Homeboyz - GOR Mahia
Premier League
September 18, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Homeboyz
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
GOR Mahia
0.96
0.87
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.66%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Homeboyz a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for GOR Mahia. Expected goals are 1.0 for Homeboyz and 0.9 for GOR Mahia (total 1.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.66% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Homeboyz have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for GOR Mahia.
Season Stats
4W
6D
5L
8W
5D
2L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.3
1.1
Conceded
0.6
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
53%
33%
O 2.5
40%
53%
BTTS
47%
20%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
4W
4D
2L
· at home
6W
3D
1L
· away
1.8
gls/g
1.3
1.2
Conceded
0.6
40%
Win %
60%
80%
Win or Draw
90%
90%
O 1.5
50%
60%
O 2.5
40%
30%
O 3.5
20%
60%
BTTS
50%
30%
Clean Sht
40%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Homeboyz
GOR Mahia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.1% | 14.0% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 13.4% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 7.4% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Homeboyz
Attack
14
Defence
34
Form
21
GOR Mahia
Attack
10
Defence
45
Form
27
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mathare United
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Ulinzi Stars
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Tusker
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
GOR Mahia
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
AFC Leopards
|
0 | 0 |
| 6 |
KCB
|
0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Posta Rangers FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Bandari
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Homeboyz
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Police
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Migori Youth
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Shabana
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
APS Bomet
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Murang'a SEAL
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Mombasa Elite
|
0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Mara Sugar
|
0 | 0 |
| 17 |
Nairobi United
|
0 | 0 |
| 18 |
3K
|
0 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Homeboyz vs GOR Mahia?
The model gives Homeboyz a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an GOR Mahia win.
How many goals are expected in Homeboyz vs GOR Mahia?
Expected goals: Homeboyz 1.0, GOR Mahia 0.9 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Homeboyz vs GOR Mahia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.66%.