Skip to main content
← Cymru Premier

Holywell - Penybont

Cymru Premier October 23, 2026 20:45 Bartons North Wales Stadium, Holywell
Holywell
#16 · 2 pts
vs
Penybont
#3 · 36 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌦️ Light drizzle 8.2°C 💨 32 km/h 🌧️ 86% · Holywell
⚡ Pre-match analysis
12.34%
Win
Holywell
12.84%
Draw
74.83%
Win
Penybont
0.7
Expected xG
3.34
Most likely outcome
Penybont
74.83%
Probability
69.2%
1X2 accuracy · 52 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–3 (10.0%)
1X2 Result
1 12%
X 13%
2 75%
Double Chance
1X 25%
X2 88%
12 87%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 61%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Penybont a 74% win probability, against 12% for a draw and 12% for Holywell. Expected goals are 0.7 for Holywell and 3.3 for Penybont (total 4.0), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–3 at 10.0% probability.

Season Stats

Holywell
0W 2D 11L
Penybont
10W 4D 1L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.8
3.4
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
92%
O 1.5
67%
77%
O 2.5
53%
85%
BTTS
53%
0%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Cymru Premier. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
46%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
Holywell
0W 2D 5L · at home
Penybont
4W 2D 4L · away
1.1
gls/g
1.4
3.4
Conceded
1.0
0%
Win %
40%
29%
Win or Draw
60%
100%
O 1.5
60%
71%
O 2.5
50%
71%
O 3.5
20%
86%
BTTS
40%
0%
Clean Sht
30%
14%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Holywell Penybont →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7% 5.8% 9.8% 10.9% 9.1% 6.1%
1 1.2% 4.1% 6.9% 7.7% 6.4% 4.3%
2 0.4% 1.4% 2.4% 2.7% 2.3% 1.5%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4%
4 — 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Holywell Holywell
L Airbus UK 2–3
L Flint Town United 5–0
L The New Saints 1–6
L Ammanford AFC 2–1
D Briton Ferry 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 12%
Penybont Penybont
W Caernarfon Town 2–0
W Cardiff MET 0–5
W Barry Town 3–1
L GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–0
W Airbus UK 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Holywell Holywell
Attack
15
Defence
38
Form
21
Penybont Penybont
Attack
58
Defence
82
Form
75
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 The New Saints The New Saints 16 44
2 GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC 16 38
3 Penybont Penybont 15 36
4 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 16 32
5 Airbus UK Airbus UK 16 30
6 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 16 29
7 Barry Town Barry Town 16 29
8 Cardiff MET Cardiff MET 16 25
9 Cambrian & Clydach Cambrian & Clydach 16 19
10 Llandudno Llandudno 16 16
11 Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC 16 16
12 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 16 15
13 Flint Town United Flint Town United 16 14
14 Ammanford AFC Ammanford AFC 16 12
15 Trefelin Trefelin 16 6
16 Holywell Holywell 15 2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Holywell vs Penybont?
The model gives Holywell a 12% win probability, 12% for a draw, and 74% for an Penybont win.
How many goals are expected in Holywell vs Penybont?
Expected goals: Holywell 0.7, Penybont 3.3 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Holywell vs Penybont?
0–3 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.0%.