 | 7.92 | — | — | 0 | 73 | 47% | 0 | — | — |
| Leon Parduzi | D | 90 | 7.32 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Schonlau | D | 50 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 34% | 0 | 1 | — |
| N. Madsen | D | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 43% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Sekine | D | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Therkelsen | M | 82 | 5.92 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Wiese | M | 64 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Meffert | M | 90 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Balzi | M | 64 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Kaprálik | M | 82 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Harres | F | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Zec | D | 40 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. de Regt | F | 26 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Kvilitaia | F | 8 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Ugoh | M | 26 | 6.69 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| Mark Richter Monserrat | F | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Hertha BSC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Gersbeck | G | 90 | 7.39 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Zeefuik | D | 90 | 6.08 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| N. Kolbe | D | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 60% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Gechter | D | 90 | 7.39 | — | — | 0 | 82 | 72% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Eitschberger | D | 69 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Sessa | M | 90 | 6.43 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 38% | 5 | — | — |
| P. Seguin | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 69% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Brekalo | M | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Þorsteinsson | M | 76 | 6.87 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Adewumi | M | 89 | 6.53 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Grønning | F | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Farid Alfa-Ruprecht | F | 14 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Schuler | F | 21 | 6.63 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Pedersen | D | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Gouram | M | 1 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?
The final score was Holstein Kiel 0–0 Hertha BSC.
What did the model predict before Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Holstein Kiel win, 31% to a draw, and 38% to an Hertha BSC win.