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Homeboyz - Ulinzi Stars

Premier League September 04, 2026 14:00
#9 · 0 pts
vs
#2 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Homeboyz
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Ulinzi Stars
1.1
Expected xG
1.53

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.66%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Homeboyz a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Ulinzi Stars. Expected goals are 1.1 for Homeboyz and 1.5 for Ulinzi Stars (total 2.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.66% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Homeboyz have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Ulinzi Stars.

Season Stats

Homeboyz
4W 6D 5L
Ulinzi Stars
7W 3D 5L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.2
1.1
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
73%
33%
O 2.5
40%
53%
BTTS
53%
20%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Homeboyz
4W 4D 2L · at home
Ulinzi Stars
4W 1D 5L · away
1.8
gls/g
1.0
1.2
Conceded
1.1
40%
Win %
40%
80%
Win or Draw
50%
90%
O 1.5
50%
60%
O 2.5
50%
30%
O 3.5
10%
60%
BTTS
50%
30%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Homeboyz Ulinzi Stars →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3% 11.1% 8.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.0% 12.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 4.4% 6.7% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.6% 2.4% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

D Police 1–1
D Kariobangi Sharks 2–2
L AFC Leopards 1–2
L Murang'a SEAL 1–0
L GOR Mahia 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
W Posta Rangers FC 0–1
W Tusker 2–0
W Mathare United 2–1
L AFC Leopards 0–2
D Shabana 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 45%

Playing profile

Homeboyz Homeboyz
Attack
14
Defence
34
Form
21
Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
Attack
17
Defence
39
Form
28
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Mathare United Mathare United 0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 0 0
3 Tusker Tusker 0 0
4 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 0 0
5 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 0 0
6 KCB KCB 0 0
7 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 0 0
8 Bandari Bandari 0 0
9 Homeboyz Homeboyz 0 0
10 Police Police 0 0
11 Migori Youth Migori Youth 0 0
12 Shabana Shabana 0 0
13 APS Bomet APS Bomet 0 0
14 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 0 0
15 Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 0 0
16 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 0 0
17 Nairobi United Nairobi United 0 0
18 3K 3K 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars?
The model gives Homeboyz a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Ulinzi Stars win.
How many goals are expected in Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars?
Expected goals: Homeboyz 1.1, Ulinzi Stars 1.5 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.66%.