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Holyhead Hotspur - Bangor City 1876 FC

FAW Championship August 21, 2026 20:30
Holyhead Hotspur
#12 · 3 pts
vs
Bangor City 1876 FC
#4 · 6 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.72%
Win
Holyhead Hotspur
31.95%
Draw
37.33%
Win
Bangor City 1876 FC
0.78
Expected xG
1.48

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.35%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 32%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 69%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 55%
✓ 73.3% hit rate (15 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bangor City 1876 FC a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Holyhead Hotspur. Expected goals are 0.8 for Holyhead Hotspur and 1.5 for Bangor City 1876 FC (total 2.3), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.35% probability.

Season Stats

Holyhead Hotspur
6W 2D 7L
Bangor City 1876 FC
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
2.7
1.1
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
47%
O 2.5
100%
47%
BTTS
67%
20%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in FAW Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Holyhead Hotspur
6W 0D 4L · at home
Bangor City 1876 FC
1W 0D 0L · away
1.9
gls/g
2.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
60%
Win %
100%
60%
Win or Draw
100%
80%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
100%
30%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
100%
30%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Holyhead Hotspur Bangor City 1876 FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4% 15.4% 11.4% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.1% 12.1% 8.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 3.2% 4.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% —
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Holyhead Hotspur Holyhead Hotspur
L Mold Alexandra 1–0
L Brickfield Rangers 1–2
W Ruthin Town 1–2
W Buckley Town 5–1
W Flint Mountain 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Bangor City 1876 FC Bangor City 1876 FC
W Llanuwchllyn 5–0
W Denbigh Town 1–2
L Bala Town 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Holyhead Hotspur Holyhead Hotspur
Attack
34
Defence
72
Form
52
Bangor City 1876 FC Bangor City 1876 FC
Attack
60
Defence
76
Form
71
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

North

# Team G Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers Brickfield Rangers 3 9
2 Newtown AFC Newtown AFC 3 7
3 Porthmadog Porthmadog 3 7
4 Bangor City 1876 FC Bangor City 1876 FC 3 6
5 Bala Town Bala Town 2 6
6 Guilsfield Guilsfield 3 5
7 Rhyl Rhyl 3 4
8 Mold Alexandra Mold Alexandra 3 4
9 Caersws Caersws 3 4
10 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 3 3
11 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 3 3
12 Holyhead Hotspur Holyhead Hotspur 3 3
13 Llanuwchllyn Llanuwchllyn 3 3
14 Buckley Town Buckley Town 3 1
15 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 2 0
16 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 3 0

What's at stake · North

Top 2 advance to the next round

Holyhead Hotspur Bangor City 1876 FC
Current #12 #4
→ Holyhead Hotspur #6 #4
→ Draw #10 #3
→ Bangor City 1876 FC #12 #2

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Holyhead Hotspur vs Bangor City 1876 FC?
The model gives Holyhead Hotspur a 30% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 37% for an Bangor City 1876 FC win.
How many goals are expected in Holyhead Hotspur vs Bangor City 1876 FC?
Expected goals: Holyhead Hotspur 0.8, Bangor City 1876 FC 1.5 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Holyhead Hotspur vs Bangor City 1876 FC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.35%.