The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Holstein Kiel a 53% win probability (draw 26%, Preußen Münster 20%). The final result was Holstein Kiel 0–0 Preußen Münster. In 1 previous meetings, Holstein Kiel have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Preußen Münster.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
0
Shots on target
1
0.71
Actual xG
0.96
1
Saves
0
67%
Possession
33%
11
Corners
3
8
Tackles
27
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Marko Ivezić
1'
16'
L. Lokotsch
/
O. Batista Meier
Kasper Davidsen
28'
40'
Lars Lokotsch
47'
Marvin Schulz
65'
M. Kirkeskov
/
J. Mees
65'
Y. Bouchama
/
M. Schulz
K. Davidsen
/ S. Schwab
69'
John Tolkin
71'
J. Therkelsen
/ N. Niehoff
75'
83'
Jannis Heuer
P. Harres
/ M. Muller
87'
I. Nekic
/ L. Rosenboom
87'
87'
O. Vilhelmsson
/
87'
I. Rondic
/
E. Amenyido
Pre-match prediction
53.95%
Holstein
26.04%
X ←
20.01%
Preußen
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.04%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
0.71
-0.86
0.92
0.96
+0.04
xG dominance was balanced (0.71 – 0.96).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
47
John Tolkin
D
6
Marko Ivezić
D
Marko Ivezić
D
26
D. Zec
D
D. Zec
D
13
Ivan Nekić
87'
D
Ivan Nekić
87'
D
15
Kasper Davidsen
69'
M
28
Jonas Meffert
M
Jonas Meffert
M
10
Jonas Therkelsen
75'
M
Jonas Therkelsen
75'
M
7
S. Skrzybski
M
20
Adrián Kaprálik
M
19
P. Harres
87'
F
P. Harres
87'
F
Bench
18
Aldin Jakupovic
F
2
Frederik Roslyng
D
Frederik Roslyng
D
49
Ikem Ugoh
M
Ikem Ugoh
M
23
Lasse Rosenboom
7'
D
Lasse Rosenboom
7'
D
25
Marcus Müller
7'
F
Marcus Müller
7'
F
22
Stefan Schwab
25'
M
Stefan Schwab
25'
M
1
G
3
P. Jaeckel
D
P. Jaeckel
D
24
Niko Koulis
D
Niko Koulis
D
22
J. Heuer
D
J. Heuer
D
14
Charalampos Makridis
M
Charalampos Makridis
M
10
Marvin Schulz
65'
M
Marvin Schulz
65'
M
20
J. Hendrix
M
J. Hendrix
M
8
Joshua Mees
65'
M
Joshua Mees
65'
M
27
J. ter Horst
M
J. ter Horst
M
17
Oliver Batista Meier
16'
F
Oliver Batista Meier
16'
F
30
E. Amenyido
87'
F
Bench
29
Imad Rondić
7'
F
Imad Rondić
7'
F
13
Lars Lokotsch
71'
F
Lars Lokotsch
71'
F
6
Marcel Benger
M
2
M. Kirkeskov
29'
D
11
Oscar Vilhelmsson
7'
F
Oscar Vilhelmsson
7'
F
32
Tobias Raschl
M
Tobias Raschl
M
16
Torge Paetow
D
Torge Paetow
D
5
Y. Bouchama
29'
M
Y. Bouchama
29'
M
Best on the pitch
P. Jaeckel
D · Preußen
7.70
· 32 pass
J. Hendrix
M · Preußen
7.60
· 22 pass
D. Zec
D · Holstein
7.50
· 71 pass
Ivan Nekić
D · Holstein
7.50
· 67 pass
Y. Bouchama
M · Preußen
7.30
· 12 pass
J. Heuer
D · Preußen
7.30
1 shots
· 34 pass
Holstein Kiel — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| John Tolkin | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 54% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marko Ivezić | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 67 | 62% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Zec | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 71 | 69% | 2 | — | — |
| Ivan Nekić | D | 87 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 67 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Kasper Davidsen | M | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jonas Meffert | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Jonas Therkelsen | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| S. Skrzybski | M | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Adrián Kaprálik | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| P. Harres | F | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Lasse Rosenboom | D | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Marcus Müller | F | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Schwab | M | 25 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
Preußen Münster — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 23% | 1 | — | — | |
| P. Jaeckel | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Niko Koulis | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Heuer | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Charalampos Makridis | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Marvin Schulz | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Hendrix | M | 94 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Joshua Mees | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| J. ter Horst | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | 5 | — | — |
| Oliver Batista Meier | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| E. Amenyido | F | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Imad Rondić | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Lars Lokotsch | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Kirkeskov | D | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Oscar Vilhelmsson | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Y. Bouchama | M | 29 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs Preußen Münster?
The final score was Holstein Kiel 0–0 Preußen Münster.
What did the model predict before Holstein Kiel vs Preußen Münster?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Holstein Kiel win, 26% to a draw, and 20% to an Preußen Münster win.