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Homeboyz - Shabana

Premier League November 25, 2026 12:00
Homeboyz
#16 · 4 pts
vs
Shabana
#4 · 9 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.45%
Win
Homeboyz
35.54%
Draw
30.0%
Win
Shabana
0.83
Expected xG
0.46

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (20.34%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 36%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 66%
12 65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 48%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Homeboyz a 34% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 30% for Shabana. Expected goals are 0.8 for Homeboyz and 0.5 for Shabana (total 1.3), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 20.34% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Homeboyz have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Shabana.

Season Stats

Homeboyz
3W 6D 6L
Shabana
5W 6D 4L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.7
1.1
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
33%
27%
O 2.5
20%
47%
BTTS
27%
20%
Clean Sht
53%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Homeboyz
4W 3D 3L · at home
Shabana
4W 2D 4L · away
1.5
gls/g
0.9
1.0
Conceded
1.4
40%
Win %
40%
70%
Win or Draw
60%
80%
O 1.5
50%
40%
O 2.5
40%
10%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
40%
30%
Clean Sht
40%
20%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Homeboyz Shabana →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 27.6% 12.7% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 22.9% 10.5% 2.4% 0.4% — —
2 9.5% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% — —
3 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% — — —
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% — — — — —

Recent form

Homeboyz Homeboyz
L AFC Leopards 2–0
L GOR Mahia 0–1
D Ulinzi Stars 1–1
W Mombasa Elite 0–1
D Police 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Shabana Shabana
W Mombasa Elite 2–3
L Kenya Police 0–1
D Migori Youth 1–1
D AFC Leopards 0–0
D Nairobi United 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 40%

Playing profile

Homeboyz Homeboyz
Attack
15
Defence
53
Form
27
Shabana Shabana
Attack
10
Defence
70
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Homeboyz
1
Draw
1
Shabana
18 Apr 2026 Premier League 0–1
12 Dec 2025 Premier League 2–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 KCB KCB 6 13
2 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 5 12
3 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 5 9
4 Shabana Shabana 6 9
5 Kenya Police Kenya Police 5 8
6 3K 3K 5 8
7 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 5 7
8 Tusker Tusker 3 6
9 Police Police 1 1
9 Migori Youth Migori Youth 4 6
10 APS Bomet APS Bomet 6 6
11 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 5 6
12 Mathare United Mathare United 5 5
13 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 5 5
14 Nairobi United Nairobi United 5 4
15 Bandari Bandari 5 4
16 Homeboyz Homeboyz 4 4
17 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 5 4
18 Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 6 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Homeboyz vs Shabana?
The model gives Homeboyz a 34% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 30% for an Shabana win.
How many goals are expected in Homeboyz vs Shabana?
Expected goals: Homeboyz 0.8, Shabana 0.5 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Homeboyz vs Shabana?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 20.34%.