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Horoya - Al Merreikh

CAF Champions League October 17, 2026 17:00
Horoya
vs
Al Merreikh
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.51%
Win
Horoya
33.25%
Draw
32.24%
Win
Al Merreikh
0.98
Expected xG
0.68

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.87%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 33%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 66%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Horoya a 34% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Al Merreikh. Expected goals are 1.0 for Horoya and 0.7 for Al Merreikh (total 1.7), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.87% probability.

Season Stats

Horoya
2W 1D 3L
Al Merreikh
2W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.5
1.2
Conceded
0.2
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
0%
33%
O 2.5
0%
33%
BTTS
0%
17%
Clean Sht
75%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in CAF Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
34%
BTTS
Horoya
2W 1D 0L · at home
Al Merreikh
1W 0D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.5
0.7
Conceded
0.5
67%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
0%
33%
O 2.5
0%
33%
O 3.5
0%
67%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Horoya Al Merreikh →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 19.0% 12.9% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% —
1 18.7% 12.7% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% —
2 9.2% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% —
3 3.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% — —
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% — — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Horoya Horoya
W JS Saoura 3–1
L JS Saoura 1–0
L FAR Rabat 3–0
D FAR Rabat 1–1
W Al Hilal 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
Al Merreikh Al Merreikh
W Power Dynamos 0–1
W Power Dynamos 1–0
D Saint Eloi Lupopo 0–0
L Saint Eloi Lupopo 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

Horoya Horoya
Attack
35
Defence
74
Form
54
Al Merreikh Al Merreikh
Attack
23
Defence
99
Form
72
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Horoya vs Al Merreikh?
The model gives Horoya a 34% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 32% for an Al Merreikh win.
How many goals are expected in Horoya vs Al Merreikh?
Expected goals: Horoya 1.0, Al Merreikh 0.7 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Horoya vs Al Merreikh?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.87%.