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Homeboyz - AFC Leopards

Premier League May 16, 2026 14:00
Homeboyz
#6 · 47 pts
vs
AFC Leopards
#2 · 61 pts
Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 33.2°C 💨 12 km/h · Novo Mesto
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.87%
Win
Homeboyz
29.87%
Draw
37.26%
Win
AFC Leopards
1.02
Expected xG
1.12

The ForzaPitch prediction gives AFC Leopards a 37% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Homeboyz. Expected goals are 1.0 for Homeboyz and 1.1 for AFC Leopards (total 2.1), with a 58% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.4% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Homeboyz have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for AFC Leopards.

Score Matrix
↕ Homeboyz AFC Leopards →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8% 13.2% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.0% 13.4% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.1% 6.8% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —
Recent form
Homeboyz Homeboyz
L Murang'a SEAL 1–0
L GOR Mahia 0–1
D KCB 1–1
L Shabana 1–0
D Nairobi United 2–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 36%
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
W Ulinzi Stars 0–2
W Mara Sugar 2–1
L GOR Mahia 0–1
L Police 0–3
W Murang'a SEAL 0–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 47%
Playing profile
Homeboyz Homeboyz
Attack
26
Defence
78
Form
48
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
Attack
29
Defence
83
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Homeboyz
0
Draw
0
AFC Leopards
W 4 Jan 2026 Premier League 1–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 31 65
2 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 31 61
3 Police Police 31 52
4 Nairobi United Nairobi United 31 48
5 Shabana Shabana 31 48
6 Homeboyz Homeboyz 31 47
7 Tusker Tusker 31 44
8 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 31 43
9 KCB KCB 31 42
10 Bandari Bandari 31 41
11 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 31 41
12 APS Bomet APS Bomet 31 37
13 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 31 36
14 Mathare United Mathare United 31 35
15 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 31 33
16 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 31 32
17 Bidco United Bidco United 31 24
18 Sofapaka Sofapaka 31 18
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Homeboyz vs AFC Leopards?
The model gives Homeboyz a 32% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 37% for an AFC Leopards win.
How many goals are expected in Homeboyz vs AFC Leopards?
Expected goals: Homeboyz 1.0, AFC Leopards 1.1 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 58%.
What is the most likely score in Homeboyz vs AFC Leopards?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.4%.