2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 28
April 05, 2026 15:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Holstein Kiel a 53% win probability (draw 26%, Preußen Münster 20%). The final result was Holstein Kiel 0–0 Preußen Münster. In 1 previous meetings, Holstein Kiel have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Preußen Münster.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
0
Shots on target
1
0.71
Actual xG
0.96
1
Saves
0
67%
Possession
33%
11
Corners
3
8
Tackles
27
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Marko Ivezić
1'
16'
L. Lokotsch
/
O. Batista Meier
Kasper Davidsen
28'
40'
Lars Lokotsch
47'
Marvin Schulz
65'
M. Kirkeskov
/
J. Mees
65'
Y. Bouchama
/
M. Schulz
K. Davidsen
/ S. Schwab
69'
John Tolkin
71'
J. Therkelsen
/ N. Niehoff
75'
83'
Jannis Heuer
P. Harres
/ M. Muller
87'
I. Nekic
/ L. Rosenboom
87'
87'
O. Vilhelmsson
/
87'
I. Rondic
/
E. Amenyido
Pre-match prediction
53.95%
Holstein
26.04%
X ←
20.01%
Preußen
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.04%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
0.71
-0.86
0.92
0.96
+0.04
xG dominance was balanced (0.71 – 0.96).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
47
John Tolkin
D
6
Marko Ivezić
D
26
D. Zec
D
D. Zec
D
13
I. Nekic
87'
D
15
Kasper Davidsen
69'
M
28
J. Meffert
M
10
J. Therkelsen
75'
M
7
S. Skrzybski
M
20
A. Kapralik
M
19
P. Harres
87'
F
Bench
18
Aldin Jakupovic
F
2
F. Roslyng
D
49
I. Ugoh
M
23
L. Rosenboom
7'
D
25
M. Muller
7'
F
22
Stefan Schwab
25'
M
1
G
3
Paul Jaeckel
D
Paul Jaeckel
D
24
Niko Koulis
D
Niko Koulis
D
22
Jannis Heuer
D
Jannis Heuer
D
14
Charalampos Makridis
M
Charalampos Makridis
M
10
Marvin Schulz
65'
M
Marvin Schulz
65'
M
20
Jorrit Hendrix
M
Jorrit Hendrix
M
8
J. Mees
65'
M
27
Jano ter Horst
M
17
Oliver Batista Meier
16'
F
Oliver Batista Meier
16'
F
30
E. Amenyido
87'
F
Bench
29
Imad Rondić
7'
F
Imad Rondić
7'
F
13
Lars Lokotsch
71'
F
Lars Lokotsch
71'
F
6
Marcel Benger
M
2
M. Kirkeskov
29'
D
11
Oscar Vilhelmsson
7'
F
Oscar Vilhelmsson
7'
F
32
Tobias Raschl
M
Tobias Raschl
M
16
Torge Paetow
D
Torge Paetow
D
5
Yassine Bouchama
29'
M
Yassine Bouchama
29'
M
Best on the pitch
Paul Jaeckel
D · Preußen
7.70
· 32 pass
Jorrit Hendrix
M · Preußen
7.60
· 22 pass
D. Zec
D · Holstein
7.50
· 71 pass
I. Nekic
D · Holstein
7.50
· 67 pass
Yassine Bouchama
M · Preußen
7.30
· 12 pass
Jannis Heuer
D · Preußen
7.30
1 shots
· 34 pass
Holstein Kiel — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| John Tolkin | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 54% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marko Ivezić | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 67 | 62% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Zec | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 71 | 69% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Nekic | D | 87 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 67 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Kasper Davidsen | M | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Meffert | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 44% | — | — | — |
| J. Therkelsen | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| S. Skrzybski | M | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 48% | — | — | — |
| A. Kapralik | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| P. Harres | F | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Rosenboom | D | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Muller | F | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Schwab | M | 25 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
Preußen Münster — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 23% | 1 | — | — | |
| Paul Jaeckel | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Niko Koulis | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Jannis Heuer | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Charalampos Makridis | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Marvin Schulz | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jorrit Hendrix | M | 94 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Mees | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Jano ter Horst | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | 5 | — | — |
| Oliver Batista Meier | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| E. Amenyido | F | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Imad Rondić | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Lars Lokotsch | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Kirkeskov | D | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Oscar Vilhelmsson | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Yassine Bouchama | M | 29 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs Preußen Münster?
The final score was Holstein Kiel 0–0 Preußen Münster.
What did the model predict before Holstein Kiel vs Preußen Münster?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Holstein Kiel win, 26% to a draw, and 20% to an Preußen Münster win.