AFC Champions League Two
· Group Stage - 1
September 17, 2026 12:00
M. Nikolic
25'
(og)
51'
(ast. C. Songkrasin)
P. Gustavsson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Home United a 37% win probability (draw 30%, BG Pathum United 32%). The final result was Home United 1–1 BG Pathum United.
Match statistics
Match Events
24'
E. Osmanovic
⚽M. Nikolic
(og)
25'
Song Ui-Young
33'
T. Datkovic
36'
45'+1
Raniel
/
Joao Magno
46'
Matheus Costa
/
R. Edwards
51'
ast. C. Songkrasin ·
P. Gustavsson⚽
A. Mance
/ I. Fandi
59'
65'
E. Dolah
/
E. Osmanovic
M. Phaeton
/ G. Kweh
70'
70'
S. Yooyen
/
A. Belmonte
70'
S. Sareepim
/
P. Gustavsson
75'
S. Sareepim
82'
E. Dolah
Song Ui-Young
/ S. Anuar
86'
J. Karseladze
/ K. Nakamura
86'
F. Zulkifli
/ R. Stewart
86'
Pre-match prediction
37.29%
Home
30.43%
X ←
32.28%
BG
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.43%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.88
—
—
1.54
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Home United vs BG Pathum United?
The final score was Home United 1–1 BG Pathum United.
What did the model predict before Home United vs BG Pathum United?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Home United win, 30% to a draw, and 32% to an BG Pathum United win.